SCP-1617 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1617
Expected annual
$1.4M
One-time setup
$1.2M
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
3.5
Initial capital to prepare secure, climate-controlled storage and analytical capability is roughly $1.2M one-time; ongoing annual operations (staff, conservation, MTF operations, legal/PR, and research) are roughly $1.40M/year, driven by staff wages, legal/PR reserves, and an active research program.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.2M
Facilities $350K
[#1, #2, #26] Locks/archival locker fabrication and mounting for ~100 lockers; HVAC upgrade / room retrofit; small standby generator/UPS and room modifications.
Contingency Escalation Reserve $300K
[#30] One-time contingency/escalation reserve fund for unexpected anomalous escalation or major emergency responses.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $220K
[#13, #14, #15] Initial analytical instruments and lab buildout (portable XRF/FTIR budget or access; initial research equipment), database design/deployment and lab instrumentation setup.
Restoration Reserve $175K
[#6] Conservative initial contingency/reserve for restoration work across the 100-item cohort (small-to-medium repairs aggregated).
Legal Case One Time $50K
[#18] One-time legal/acquisition/settlement costs for case-specific incidents or initial acquisition-related legal work.
Equipment $35K
[#3, #8, #11, #20] Environmental sensors and alarm installation, initial stock of reusable secure transport crates, CCTV / camera hardware for storage room, field audio/visual capture hardware.
Public Relations One Time $30K
[#19] One-time PR/cover-story setup, initial false-provenance work, or one-off media/legal preparations.
Cybersecurity Initial $25K
[#23] Initial secure system deployment, encryption/air-gap setup and hardened servers for sensitive catalog and research data.
Training Development $10K
[#17] One-time SOP and training program development for handlers, MTF, and staff to prevent inadvertent identification/viewing.
Archival Materials Initial $9K
[#4] Initial purchase of acid-free backing, archival tissue, padding and mounts for ~100 instances.
Disposal Capability $5K
[#25] One-off cost to establish approved destruction/disposal capability and legal/regulatory compliance for possible item neutralization.
Visual Containment Materials $5K
[#9] Initial purchase of opaque covers, blind boxes, non-identifying packing materials and labels to prevent casual observation.
Medical Baseline $4K
[#12] Baseline medical/psych screenings for initial art-handling team (~10 people at $200–500 each).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Cover Story And Legal $350K/yr
[#18, #19, #24] Annual legal fees/reserve for seizures and settlements, PR retainer/cover-story maintenance, and internal insurance/risk-financing premiums.
Research And Monitoring $312K/yr
[#5, #6, #12, #13, #15, #20, #21, #28] Biannual conservator cleaning labor (per-instance maintenance), restoration replenishment reserve, ongoing medical checkups and acute-care contingency, controlled-studies program costs (EEG/fMRI session fees, moderate research staffing/contracting), documentation/transcription, subject compensation, and secure archive retention/storage.
Administrative Overhead $234K/yr
[#29] Administrative/site overhead allocated to the program (estimated at ~20% of direct recurring program costs).
Staff Wages $210K/yr
[#10, #16] Salaries for core on-site staff: 1conservator, 0.5 FTE collections manager, and incremental security (2 Level-2 guards).
Logistics And Transport $125K/yr
[#7, #8] MTF retrieval/transport operational budget for routine call-outs (vehicles, fuel, overtime, packing), plus amortized crate replacement for transports.
Contingency Replenish $100K/yr
[#30] Annual replenishment for contingency/escalation fund to cover unexpected anomalous developments and emergency research/relocations.
Emergency Drills $25K/yr
[#22] Simulated incident drills, emergency response exercises and PR simulations.
Facilities Maintenance $16K/yr
[#2, #26, #3, #11] HVAC energy and maintenance, backup power fuel/testing, environmental sensor maintenance/calibration, CCTV maintenance and footage storage costs.
Supplies And Consumables $13K/yr
[#4, #8, #9, #27] Ongoing archival replacement materials, crate repairs/replacement amortization, visual-containment consumables, PPE and handling supplies.
Cybersecurity $12K/yr
[#23] Ongoing secure-system support, patching, and IT security for sensitive catalog and research data.
Training Refreshers $5K/yr
[#9, #17] Recurring handler/MTF refresher classes and small-material replenishment for non-identifying handling procedures.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine cleaning, conservation salaries, security increments, regular MTF ops, baseline research activity and legal/PR retainers.
routine_cleaning_and_research normal_MTF_callouts no_major_public_exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $1.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$85K vs baseline
Localized inadvertent public exposure or mishandling requiring moderate legal/PR response, medical attention for a few staff, and several restorations.
accidental_public_viewing small_legal_case several_medium_restorations
🚨 Major Breach $2.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
Significant public exposure or escalation requiring international retrievals, large legal settlements, major restorations and emergency research response.
high_profile_exposure international_MT F_deployment large_legal_settlement
👥 Personnel 3.5 total
Role Count Notes
Conservator 1 On-site conservator responsible for biannual cleaning and restoration oversight [#16, #5].
Collections Manager (FTE) 0.5 0.5 FTE collections manager to oversee inventory, access, and compliance [#16].
Security Officer / Level-2 Guard 2 Incremental security staffing for monitoring storage and access windows [#10].
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are mid-range, built from analyst-provided ranges and a 100-instance baseline; many costs are variable (legal settlements, major restorations, research scale) so totals have moderate uncertainty but core recurring categories (salaries, HVAC, routine conservation) are relatively well-defined.
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