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SCP-1478 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-1478
Expected annual
$4.8M
One-time setup
$3.5M
Annual recurring
$4.7M
Personnel
14
Estimated one-time capital/setup is approximately $3.51M driven by site construction, equipment, lab kit and legal setup. Annual operations are estimated at ~$4.73M/yr, dominated by staff wages, long-term research funding and a large contingency reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.5M
Facilities $1.7M
[#1, #23] Sub-site construction (lab trailer, guardhouse, living module, septic, roadwork) and one-time environmental permitting/consultation.
Equipment $735K
[#3, #4, #5, #17] Monitoring hardware, power infrastructure (solar, batteries, generator), remote-communications backhaul, and vehicle fleet purchases.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $625K
[#13] Research capital equipment (field lab equipment, sequencing, microscopes, histology, chemical analysis).
Legal Setup $275K
[#11] Initial legal/compliance/cover-story setup, counsel retainer, forged permit preparation and initial liabilities provisioning.
Perimeter Security $75K
[#2] One-time fencing, gates, vehicle barriers, signage and installation to secure the sub-site.
Training Sop $50K
[#10] Initial training, SOP development, simulations and legal/HR compliance training for minimal-clothing interaction protocols.
Ppe Development $30K
[#9] One-time R&D and prototype procurement for compliant protective garments that satisfy SCP clothing demands while protecting staff.
Transformed Person Initial Handling $6K
[#20] Initial per-case handling/documentation/setup costs for transformed persons (baseline single-case allowance).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.7M/yr
Long Term Research Programs $1.8M/yr
[#14] Multi-year reversal therapy and expanded behavioral/biological research program funding (annualized program budget).
Staff Wages $1.0M/yr
[#6, #7, #8] Security (24/7 rotating team), research team salaries and part-time medic/contract psychologist salaries and benefits.
Contingency Reserve $875K/yr
[#24] Reserved fund for escalation events, cluster conversions, relocation, major litigation and large unforeseen costs (20–50% style reserve, midpoint used).
Cover Story And Legal $235K/yr
[#11, #12] Legal retainer/contingency and public-relations/cover-story costs including monitoring and rapid-response for leaks.
Supplies And Consumables $200K/yr
[#15, #13] General consumables (gloves, reagents, batteries, water) plus research consumables and service contracts.
Insurance $175K/yr
[#21] Liability, workers' compensation and special-risk insurance premiums.
Administrative Overhead $165K/yr
[#25] HR, accounting, procurement, travel support and central administrative functions associated with site operations.
Facilities Maintenance $90K/yr
[#4, #16] Power system fuel/maintenance and general site utilities, septic service, dust mitigation and road upkeep.
Emergency Response $65K/yr
[#18] Helicopter medevac/heavy-lift contractor retainers and readiness costs (per-use sortie fees not included here).
Logistics And Transport $55K/yr
[#17] Vehicle fuel, maintenance, ATV/trailer upkeep and occasional crane/transport contractor fees.
Data Management $35K/yr
[#22] Secure archival, transcription, annotation, redundancy and data storage costs for continuous audio/video capture.
Training Refresher $18K/yr
[#10] Annual refresher training, simulations and compliance/legal updates.
Environmental Monitoring $18K/yr
[#23] Ongoing environmental monitoring, tribal consultation follow-ups and mitigation studies.
Research And Monitoring $12K/yr
[#3] Monitoring hardware maintenance, instrument service and basic ongoing monitoring upkeep and minor data capture costs.
Specimen Maintenance $12K/yr
[#19] Ongoing cactus colony maintenance: irrigation, pruning, pest/disease treatment and horticultural care.
Remote Communications Service $8K/yr
[#5] Satellite/leased-line service fees, bandwidth and cybersecurity service contracts.
Perimeter Security Maintenance $6K/yr
[#2] Annual maintenance for fencing, gates and barriers (repairs, lock replacement, signage).
Ppe Replacement Per Year $4K/yr
[#9] Ongoing replacement of compliant garments and hats (estimated per-person replacement amortized annually).
Transformed Person Monitoring $2K/yr
[#20] Ongoing monitoring/care per transformed specimen (baseline for 1 monitored specimen).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.7M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, monitoring and research continue as budgeted.
no_significant_incidents normal_operational_turnover
🚨 Minor Incident $4.9M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$215K vs baseline
Single transfiguration incident requiring emergency medevac, legal settlement and PR response.
single_transfiguration medical_evacuations legal_settlement
🚨 Major Conversion Cluster $8.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.8M vs baseline
Multiple conversions in a short period forcing large-scale legal action, compensation, emergency operations and rapid research scale-up.
cluster_of_conversions mass_litigation rapid_research_scaleup
🚨 Political Exposure $6.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Public discovery/political oversight resulting in heavy PR/legal costs, possible fines and partial site shutdown or relocation.
public_leak regulatory_investigation government_intervention
👥 Personnel 14 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 Rotating 24/7 on-site coverage (2 per shift + supervisor). Matches security wage estimate.
Research Scientist 4 Botanist(s), plant physiologist, linguist/behavioral scientist covered by research team salary pool.
Research Assistant 2 Field RAs supporting on-site research and sample handling.
Medical Officer 1 Part-time medic/EMT for immediate response.
Contract Psychologist 1 Contracted mental-health support for exposed personnel.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item estimates are well-specified by analyst notes for infrastructure and staffing, but uncertainty remains around conversion frequency, scale of long-term research commitments, legal/settlement exposure and contingency sizing, so overall confidence is medium.
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