SCP-1626 Safe-impetus ~ medium confidence
SCP-1626
Expected annual
$228K
One-time setup
$199K
Annual recurring
$216K
Personnel
0.2
One-time setup costs are modest (~$190k) driven by equipment, initial research setup and a small HVAC upgrade; recurring annual costs (~$216k/year) are dominated by an ongoing R&D program, contingency reserves, and consumables/operational support.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $199K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $90K
[#13, #21] Short-term analytical study costs (GC-MS/SEM/FTIR/mechanical testing lab time) and one-time environmental chamber/study rental costs for initial experiments.
Equipment $74K
[#1, #2, #3, #5, #6, #7, #11, #20, #22] Secure locker/airtight container, bench-top fume hood/glovebox, fixed & portable H2S detectors (one-time units), PPE startup/donning station, specialized cutting/removal equipment (basic through high-end options), emergency warming kit, CCTV/badge controls, forensic/incident kit, and evidence cabinet/evidence storage one-time costs.
Facilities $16K
[#4] HVAC/ventilation upgrades and integration into site HVAC/alarm systems; one-time installation estimate.
Policy And Sop Development $9K
[#9] One-time protocol/SOP drafting, signage, and initial training development costs.
Forensic Kit And Training $8K
[#20] One-time incident-investigation kit purchase and training.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $216K/yr
Research And Monitoring $101K/yr
[#13, #21] Ongoing R&D program to characterize fibers, H2S emission profiles, and develop safe removal/neutralization (moderate ongoing budget) plus occasional environmental chamber/study rental costs.
Contingency Reserve $50K/yr
[#23] Recommended annual reserve for emergency evacuations, external contractors, site decontamination, regulatory fines, and other unplanned expenses.
Cover Story And Legal $15K/yr
[#16, #18] Annual legal/OPSEC retainer and allowance for insurance/liability premium adjustments.
Supplies And Consumables $14K/yr
[#3, #5, #14, #19, #25, #15, #22, #11] Recurring calibration/consumables for gas detectors, replacement PPE consumables/cartridges, baseline decontamination supplies, PPE laundering/disposal, small miscellaneous items (batteries/signage), baseline medical emergency supplies, sample storage consumables, and surveillance data storage/monitoring costs.
Staff Wages $12K/yr
[#8] Fractional on-call medical staffing/training allocation (e.g., 0.2 FTE medical time) to support hypothermia management and removal attempts.
Psychological Support $6K/yr
[#17] Counseling and critical incident stress management resources for staff involved in removal attempts or fatalities.
Inventory Control And Clothing Policy $5K/yr
[#10] Administrative costs to enforce clothing policy, additional uniform procurement and HR/ops overhead.
Protocol Refreshers And Training $3K/yr
[#9] Recurring SOP refreshers, annual drills, recordkeeping and attestation costs.
Logistics And Transport $2K/yr
[#24] Budgeted annual allowance for certified hazmat transport/logistics for off-site testing or disposal on an as-needed basis.
Destruction Event Disposal Fund $2K/yr
[#12] Annualized budget for potential single-item hazardous disposal/incineration or chemical neutralization if destruction becomes necessary.
Investigation Per Incident Fund $2K/yr
[#20] Annualized fund for incident investigations, wearable-camera review, imaging, and forensics per incident.
Facilities Maintenance $1K/yr
[#4] HVAC/ventilation maintenance and modest energy/operational overhead for maintaining slight negative pressure/dilution.
Equipment Maintenance $1K/yr
[#6] Recurring maintenance and replacement blades/parts for specialized cutting/removal equipment.
Mortuary Autopsy Reserve $1K/yr
[#15] Baseline per-year reserve for autopsy/mortuary processing amortized across years.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $216K/yr
86.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, maintenance, protocol refreshers, and modest R&D activity; no major incidents.
routine_testing annual drills no containment breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $241K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Small accidental exposure or contamination requiring localized cleanup, short medical treatment, investigation and minor legal/operational expense.
accidental handling/misidentification localized H2S contamination small medical visit or cleanup
🚨 Major Incident $386K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$170K vs baseline
Subject wears SCP-1626 >21 minutes leading to serious hypothermia, hospitalization or death, emergency removal attempts, destruction and extensive cleanup/investigation.
prolonged wear (>21 minutes) medical evacuation/hospitalization destruction and large-scale decontamination
🚨 Political Exposure $516K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Containment breach becomes known to outside authorities or public, triggering regulatory action, legal fallout, major PR/cover-up costs and potential fines.
public/regulatory discovery third-party exposure external legal scrutiny
👥 Personnel 0.2 total
Role Count Notes
Medical Officer 0.2 [#8] Fractional on-call / training allocation reflected in staff_wages; assumes site-provided base staffing with a small incremental dedicated allocation for SCP-1626 readiness.
📋 Confidence Notes
Reasonable granularity from analyst notes (many line-item ranges) but substantial range uncertainty on R&D ambition, incident frequencies, legal exposure and disposal methods leads to medium confidence in numeric estimates.
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