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SCP-1317 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1317
Expected annual
$5.2M
One-time setup
$3.2M
Annual recurring
$4.9M
Personnel
17
One-time capital costs are estimated at approximately $3.16M, driven mainly by vault refits, duplicate containment and research/lab equipment. Baseline annual operating costs are approximately $4.93M/yr, driven by security staffing, research programs, medical care for affected individuals, international recovery operations and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.2M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.9M
[#8, #9, #18, #20] Major analytical equipment amortization (~$650k), biological testing fit-out (~$200k), secure servers/records (~$30k), and a one-time allocation for a long-term neutralization R&D program (~$1,000,000).
Facilities $1.0M
[#1, #16] Vault refurbishment (retrofits, secondary liners and relocation/duplicate containment). Includes duplicate vault/relocation logistics to mitigate SCP-703 interaction.
Equipment $278K
[#2, #5, #12] Per-instance sealed canisters for inventory (~$225k for ~1,000 units), CCTV/electronics one-time purchase (~$50k), initial PPE stock (~$3k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.9M/yr
Medical Care $750K/yr
[#10] Ongoing clinical care, supplies and monitoring for chronically-maintained patients (e.g., cohort of ~5 patients estimated at ~$250k–$1.25M/yr; mid-estimate used).
Research And Monitoring $673K/yr
[#4, #8, #9, #3] Routine inspection program, non-destructive testing and lab analyses (~$70k), recurring research staff/reagents (~$500k), animal care/testing (~$100k), and small consumable gas purges (~$3k).
International Field Recovery $600K/yr
[#15] Ongoing international investigations, travel, local teams and safe houses to locate new instances worldwide.
Containment Breach Response $500K/yr
[#7] Annual contingency/reserve for rapid response team activation, quarantine, replacement containers and forensic analysis.
Black Market Procurement $500K/yr
[#19] Reserve for seizures/purchases on secondary markets to prevent civilian availability.
Staff Wages $480K/yr
[#5] Security staffing (estimated 6–12 guards; baseline assumed 8 guards at ~$60k/yr each).
Insurance And Liability $300K/yr
[#22] Internal contingency/insurance equivalent for property damage, staff injury and covert settlements.
Logistics And Transport $200K/yr
[#6] Secure transport, tamper-evident containers, armed courier and domestic/international movement budget (programmatic annual estimate).
Supply Management $200K/yr
[#11] Annual budget for procurement/replacement sourcing of tins, reserved testing stock and covert buys.
Long Term Neutralization Fund $200K/yr
[#20] Multi-year budget allocation for field neutralization campaigns and ongoing R&D if chosen.
Training And Vetting $100K/yr
[#17] Background checks and specialized training programs for staff (team-level training and vetting).
It Monitoring $100K/yr
[#23] Automated ad/web/print scraping systems and analyst team for advertisement detection and verification.
Cover Story And Legal $80K/yr
[#14] Media monitoring, legal takedowns and PR/cover operations to suppress ads and civilian exposure.
Facilities Maintenance $70K/yr
[#3, #5, #16] HVAC/climate control power and maintenance, gas refill operations and CCTV/electronics maintenance; ongoing coordination costs for SCP-703 avoidance.
Psych Support And Ethics $50K/yr
[#21] Psychological support for affected individuals and staff; ethics board costs for testing oversight.
Audit And Reviews $50K/yr
[#25] Annual external audits, inter-site coordination exercises and compliance reviews.
Supplies And Consumables $30K/yr
[#24] Miscellaneous lab consumables, replacement tooling and sterile supplies.
Decontamination And Disposal $30K/yr
[#13] Annual contract for hazardous waste disposal, incineration/autoclave services and per-incident disposal costs.
Personal Protective Equipment $10K/yr
[#12] PPE replacements, training refreshers and consumable protective gear.
Archive And Documentation $10K/yr
[#18] Secure backups, off-site redundancies and records maintenance.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.9M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine inspections, security, research and recovery operations continue as budgeted.
no breaches routine recoveries planned research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $5.1M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized container breach or small civilian exposure requiring rapid response, limited hospitalizations, replacement of containers and forensic/cleanup costs.
single-canister corrosion breach small civilian exposure localized decontamination & replacements
🚨 Major Breach $7.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Multi-instance containment breach (e.g., triggered by SCP-703 interaction) with extensive recovery operations, hospital care, international response and large replacement/forensic costs.
SCP-703 interaction widespread tin dissemination multi-site recovery & quarantines
🚨 Research Scale Up $7.9M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Decision to actively pursue global neutralization and large-scale removal campaigns alongside expanded R&D; multi-year program costs realized in a year with major field campaigns.
policy decision to neutralize major field removal campaigns expanded R&D expenditures
👥 Personnel 17 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#5] Rotating armed vault guards and couriers; estimated 6–12 guards (8 used here).
Research Scientist 2 [#8] PhD-level chemists/biochemists running characterization and neutralization R&D.
Lab Technician 2 [#4, #8, #9] Technicians for routine inspections, GC/analytical work and animal testing husbandry.
Medical Officer 1 [#10, #21] Clinical monitoring and care coordination for chronically-maintained patients; psychological support liaison.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#3, #16] Facilities/HVAC and inert-gas system maintenance; coordination for inter-site relocation.
IT / Analyst 2 [#23] Automated ad/marketplace scraping and human verification analysts.
Administrative Staff 1 [#11, #18] Inventory/accounting, procurement and archive/documentation support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling a reasoned budget, but many items have wide ranges (per-tin procurement, breach severity, international program scale and optional neutralization R&D) yielding moderate overall uncertainty.
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