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SCP-1629 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1629
Expected annual
$2.6M
One-time setup
$56.9M
Annual recurring
$2.5M
Personnel
21
Upfront one-time setup is dominated by an optional high-cost capture program; baseline one-time capital and installation costs are modest (~$150k–$1M). The recurring annual budget (~$2.53M) is driven primarily by continuous monitoring/security staffing and a sizable legal/cover-up reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $56.9M
Specialized Capture Program $55.0M
[#21] Optional high-cost program for active capture/interception (speculative large-scale program cost).
Contingency For Active Non Interference Breach $1.1M
[#20] Fund reserved for emergency relocation/site demolition/expansion of exclusion zone (kept available as one-time contingency).
Equipment $358K
[#3, #7, #8, #13] Camera/NVR/monitoring hardware, robotic actuator/maintenance tools, UPS/generator capital, and tracking/radar hardware (equipment & installation).
Facilities $356K
[#1, #2, #10, #11, #25] Vault modification, shaft installation, HVAC installation, roof/shaft reinforcement and site remediation (one-time structural/installation costs).
Site Secrecy Setup $60K
[#24] One-time front-company/cover-story setup, paperwork and plausibility creation.
Initial Transport Emplacement $30K
[#17] Armored crate/escort/crane and emplacement costs for initial transport (one-time).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.5M/yr
Cover Story And Legal $1.2M/yr
[#12, #16, #24] Airspace management/aviation coordination costs, legal/cover-up contingency funding, and ongoing site cover maintenance.
Staff Wages $525K/yr
[#5] 24/7 monitoring operators and supervisor (fully-burdened wages).
Physical Security $425K/yr
[#6] On-site armed security force (guards, patrols, training, vehicles).
Research And Monitoring $196K/yr
[#4, #14, #18, #19] Video storage/cloud backup, tracking system operations & maintenance, long-term observation research budget, and occasional forensics/sample testing.
Logistics And Transport $138K/yr
[#15] On-call incident response and recovery team costs (vehicles, training, standby pay).
Personnel Health And Training $25K/yr
[#22] Psychological evaluations, training, counseling and rotation-related health costs.
Audit And Compliance $25K/yr
[#26] Periodic audits, red-team inspections and compliance reviews.
Supplies And Consumables $9K/yr
[#23] Replacement parts and consumables (camera parts, seals, batteries, lubricants).
Facilities Maintenance $5K/yr
[#9, #10] Generator fuel/maintenance and HVAC power & maintenance / periodic testing.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.5M/yr
97.5% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with continuous monitoring, regular maintenance, and modest legal reserves used only for routine operations.
routine monitoring scheduled maintenance no impact incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $2.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Small impact or obstruction event requiring on-call response, limited repairs and minor legal/PR costs.
localized impact/damage small debris recovery minor civilian/property damage
🚨 Major Incident $7.5M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant collision (e.g., aircraft damage/crash) or high-visibility event requiring large legal settlements, major repairs and extensive PR/coordination.
airliner/large craft collision civilian casualties or major property loss political/media exposure
👥 Personnel 21 total
Role Count Notes
Monitoring Staff / Operators 9 [#5] 24/7 camera/operators plus supervisor (6–8 FTE suggested + supervisor; modeled as 9 personnel).
Security Officer / Guard 8 [#6] Armed on-site guards for perimeter and vault (6–10 guards suggested; modeled as 8).
Research Scientist / Analyst 1 [#18] Long-term observation and trajectory analysis staff (part-time/full-time budgeted).
On-call Incident Responder 3 [#15] Recovery/cleanup team members (vehicles, hazmat capability; standby pay included).
📋 Confidence Notes
Many items have well-defined cost ranges (infrastructure, staffing, monitoring) so midrange estimates are reasonable; uncertainty remains around the optional capture program, legal contingency sizing, and low-probability incident frequencies, yielding a medium confidence.
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