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SCP-1427 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-1427
Expected annual
$155.9M
One-time setup
$726.2M
Annual recurring
$151.8M
Personnel
20
One-time capital and contingency reserves dominate costs (~$726M one-time) for hardened containment, dedicated sensors/satellites, and global contingency funds; recurring annual costs are driven by partner payments, emergency reserves, readiness, and continuous operations (~$152M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $726.2M
Facilities $285.0M
[#1, #2] Hardened containment bunker, excavation, anchoring, vibration isolation, remote handling gantries, and site infrastructure work (power hookups, HVAC, roads, perimeter, comms rooms, on-site living/command spaces).
Catastrophic Contingency Reserve $275.0M
[#26] Strategic one-time reserve for global mitigation/black-swans (large probabilistic reserve for catastrophic failure scenarios).
Equipment $77.6M
[#4, #10, #11, #14, #18, #24] Procurement of RF/UWB transmitters and shielding, PPE/decontamination hardware, dedicated secure-comms hardware, initial strike/insert equipment caches, data center hardware, and redundancy/mobile ISR procurement.
Satellite Program $55.0M
[#5] Optional dedicated smallsat program / build-and-launch for continuous RF/ionospheric monitoring (one-time procurement if chosen instead of commercial tasking).
Decommissioning Reserve $27.5M
[#22] One-time reserve set-aside for hazardous waste handling and decommissioning planning.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $5.5M
[#21] MEG/EEG simulation suites, RF lab buildout and specialized instrumentation procurement for remote analysis and simulation.
Personnel Screening Initial $600K
[#20] One-time psychological screening/onboarding costs for off-site personnel candidates (per-candidate screening aggregated for expected hires).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $151.8M/yr
Emergency Reserve Fund $55.0M/yr
[#15] Annual-maintained reserve liquidity for rapid response, payoffs, evacuations, and emergency purchases (fund balance maintained/rotated annually).
Partner Payments $27.5M/yr
[#6] Ongoing diplomatic/partner funding, payments, aid, and material support to DPRK/KPA to maintain the containment arrangement.
Contingency Strike Readiness $10.5M/yr
[#14] Annual readiness, training, and pre-positioned assets for red-team / contingency strike or retrieval operations.
Cover Story And Legal $5.5M/yr
[#16] Ongoing legal, cover narratives, disinformation, and information-control operations.
Continuous Power $5.5M/yr
[#3] High-availability power and energy costs for continuous mitigation/jamming / facility power draws.
Kpa Support Supplies $5.5M/yr
[#7] Provisioning for on-site KPA personnel (food, uniforms, PPE consumables, spare parts, medical supplies).
Perimeter Enforcement $5.5M/yr
[#12] ISR tasking, occasional aerial patrols, and monitoring costs for the 130 km exclusion zone (assuming DPRK enforcement support).
Redundancy Operations $5.5M/yr
[#24] Ops costs for duplicate monitoring sites, mobile ISR platforms, ships/aircraft on station.
Insurance And Risk Premiums $5.2M/yr
[#19] Proxy insurance, political risk premiums, front-company guarantees and risk underwriting costs.
Staff Wages $4.0M/yr
[#8] Salaries and benefits for off-site Foundation personnel (analysts, mission controllers, RF engineers, neurologists, intelligence officers, security) — assumed ~20 FTEs fully loaded.
Research And Monitoring $3.0M/yr
[#9] Ongoing neuroscience/epidemiology/propagation research, modeling, remote experimentation budgets.
Satellite Tasking $3.0M/yr
[#5] Commercial ISR/satellite tasking fees and RF monitoring tasking (alternative to dedicated smallsat program).
Rf Mitigation Ops $2.8M/yr
[#4] Annual ops, maintenance, and replacement cycle costs for RF mitigation and monitoring systems.
Covert Logistics $2.8M/yr
[#13] Clandestine procurement and transport channels, front companies, charter costs for sensitive equipment into DPRK.
Population Monitoring $2.8M/yr
[#17] Monitoring/studies of affected populations, humanitarian management, and containment of affected individuals.
Decommissioning Accrual $2.8M/yr
[#22] Annual accrual toward hazardous-waste handling and decommissioning obligations.
Secure Communications Ops $1.1M/yr
[#11] Bandwidth, satellite lease, counter-surveillance, and recurring secure-communications operations.
Data Infrastructure $1.1M/yr
[#18] Secure data center operations, archival storage, backups, and replication costs.
Ethics And Compliance $1.1M/yr
[#25] Internal audit, ethics panels, compliance teams, and oversight costs.
Specialized Instrumentation Maintenance $600K/yr
[#21] Maintenance, calibration, and ops for high-end RF and neuroimaging simulation suites.
Medical Surveillance $550K/yr
[#10] Ongoing occupational health monitoring, beryllium screening, medical surveillance and consumables.
Personnel Screening $275K/yr
[#20] Ongoing psychological testing, recertification, and behavioral monitoring of off-site personnel.
Medical Mental Health $275K/yr
[#23] Medical and mental-health interventions for exposed or trauma-affected Foundation personnel.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $151.8M/yr
90.9% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, reserves, and partner payments continue as planned.
steady_state_operations no_equipment_failures stable_political_arrangement
🚨 Minor Incident $161.8M/yr
7.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Localized equipment failure, temporary loss of telemetry, small containment remediation and increased diplomatic/operational activity.
localized_equipment_failure temporary_loss_of_telemetry small_local_breach_containment
🚨 Major Breach $301.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$150.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or DPRK instability requiring strike/insert operations, major equipment replacement, and large political payouts.
containment_breach regime_instability large_scale_telemetry_loss
🚨 Catastrophic Failure $651.8M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline
EK-class scaling or global effect requiring worldwide mitigation, mass countermeasures, and activation of catastrophic contingency funds.
global_scale_amplification loss_of_all_local_containment rapid_global_propagation
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 6 [#8] Remote research leads for neuroscience, epidemiology, and modeling (aggregated within off-site staff wages).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#8] Remote security coordination and readiness liaisons; specialist teams for contingency actions.
RF Engineer 3 [#8, #4] Operators and maintainers for RF mitigation, jamming, and telemetry systems.
Analyst / Mission Controller 3 [#8] Telemetry/mission controllers and operational analysts monitoring SCP-1427 systems.
Intelligence Officer 2 [#8, #6] Liaison and political/intel staff managing partner relationships and covert arrangements.
Medical Officer 1 [#10, #23] Medical oversight for occupational health and mental-health interventions.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#3, #18] Systems engineer supporting power, data, and remote instrumentation.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, allowing a reasoned estimate, but political uncertainty, choice between commercial vs dedicated assets, and low-frequency high-impact scenarios introduce substantial variance.
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