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SCP-1425 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1425
Expected annual
$16.4M
One-time setup
$53.1M
Annual recurring
$15.9M
Personnel
19
Initial one-time setup and contingency reserves are large (≈$53.1M) driven primarily by an emergency Ophiuchus reserve and facility/setup costs; ongoing annual operations are sizable (~$16.0M/yr) driven by monitoring, retrieval teams, buyback reserves, insurance and research.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $53.1M
Ophiuchus Reserve $50.0M
[#20] Recommended Protocol Ophiuchus rapid-response reserve (one-time contingency fund).
Facilities $875K
[#1, #6, #18] Secure archival vault retrofit, second-copy undisclosed facility setup, and quarantine-ward buildout.
Equipment $680K
[#3, #7, #14, #23] CCTV/install and access-logging (#3), secure transport vehicle purchase (#7), dedicated incinerator setup (#14), classified comms hardware (#23).
Publisher Outreach Setup $525K
[#12] Initial legal/liaison and covert procurement program setup costs for publishers/libraries/retailers.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $508K
[#2, #19] Archival preservation initial purchases and research program specialized equipment/upgrades.
Decommissioning $500K
[#28] One-time contingency for permanent neutralization / long-term deep-storage preparation.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $15.9M/yr
Logistics And Transport $3.1M/yr
[#7, #8, #16] Secure transport retainer and courier operations, field retrieval/seizure team operational budgets, and diplomatic/international retrieval support.
Research And Monitoring $2.8M/yr
[#9, #10, #19, #29] Television/print monitoring, social/digital media monitoring, funded memetics research program, and multilingual/translation monitoring.
Book Buyback Fund $2.0M/yr
[#13] Recurring buyback/destruction program reserve to remove copies from commerce.
Insurance Reserve $2.0M/yr
[#27] Insurance, liability reserves and indemnity set-asides for legal/cover-up fallout.
Staff Wages $1.5M/yr
[#4, #5, #11] Site security staff (guards & supervisor), access-control admin & vault custodian, and manual review/analysis team wages (including benefits).
Publisher Outreach $1.1M/yr
[#12] Ongoing payments/arrangements with publishers, distributors, and libraries for reporting/surrendering or quiet buyouts.
Ophiuchus Annual Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#20] Annual readiness/reserve allocation to keep rapid-response capacity available.
Cover Story And Legal $800K/yr
[#15, #24] Legal team, covert takedown/DMCA/injunction operations, and baseline PR/misinformation budget.
Medical Responses $500K/yr
[#17] Amnestic treatments, psychiatric care budgets, and related medical response reserves.
Quarantine Operations $300K/yr
[#18] Operations for temporary secure wards for exposed clusters (staffing, monitoring, consumables).
Supplies And Consumables $150K/yr
[#30] Day-to-day consumables, fuel, small equipment replacements, travel-related consumables.
Offsite Backup Storage $150K/yr
[#6] Recurring guarded storage and access restrictions for the undisclosed backup copy (off-site facility).
Training Drills $150K/yr
[#21] Regular training, drills and tabletop exercises for retrieval and containment teams.
Evidence Handling $120K/yr
[#26] Chain-of-custody paperwork, archivists, cataloging IT and records management staffing.
Background Checks $100K/yr
[#22] Continuous vetting, re-clearances, polygraphs and insider-threat monitoring programs.
Audit Oversight $100K/yr
[#25] Annual audits, red-team reviews, and compliance checks.
Classified Comms $60K/yr
[#23] Operations & monitoring for encrypted communications, secure servers, air-gapped storage.
Facilities Maintenance $30K/yr
[#2, #3] Climate-control and archival environment maintenance (#2) and CCTV/storage monitoring maintenance (#3).
Secure Destruction Ops $10K/yr
[#14] Annual per-batch destruction/transport operational costs (contracted incineration/chem destruction jobs).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $15.9M/yr
93.7% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine monitoring, retrieval readiness, and maintenance only.
no major public circulation only routine detections regular operations
🚨 Minor Incident $16.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized detection wave requiring extra retrievals, legal takedowns, and limited amnestic treatments.
regional media mention small cluster of exposed readers targeted retrieval operations
🚨 Major Outbreak $36.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Widespread circulation requiring mass buybacks, numerous amnestic administrations, and international retrieval operations.
bestseller-level circulation multiple international printings simultaneous public incidents
🚨 Mass Buyback Campaign $41.0M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Coordinated multi-national buyback/destruction to remove large remaining inventory discovered in secondary markets.
discovery of large commercial stock need for market-wide removal covert purchase operations
🚨 Protocol Ophiuchus Activation $215.9M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Full Protocol Ophiuchus mobilization: nationwide media seizures, emergency broadcasts, mass retrieval and deployment of armed teams.
simultaneous mass exposure events rapid proliferation in broadcast media threat to spacetime integrity
👥 Personnel 19 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#4] Night/day guard staffing for archive access control (example 6 guards as in analyst notes).
Security Supervisor 1 [#4] Single supervisor to manage guard shifts and security procedures.
Access-control Admin / Vault Custodian 2 [#5] Personnel to manage requests, two-authorizer rule, and chain-of-custody for archive access.
Research Analyst / CMA Analyst 9 [#11] Manual review & analysis team triaging automated hits, translations, and coordinating retrievals.
Administrative Staff 1 [#5] Administrative support included within staff wages to handle scheduling, procurement tracking, and liaison duties.
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes provide detailed line items and realistic ranges, but many costs depend on uncertain event frequency and scale (international exposure, bestseller-level circulation, or Protocol Ophiuchus activation), so estimates are approximate; contingency-heavy items (reserves) dominate one-time totals.
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