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SCP-1343 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1343
Expected annual
$2.9M
One-time setup
$2.5M
Annual recurring
$2.8M
Personnel
5
One-time setup and mitigation work is moderate (~$2.55M) driven by land control, structural mitigation and potential removal costs; recurring annual operations are substantial (~$2.85M/year) driven by incident reserves, contingency funds, staffing, and legal/cover-story expenditures.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.5M
Excavation Removal Budget $1.0M
[#25] Budget for full excavation/removal and off-site containment construction if removal is later authorized (heavy engineering, transport, new containment cell).
Facilities $640K
[#1, #2, #21, #19] Site acquisition, perimeter fencing/vehicle barriers, long-term entombment/plug works, and evidence-storage/locker fit-out (combined structural/land control costs).
Equipment $575K
[#3, #8, #4, #10, #12] Camera/LIDAR/sensor hardware, automated traffic-control (VMS/barriers), secure comms hardware, backup generator/UPS, and robotic inspection hardware (equipment purchases and installation).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $160K
[#11, #18] Contracted remote-sensing/survey campaigns (GPR/seismic, limited advanced scans) and initial one-time research/grant funds for forensic/sample processing and analysis.
Detection Software Development $150K
[#9] One-time development and testing of sensor-fusion/detection-to-actuator software with redundancy and failover.
Medical Equipment $20K
[#17] One-time purchase of trauma kits, AEDs, basic extrication kits and related readiness equipment.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.8M/yr
Contingency War Chest $1.0M/yr
[#22] Liquid reserve maintained for unexpected escalation (major litigation, national exposure, large salvage/excavation operations).
Cover Story And Legal $530K/yr
[#14, #15] Annual reserve for settlements/hush payments, legal retainers, and public-relations/false documentation to maintain cover stories.
Incident Response Fund $500K/yr
[#13] Annual reserve to cover crash cleanup, medical evacuation, salvage, and immediate site incident operations.
Staff Wages $370K/yr
[#5, #6, #7] Salaries/benefits for a full-time site manager/technical lead and a small on-call rapid-response team; continuous guard payroll set to 0 in baseline (optional).
Research And Monitoring $200K/yr
[#18] Ongoing research budget for forensic analysis, data review of sightings, risk analysis and periodic contracted scans as needed.
Facilities Maintenance $65K/yr
[#3, #8, #10, #23, #19] Ongoing maintenance for cameras/sensors, traffic-control hardware, generator fuel/maintenance, routine site repairs/consumables and evidence-storage upkeep.
Logistics And Transport $58K/yr
[#19, #20] Annual towing/storage costs and logistics contingency for heavy-lift/transport permits and occasional specialized mobilizations.
Medical Contracts $40K/yr
[#17] On-call paramedic/medical contracts, ambulance standby arrangements and periodic medical readiness services.
Detection Software Upkeep $30K/yr
[#9] Ongoing maintenance, tuning, and licensing for detection-to-actuator software.
Insurance And Indemnity $25K/yr
[#24] Commercial policies and indemnities purchased through shells to reduce liability/disclosure risk.
Training And Exercises $25K/yr
[#16] Joint drills with local authorities, staff training, and exercise costs (overtime, facility rentals).
Secure Comms Service $3K/yr
[#4] Service fees for encrypted liaison channels, satellite backup and monitored hotlines.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.8M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, no major incidents; annual operating costs only.
no major collisions annual maintenance and reserves only
🚨 Minor Incident $3.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$450K vs baseline
A localized traffic incident occurs (sighting-triggered crash) requiring emergency response, cleanup and small settlement costs.
sighting-induced crash towing/cleanup and small settlement
🚨 Major Breach $5.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Large-scale incident or exposure requiring major legal payouts, emergency excavation/removal or high-cost litigation and PR response.
high-casualty collision or media exposure authorized excavation/removal or large settlement
👥 Personnel 5 total
Role Count Notes
Site Director / Technical Lead 1 [#5] Full-time site manager/technical lead to coordinate monitoring, maintenance, and liaison.
Security Officer / MTF Agent (on-call) 4 [#6] Small on-call rapid-response contingent (3–6 personnel; 4 used as average) for incident response and coordination with local authorities.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges but many values (litigation, excavation complexity, contingency sizing) have large uncertainty; midpoint estimates used where ranges wide.
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