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SCP-1631 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-1631
Expected annual
$1.2M
One-time setup
$626K
Annual recurring
$1.2M
Personnel
9
Estimated one-time capital costs ≈ $626,000 for vehicles, cutting units, secure storage and an initial contingency seed; expected annual operating costs ≈ $1.19M driven primarily by research/staff wages, per-sample laboratory analysis, security/field operations and a recurring contingency reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $626K
Contingency Seed $250K
[#21] Initial contingency / escalation fund seed recommended as a one-time capital reserve.
Facilities $230K
[#8, #9] Secure temporary storage retrofit (~$30k) and long-term archival facility fit-out (~$200k).
Equipment $146K
[#2, #4, #5, #6, #7, #19, #22, #23] Industrial cutting unit (~$26k), dust-suppression/filtration rig (~$7.5k), initial PPE kit (~$1.5k), HEPA scrubbers (~$10k), vehicle purchase (~$45k), initial monitoring equipment (~$6k), secure IT/server (~$35k), and drone platform (~$15k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.2M/yr
Staff Wages $490K/yr
[#1, #11, #15] Field removal crew operations (~$60k/yr at ~50 removals), research personnel (1 PI + 2 techs ≈ $250k/yr), and security staffing (~$120k/yr), plus administrative salaries (~$60k/yr).
Contingency Reserve Annual Contribution $150K/yr
[#21] Annual contribution to contingency/reserve fund (program-level reserve; recommended 1× annual operations as a baseline).
Research And Monitoring $133K/yr
[#10, #19] Per-sample laboratory analysis (SEM/XRD/MS) budgeted at ~$2,500/sample × 50 samples = ~$125k/yr plus environmental & health surveillance (~$8k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#12, #13, #16] Cemetery liaison and records access (~$30k/yr), legal/cover story retainer and incident legal costs (~$60k/yr), PR/cover materials overhead (~$10k/yr).
Stone Repair And Replacement $75K/yr
[#17] Per-marker repair/replacement after removals (~$1.5k average × 50 removals ≈ $75k/yr).
Administrative Overhead $60K/yr
[#25] Program management, accounting, HR, insurance and HQ support apportioned to the program (~$60k/yr; ~10–25% of ops).
Facilities Maintenance $53K/yr
[#8, #9] Ongoing utilities, climate control and monitoring for temporary storage and archival facility operations (~$3k–$50k; mid = $53k).
Supplies And Consumables $25K/yr
[#3, #5, #6] Cutting consumables (~$17.5k/yr for 50 removals), PPE consumables (~$6.25k/yr), and HEPA/filter replacements (~$1.6k/yr).
Remote Detection Program $25K/yr
[#23] Drone/aerial survey program and per-survey operating costs (~$25k/yr for moderate coverage).
Amnestic Operations $25K/yr
[#14] Amnesticization operations (medical supervision, drugs, follow-up) estimated conservatively at ~$25k/yr for occasional discoverers; scales with incidents.
It Maintenance $20K/yr
[#22] Cybersecurity, server maintenance and software updates for secure mapping/chain-of-custody systems (~$20k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $19K/yr
[#7, #18] Vehicle fuel/maintenance (~$9k/yr) and per-removal crating/transport/shipping to central lab (~$10k/yr).
Waste Disposal And Permits $10K/yr
[#4, #24] Disposal fees for slurry, contaminated PPE/filters and hazardous-waste contractor pickups (~$10k/yr for ~50 removals).
Training And Certification $4K/yr
[#20] Initial and refresher training costs (~$500–2,000 initial; ~$200–600/yr per staff; budgeted ~$4k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.2M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled removals (~50/year), routine monitoring, no major public exposures or large outbreaks.
scheduled_removals routine_maintenance no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $1.2M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Localized public discovery or municipal complaint requiring extra legal work, additional amnesticization, and emergency removals.
localized_public_discovery legal_dispute several_extra_removals
🚨 Major Outbreak $3.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Widespread or accelerated occurrence (hundreds of removals) or large public/media exposure requiring mass response, large-scale amnesticization and contingency deployment.
mass_outbreak widespread_media_exposure mass_amnesticization
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1 [#11] PI overseeing materials/research program.
Research Technician 2 [#11] Lab technicians supporting analysis and sample prep.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#15] Site security for operations and public exclusion.
Field Removal Crew 3 [#1] Mobile skilled crew (stonemason/operator, handlers, supervisor) per active operation.
Administrative Staff 1 [#12, #25] Program admin, liaison and records management.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed and provide ranges for nearly all line items, but occurrence rate, scale and the need for in-house lab instrumentation vs outsourced testing remain uncertain; scenario probabilities are subjective.
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