SCP-1518 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-1518
Expected annual
$5.2M
One-time setup
$24.5M
Annual recurring
$4.6M
Personnel
11
One-time capital and contingency (notably a large catastrophic reserve) dominate upfront costs; recurring costs are driven by D-Class operations, research, and staffing/maintenance (~$4.56M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $24.5M
Catastrophic Contingency Reserve $20.0M
[#26] Large emergency contingency reserve for catastrophic response / international coordination (recommended risk reserve).
Facilities $1.2M
[#1, #2, #23] Vault construction, initial industrial-foam lining, and site utility rerouting / dry-zone assurance.
Robotic Repair R&D Capital $1.0M
[#19] R&D and procurement capital for remote/robotic repair development (optional but recommended).
Decommissioning Fund One Time $1.0M
[#28] Contingency for attempted neutralization / decommissioning experiments and large-scale cleanup.
Equipment $561K
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #12, #24] Initial fabrication of foam shells; ceiling suspension & mechanical rotation assembly; fans and ducting; environmental control hardware (HVAC, dehumidifiers); power redundancy hardware (UPS/generator capital portion); visual surveillance package; initial PPE capital; initial IT/security systems.
Relocation Cost One Time $500K
[#22] One-time secure relocation planning & execution (if transfer required).
Emergency Readiness Capability $250K
[#18] One-time purchase of rapid-deploy assets (remote robots, extra dehumidification, foam staging, secure barriers) to create a readiness pool.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.6M/yr
Logistics And Transport $1.2M/yr
[#10] D‑Class operational costs, recruitment/administration, escorts, housing, medical checks, and per-entry operational expenses.
Research And Monitoring $1.0M/yr
[#20] Annual research budget: chemical/physical analysis, modeling, containment-safe experiments, specialized instrumentation and scientist time.
Staff Wages $750K/yr
[#9, #11] Control-room monitoring technicians (3 FTE shifting coverage) and dedicated security staff wages (6–10 FTE; modeled as 8 FTE here).
Supplies And Consumables $700K/yr
[#12, #13] Consumable PPE (single-use suits, ear protection) and foam-spray canisters / adhesives used per D-Class entry.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#21] Information control, amnestic treatments, legal counsel, and routine local government relations / cover-up activities.
Facilities Maintenance $137K/yr
[#2, #4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #15] Periodic foam patching/relining, rotation assembly maintenance, fan maintenance, HVAC/dehumidifier energy & consumables, generator/UPS maintenance & fuel, surveillance/storage maintenance, and mechanical spare parts.
Shell Replacement $100K/yr
[#3] Annual budget for replacing heavily damaged foam shells beyond routine patching.
Medical And Counseling $100K/yr
[#17] Medical monitoring, trauma counseling, post-entry care, audiology and treatment for injuries/exposures.
Emergency Readiness Drills $100K/yr
[#18] Annual drills, consumables and readiness maintenance for rapid-response contingency assets.
Robotic Maintenance $100K/yr
[#19] Annual maintenance, spare parts and qualification for remote repair robots (if procured).
Level3 Inspections $60K/yr
[#16] Costs for daily Level-3 personnel entries: senior staff time allocation, escorts, PPE and reduced-duty hours.
Audits And External Reviews $50K/yr
[#27] Periodic independent safety audits, supplier contracting and regulatory compliance reviews.
Hazardous Waste Handling $30K/yr
[#25] Handling, transport, and destruction of contaminated materials, PPE and remains.
It Security Maintenance $30K/yr
[#24] Ongoing IT security, secure comms, tamper-evident logs and maintenance to suppress audio capture and protect data integrity.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.6M/yr
74.5% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled rotations, routine maintenance, and no major incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_shell_rotation standard_research_and_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $5.1M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized shell breach or accelerated damage causing extra repairs, emergency response activation, and elevated consumable use.
single-shell_breach multiple_unexpected_repairs short-term emergency_dehumidification
🚨 Major Breach $9.6M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure requiring large-scale repairs, extensive emergency deployment, and a costly cover-up response.
multiple_shell_failures prolonged humidity_exposure large_emergency_response
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $54.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Rare catastrophic event with risk of ocean/water contact or large-scale liquid assimilation requiring national/international emergency response.
bubble_contact_with_large_water_body failure_of_power_and_HVAC_redundancy widespread_contamination
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Monitoring Technician / Remote Operator 3 [#9] 3 technicians covering 3×8h shifts for remote shell rotations and continuous monitoring (included in staff_wages).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#11] 6–10 dedicated security staff modeled as 8 FTE for escorts, on-site armed response and overtime coverage (included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Containment and operational line items are well-documented allowing reasonable cost estimates; however severe-event exposures (cover-up scale, catastrophic outcomes) are highly uncertain, so overall confidence is medium.
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