SCP-1522 — SCP-1522 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-1522 Neutralized ~ medium confidence

SCP-1522

Expected annual

$8.7M

One-time setup

$8.7M

Annual recurring

$955K

Personnel

One-time decommissioning, salvage and facility/setup costs are the primary near-term expense (~$8.7M). Ongoing baseline (post-neutralization) annual costs are modest (~$0.96M) for storage, security and small staff; however reactivation to active maritime operations could cost on the order of $150M+ per year.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.7M

Facilities $3.0M

[#17] Construction of a small secure marine facility / hardened mooring (midpoint of $1M–$5M).

Equipment $1.9M

[#3, #10, #16, #19] Purchase of tow gear/ROVs, on-site engineering prototype devices, hyperbaric installation and diving-team equipment (aggregated midpoints).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.8M

[#4, #11, #15] Sonar R&D & prototype, marine biology program setup and initial servers/forensic lab buildout (aggregated midpoints).

Decommissioning Winddown $1.1M

[#24] One-time wind-down / decommissioning and personnel redeployment after neutralization (midpoint estimated).

Salvage And Disposal $725K

[#9] Beaching/tow to scrapper and dismantling/hazardous disposal (midpoint aggregated).

Vbss Training $275K

[#5] Initial training & equipment for mobile VBSS team (~20 operators) (midpoint).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $955K/yr

Staff Wages $300K/yr

[#1, #5, #11, #14, #15, #16, #18, #19, #25] Small on-site caretaker/security/research/admin staff salaries in neutralized baseline (aggregated estimate).

Physical Security $200K/yr

[#18] Armed guard contracts and CCTV for evidence/berth perimeter security.

Facilities Maintenance $150K/yr

[#17] Maintenance, utilities and upkeep for secure yard / hardened mooring.

Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr

[#13, #20] Minimal ongoing archival/cover/legal maintenance and occasional liaison/permits post-neutralization.

Insurance And Liability Reserves $100K/yr

[#21] Small ongoing reserve for claims/replacement in neutralized posture.

Mooring And Port Fees $60K/yr

[#8] Minimal berth/short-term mooring and port fees for stored evidence or wreckage.

Data Storage And It $20K/yr

[#15] Ongoing archival storage, backups and minimal forensic analyst support for retained logs/evidence.

Medical And Medevac $10K/yr

[#16] Minimal medevac contracts/shipboard medic standby for stored assets / occasional operations.

Archival And Audits $10K/yr

[#23] Legal retention and periodic audits for retained records.

Psychological Support $5K/yr

[#25] Counseling and incident aftercare budget for small caretaker/inspection team.

Supplies And Consumables $0/yr

[]

Research And Monitoring $0/yr

[#11] Active research program not maintained in neutralized baseline (set to 0).

Logistics And Transport $0/yr

[#1, #2, #3, #8] Major platform logistics (ships/aircraft/towing) not active in neutralized baseline (set to 0).

Dedicated Ship Operations $0/yr

[#1] Cost to operate cutters (recurring) — set to 0 in neutralized baseline (active deployment not in effect).

Aircraft Operations $0/yr

[#2] Aircraft flight-hours for maritime surveillance — set to 0 in neutralized baseline.

Towing And Salvage Contracts $0/yr

[#3] Per-incident emergency tow contracting — set to 0 in an uneventful neutralized year.

Sonar Deployments $0/yr

[#4] Per-deployment sonar hardware/ops — not used in neutralized baseline.

Vbss Operations $0/yr

[#5] Ongoing VBSS team salaries/exercises — not maintained in neutralized baseline.

Civilian Traffic Management $0/yr

[#6] NOTAMs / temporary exclusion work — set to 0 for neutralized baseline.

Flares And Expendables $0/yr

[#7] Flares/pyrotechnics stock not routinely deployed post-neutralization.

Engineering Maintenance $0/yr

[#10] On-site engineering repairs/maintenance — assumed negligible in baseline storage-only posture.

Environmental Remediation Reserve $0/yr

[#12] Large spill contingency maintained as incident-driven fund (set to 0 in uneventful baseline; covered in scenarios).

Intelligence And Monitoring $0/yr

[#14] Regular satellite tasking/AIS feeds not subscribed in neutralized baseline (set to 0).

Diving Team Deployments $0/yr

[#19] Specialist diving/ice-rescue deployments not routine in baseline.

Escalation Reserve $0/yr

[#22] Large rapid-escalation funds are held only while active; set to 0 in neutralized baseline.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $955K/yr

93.0% probability / year

Neutralized, uneventful year with only storage, security, minimal staff and archival costs.

neutralized_status_maintained no_new_sightings no_incidents

🚨 Reactivation And Active Monitoring $151.6M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$150.7M vs baseline

Anomalous reactivation or renewed sightings requiring full maritime deployment (cutters, MPA, VBSS, towing and research).

anomalous_reactivation sustained_sightings international_request_for_intercept

🚨 Major Environmental Spill $11.0M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline

Collision/iceberg/structural failure causes fuel/chemical spill requiring large cleanup, wildlife rehab and legal payouts.

hull_breach large_fuel_spill remote_arctic_cleanup

👥 Personnel 5 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	2	[#18] Armed guards for perimeter and berth security (part of baseline staffing).
Research Scientist	1	[#11, #15] Lone scientist/curator maintaining samples/logs and coordinating occasional studies.
Engineer / Maintenance	1	[#17, #10] Technician for facility upkeep, evidence preservation and equipment maintenance.
Administrative Staff	1	[#13, #23] Admin/legal liaison for permits, records retention and cover/coordination tasks.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed operational ranges but many line items are situation-dependent (active vs neutralized). Large uncertainties remain around the probability and cost of reactivation or major environmental incidents, so medium confidence is appropriate.

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