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SCP-1377 Decommissioned ~ medium confidence
SCP-1377
Expected annual
$7.9M
One-time setup
$21.0M
Annual recurring
$7.7M
Personnel
59
One-time capital procurement and readiness (lighting rigs, vehicles, MTF equipment, and a strategic reserve) drive large upfront costs (~$21.0M). Recurring costs are driven by MTF salaries, monitoring/research staffing and contingency reserves, totaling roughly $7.7M/year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $21.0M
Strategic Reserve Capital $10.0M
[#24] Long-term contingency reserve capital for nationwide re-emergence (one-time strategic reserve).
Equipment $9.1M
[#1, #6, #7, #8, #9, #10, #14, #15, #16, #17, #21] Monitoring platform, MTF tactical kit, vehicles & transport, portable lights, heavy floodlight arrays, generator purchases, secure storage/comms infrastructure, ambulances/medical equipment, initial PPE purchase, sensors, and fire/structural equipment (one-time items).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.2M
[#12] Research laboratory buildout and specialized instrumentation (one-time).
Facilities $625K
[#11] High-capacity electrical infrastructure & lightproof euthanasia chambers (fixed facilities) one-time build/upgrade.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.7M/yr
Staff Wages $4.4M/yr
[#2, #4, #13, #15] Monitoring staff wages, MTF personnel salaries & benefits, research staff salaries, and medical personnel wages (ongoing staffing costs).
Compensation Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#19] Compensation, reparations and civil litigation reserve (annual contingency).
International Escalation Fund $500K/yr
[#25] International escalation / diplomatic liaison contingency (recurring reserve).
Mtf Training $325K/yr
[#5] MTF training, exercises and doctrine development (recurring).
Rapid Response Media Fund $300K/yr
[#3] Annual rapid-response contingency fund for media suppression/legal cover-up (baseline reserve).
Cover Story And Legal $250K/yr
[#18] Ongoing legal counsel, ethics board operations and euthanasia protocol maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $200K/yr
[#7, #10] Recurring transport readiness, vehicle maintenance and generator/fuel readiness costs (recurring).
Public Safety And Evacuations $200K/yr
[#20] Public safety, crowd control and evacuation logistics standby funding (recurring).
Incident Deployment Reserve $200K/yr
[#23] Annual reserve for incremental costs per-deployment (transport, lodging, surge hiring) as a standing fund.
Supplies And Consumables $155K/yr
[#16, #22] PPE replacement/consumables and replacement bulbs/lamp maintenance for lighting systems (recurring consumables).
Facilities Maintenance $150K/yr
[#11, #21] Maintenance and upkeep of dedicated facilities and fire/structural mitigation recurring costs (insurance/maintenance).
Secure Comms Maintenance $45K/yr
[#14] Evidence, data storage and secure communications maintenance (recurring).
Research And Monitoring $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.7M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal year with monitoring, maintenance, staffing and standing reserves but no major deployments or nationwide events.
no_reemergence routine_training_and_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $8.7M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized re-emergence requiring regional MTF deployment, legal/PR operations and limited medical/evacuation support.
localized_reemergence regional_MTF_deployment limited_public_unrest
🚨 Nationwide Reemergence $15.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline
Major nationwide outbreak triggering Operation Sunlight-scale response, mass mobilization of rigs, large-scale MTF operations, medical surge and widespread legal/compensation costs.
nationwide_outbreak operation_sunlight_activation mass_MTF_and_infrastructure_deployment
👥 Personnel 59 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 40 [#4] Maintained MTF on-call force sized for Brazil (30–50 operators); headcount set to 40 matching salary pool.
Research Scientist / Technician 6 [#13] Research staff and technicians (4–8 FTE); headcount set to 6.
Monitoring Analyst / Ops 8 [#2] 24/7 monitoring staff (6–12 FTE equivalent); headcount set to 8 for continuous coverage.
Medical Officer / Field Medic 5 [#15] Medical support personnel and standby agreements reflected in recurring medical staffing costs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are drawn from analyst-provided ranges and mid-point choices; one-time capital needs and per-incident escalation are highly scenario-dependent, producing moderate uncertainty. Decommissioned status lowers near-term risk but operational scale choices (number of rigs/MTF size/legal posture) create variability.
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