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SCP-1307 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1307
Expected annual
$704K
One-time setup
$926K
Annual recurring
$575K
Personnel
3
One-time setup and containment hardware are modest (~$0.9M total one-time), while recurring annual costs are driven by security wages, ongoing R&D, legal/cover budgets and psychological support (baseline ~ $575k/yr). Major incident or routine testing years can add hundreds of thousands to millions in surge costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $926K
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#23] Recommended contingency/catastrophic-response reserve (initial funding).
Equipment $160K
[#5, #6, #7, #8, #10, #13, #17, #19] CCTV hardware, entry/screening lockers, inventory system initial hardware, initial PPE stock, portable surgical/amputation kit, sacrificial flooring inventory, optional secure vehicle purchase, IT/server hardware.
Cover Up And Site Restitution $150K
[#20] One-time cover-up, public-relations and site restitution costs (conservative planning).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $75K
[#15, #26] Initial high-speed imaging / specialized instrumentation and specialized sensors / environmental instrumentation purchases.
Facilities $26K
[#1, #2] Secure containment cabinet (anchoring/installation) and 6m exclusion enforcement signage/floor markings/stanchions.
Policy And Training Development $15K
[#3] Initial development of SOPs, staff briefings and initial training for the pencil ban and compliance program.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $575K/yr
Countermeasure R And D $200K/yr
[#25] Ongoing multi-year R&D program for countermeasures / deactivation research (annualized investment).
Staff Wages $195K/yr
[#4] Dedicated security posting / guard coverage (3 guards × salary + benefits).
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#21] Annual legal/litigation budget, FOIA/relations and retainer-level costs.
Research And Monitoring $42K/yr
[#7, #15, #16, #26] Inventory/support contract, ongoing R&D/experimental costs for instrumentation, experimental scheduling/administrative overhead, and lab analysis operational costs.
Psychological Support $20K/yr
[#22] Counseling and employee assistance program costs.
Facilities Maintenance $6K/yr
[#5, #18] CCTV/storage maintenance and minor incremental site utilities / environmental monitoring for containment cell.
It Maintenance $4K/yr
[#19] Secure records, server maintenance and backup services (recurring).
Cctv And Alarm Maintenance $4K/yr
[#5] Ongoing recording storage, tamper-sensor upkeep and alarm integration monitoring costs.
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#8, #24] PPE replacement and small annual consumables for handling/testing.
Surgical Equipment Maintenance $2K/yr
[#10] Maintenance and replacement of portable surgical/amputation equipment and sterilization gear.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[#17] Per-move transport costs are handled per-event (recurring per-move costs not included in baseline).
Medical Per Test Cost $0/yr
[#9] Per-test OR/surgical standby costs (not included in baseline; annualized in testing scenarios).
Prosthetics Fund Per Incident $0/yr
[#11] Emergency prosthetics, long-term rehab and compensation per survivor (budgeted per-incident; not included in baseline).
Dclass Procurement Per Test $0/yr
[#12] D-class / test-subject procurement and legal overhead per test (not included in baseline).
Forensic Cleanup Per Test $0/yr
[#13, #14] Forensic/morgue/cleanup/morgue-processing per-test costs (not included in baseline).
Transport Per Move $0/yr
[#17] Secure transfer / recovery per-move costs (not included in baseline).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $575K/yr
75.0% probability / year
Normal year with containment in place, routine monitoring, no routine full-scale testing program and no incidents.
no_routine_testing stable_containment no_public_exposure
🚨 Periodic Quarterly Testing $972K/yr
20.0% probability / year +$397K vs baseline
A research year where SCP-1307 is subject to scheduled quarterly tests with surgical standby and full forensic processing.
scheduled_quarterly_testing approved_research_protocol MTF_coordinated_tests
🚨 Major Incident $1.6M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Containment-activation accident or unauthorized pencil leading to emergency amputations, multiple casualties, large-scale cleanup and public exposure requiring major cover-up/legal response.
accidental_activation unauthorized_pencil_within_6m containment_breach_with_public_exposure
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 Dedicated 24/7 rotating guard coverage (mapped to staff_wages, item #4).
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items and ranges are well-documented, but many recurring costs depend heavily on testing frequency, per-incident outcomes (prosthetics/settlements) and R&D success; these create uncertainty in annualized estimates.
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