SCP-1503 Safe ✓ high confidence
SCP-1503
Expected annual
$201K
One-time setup
$287K
Annual recurring
$194K
Personnel
7
Upfront setup is moderate (~$282k) driven by remote-site construction, housing, vehicles, and research surveys; annual operations are ~ $194k/year dominated by security payroll, remote monitoring, research, and overhead, with occasional large relocation/rigging events as the primary tail risk.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $287K
Facilities $88K
[#1, #8, #9, #25] Perimeter fence, road/trail upgrade, site housing/container purchase & setup, and cultural-mitigation construction/mitigation costs (materials, installation and site prep for remote mountainous terrain).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $57K
[#12, #13, #14, #15] GNSS/tilt/time-lapse instrumentation, initial high-resolution LiDAR/photogrammetry campaign, archaeology/epigraphy initial consulting & sample program, and initial sample analysis/conservation budget.
Contingency Reserve Initial Seed $50K
[#26] Initial contingency reserve seed for unforeseen heavy-lift, legal, repatriation, or accelerated-movement needs.
Vehicles $30K
[#10] Purchase of dedicated 4x4 pickup for site operations, towing and equipment transport.
Equipment $28K
[#3, #4, #5, #21] Surveillance cameras/sensors/NVR, off-grid power system (solar+batteries+small generator), remote communications hardware (cell/Starlink terminal), and satellite phone/emergency hardware.
Permitting And Legal One Time $20K
[#16] Initial permitting, legal counsel, government liaison setup and potential negotiated mitigation/fee seeds for Indonesian/local cultural authorities.
Cover Story Initial $5K
[#18] Initial cover-story / PR setup, signage and communications planning to establish plausible non-anomalous explanation.
Safety Training Initial $4K
[#20] Initial rope-access, mountain safety, first-aid and specialist training for the first cohort.
Sample Storage Setup $4K
[#19] Secure local storage setup for physical samples and digital archiving hardware/backups (basic climate control / secure container).
Satellite Phone And Emergency Equipment $800
[#21] Satellite phone purchase and initial airtime provisioning.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $194K/yr
Staff Wages $50K/yr
[#6] Local security staff payroll (6 guards for 24/7 coverage plus site supervisor) including benefits and employer taxes.
Research And Monitoring $34K/yr
[#12, #13, #14, #15, #19] Ongoing archaeology/epigraphy research budget, periodic re-scans amortized, GNSS/data connectivity and storage costs, and sample archiving/analysis consumables.
Cover Story And Legal $20K/yr
[#16, #18] Ongoing legal/liaison retainer and PR/media monitoring & contingency response costs.
Remote Monitoring And Alarm Center $15K/yr
[#7] Outsourced or centralized monitoring center costs to receive alarms, triage and coordinate responses.
Administrative Overhead $15K/yr
[#27] Central program support (finance, HR, procurement) allocated to Site-75; approximates 15% overhead on direct recurring costs.
Relocation Event Reserve $10K/yr
[#11] Annualized reserve to fund infrequent contracted rigging/helicopter lifts or specialized relocation events (amortized contingency).
Medical Evacuation Retainer $10K/yr
[#21] Medevac/helicopter retainer and trauma readiness.
Community Relations $10K/yr
[#17] Annual community engagement, local stipends, outreach and small infrastructure/support projects to reduce trespass risk.
Facilities Maintenance $6K/yr
[#2, #8, #9] Fence maintenance/repairs, road/trail upkeep and site/container utilities upkeep.
Contingency Reserve Annual $5K/yr
[#26] Annual contribution to long-term contingency reserve for unusual events and legal/operational shocks.
Logistics And Transport $4K/yr
[#10] Vehicle maintenance, fuel and parts for the on-site 4x4 used for supply runs and access.
Equipment Replacement Amortization $4K/yr
[#23] Annual reserve/amortization for camera, sensor and battery replacements (5–7 year life assumed).
Insurance $3K/yr
[#24] Local insurance / indemnity arrangements for personnel and equipment where feasible.
Remote Communications Service $2K/yr
[#5] Monthly data plan for satellite/cellular backhaul (mid-range estimate).
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#22] Batteries, replacement media (SD cards), cabling, fasteners, herbicide/brush clearing, rope, small tools and fuel for small equipment.
Emergency Satphone Airtime $1K/yr
[#21] Ongoing satellite phone airtime and connectivity for emergency comms.
Power Fuel And Maintenance $1K/yr
[#4] Diesel generator fuel and engine maintenance for off-grid power backup.
Safety Training And Ppe $750/yr
[#20] Annual refreshers, PPE replacement and recurring specialist safety training costs.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $194K/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations and no major incidents.
no intrusion no relocation event routine maintenance and research
🚨 Minor Incident $209K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$15K vs baseline
Vandalism, small-scale intrusion, or localized equipment theft/damage requiring repairs/replacement and response.
vandalism perimeter breach by civilians localized equipment damage
🚨 Relocation Event $274K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$80K vs baseline
SCP-1503 approaches fence threshold triggering full re-establishment of Site-75: heavy-lift rigging/helicopter support and major reinstallation of perimeter and equipment.
SCP-1503 approaches fence within 10m need for specialized rigging/helicopter lifts extended field operations
🚨 Political Exposure $234K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$40K vs baseline
Government or cultural authorities demand archaeological oversight, public access, or impose mitigation requirements leading to high one-time/legal costs and higher recurring compliance.
heritage authority intervention formal government oversight public/legal challenge
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#6] Six locally-hired guards providing 24/7 coverage (2 per shift × 3 shifts).
Site Supervisor 1 [#6] On-site supervisor/manager responsible for operations and liaison.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and operational context for a mundane, slowly-moving Safe-class object; numbers are estimates with moderate precision and explicit ranges, supporting a high confidence in order-of-magnitude budgeting.
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