SCP-1646 — SCP-1646 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-1646 Safe-exsequi ~ medium confidence

SCP-1646

Expected annual

$1.5M

One-time setup

$1.3M

Annual recurring

$1.5M

Personnel

Estimated initial one-time capital outlay is approximately $1,258,000, with an expected baseline recurring cost of about $1,337,672 per year. The dominant recurring drivers are staffing/security and allocated tactical support, with per-event forensic/cleanup costs and contingencies adding variability.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.3M

Land Acquisition $500K

[#1] Purchase of Site 84 campground, site rehab, easements and initial property setup (purchase scenario chosen).

Contingency Reserve One Time $250K

[#23] Initial contingency/reserve draw capability for emergency escalations, heavy containment or relocation.

Vehicles And Field Equipment $95K

[#17] Two pickup trucks, ATV/UTV, trailers and secure evidence transport containers.

Power Backup Installation $80K

[#3] Generator + battery bank/solar installation and grid hookup for redundancy at remote site.

Surveillance Hardware $70K

[#4] Thermal/NIR cameras, motion sensors, tamper detectors and installation (10–15 cameras).

Perimeter Fence Installation $45K

[#2] Electrified perimeter fence installation including gates, grounding, signage, vegetation clearance.

Freezer Walkin $35K

[#14] Walk-in freezer and secure specimen archive for short-term storage and chain-of-custody.

Fire Suppression Equip $30K

[#9] Portable pumps, foam/wetting agents, hoses, water storage and lined controlled burn pit lining.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $25K

[#15] Initial detailed chemical characterization series (mass-spec, chromatography, toxicity) for SCP-1646 fluid.

Secure Servers Setup $25K

[#5] Secure servers/NVR, classified-network segregation, encryption and backup setup for video/log retention.

Tactical Gear $25K

[#8] One-time tactical gear and equipment for on-call response team (ammo, restraints, specialised gear).

Documentation Project Setup $20K

[#19] One-time photogrammetry/GIS project to document the existing 623 markings and initial cataloguing.

Initial Training Program $12K

[#22] Initial staff training in fire suppression, hazmat handling and trauma care.

Gatehouse Setup $10K

[#6] Gatehouse construction and initial access-control equipment to support private-property cover story.

Hazmat Initial Kit $10K

[#10] Initial full-body hazmat suits, respirators, decontamination equipment and disposable PPE stock.

Drone Purchase $10K

[#18] Drone purchase and initial training for aerial surveillance/documentation capability.

Environmental Baseline Survey $10K

[#16] Baseline soil and air survey to establish contamination baselines prior to operations.

Cover Establishment One Time $6K

[#21] Initial legal/PR/cover establishment costs to list Site 84 as private property and establish local relations.

Facilities $0

[]

Equipment $0

[]

Inhouse Lab Fitout $0

[#13] In-house BSL-2/3 lab fit-out option not selected in baseline; using contracted forensic services instead.

Initial Capital Summary $0

[#27] Initial capital summary is represented by the itemized one-time costs above.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.5M/yr

Staff Wages $510K/yr

[#7] 24/7 site security staffing: 6guards (3 shifts × 2) + 1 supervisor; salaries, benefits, overtime and clearance overhead.

Tactical Team Allocated Cost $300K/yr

[#8] Allocated cost-share for 3–6 on-call tactical/containment agents (salary+benefits share) for readiness and training.

Administrative Overhead $143K/yr

[#24] Central HR, payroll, classified accounting and clearances allocated at ~12% of recurring operating budget.

Cover Story And Legal $75K/yr

[#21] Retainer/PR/local relations/insurance and legal support to maintain cover story and manage FOIA/media issues.

Legal Retainer And Insurance $75K/yr

[#21] Legal retainer, insurance premiums and PR budget to manage leaks/media and local legal issues.

Contingency Reserve Annual Allocation $75K/yr

[#23] Annual allocation to replenish contingency/reserve for escalations or major incidents.

Per Specimen Forensic Contracts $51K/yr

[#11] Contracted autopsy/pathology and sequencing: median ~$8,500/specimen × 6 events/yr = $51,000.

Research And Monitoring $36K/yr

[#15, #16] Ongoing chemical spot-tests (~$1,100/occurrence ×6 = $6,600) and environmental monitoring/sampling (~$8,000) plus ongoing IT/storage research allocations.

It Storage And It Personnel $30K/yr

[#5] Ongoing secure storage, IT maintenance and periodic audits for classified data retention.

Training And Health Monitoring $25K/yr

[#22] Annual training refreshers, vaccinations and periodic medical screening for staff.

Environmental Remediation Reserve $20K/yr

[#16] Annual allocation toward potential remediation costs if contamination is discovered.

Logistics And Transport $14K/yr

[#17] Vehicles fuel & maintenance and evidence transport support for routine operations.

Cataloguing Personnel Time $12K/yr

[#14, #19] Personnel time allocated to specimen cataloguing and archive management.

Generator Fuel And Maintenance $10K/yr

[#3] Fuel and maintenance for backup generator and hybrid power system.

Land Taxes And Management $10K/yr

[#1] Ongoing property tax, land management and local fees (purchase scenario).

Biohazard Disposal Per Event $9K/yr

[#12] Hazardous waste hauling and incineration ~ $1,500/incident × 6 events/yr = $9,000.

Environmental Monitoring And Sampling $8K/yr

[#16] Periodic soil/air sampling and baseline checks (~4 samples/yr at median cost).

Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr

[#20] Per-event consumables (body bags, sample kits, cleaning supplies) estimated at ~$1,250/event × 6 events/yr.

Per Event Consumables $8K/yr

[#20] Consumables aggregated separately to avoid double-counting with consolidated summaries.

Chemical Spot Tests Per Event $7K/yr

[#15] Per-event spot-tests (~$1,100/test) × 6 events/yr = $6,600.

Surveillance Maintenance And Storage $6K/yr

[#4] Video storage/archiving costs and system maintenance for thermal/NIR cameras.

Facilities Maintenance $6K/yr

[#2] Perimeter fence maintenance and vegetation clearance; includes electricity consumption for fence (~annual).

Fence Maintenance And Electricity $6K/yr

[#2] Annual fence repairs and electricity for electrified perimeter.

Hazmat Replacement $5K/yr

[#10] Annual replacement/consumables for hazmat PPE, decon supplies and chemical neutralizers.

Drone Operations $4K/yr

[#18] Drone operator time, maintenance and small consumables.

Fire Consumables And Inspections $3K/yr

[#9] Consumables (foam/wetting agents), pump maintenance and routine inspections.

Documentation Per Event And Ongoing $3K/yr

[#19] Per-event photography/logging and ongoing archive maintenance (~$500/event × 6).

Freezer Electricity And Maintenance $2K/yr

[#14] Walk-in freezer electricity and routine maintenance.

Gatehouse Maintenance $1K/yr

[#6] Gatehouse maintenance, visitor authentication consumables and signage upkeep.

Inhouse Lab Personnel $0/yr

[#13] In-house lab staffing not budgeted in baseline (contracted services used).

Per Event Operational Summary $0/yr

[#25] Per-event consolidated operational cost reported in notes; detailed per-event items are budgeted separately above.

Expected Annual Summary $0/yr

[#26] Expected annual recurring cost summary and frequency assumptions are represented in the baseline recurring total.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.5M/yr

89.0% probability / year

Normal year with expected event frequency (~6/year) and routine operations; no major incidents or remediation required.

typical_event_frequency stable_containment no major environmental finding

🚨 Minor Incident $1.5M/yr

6.0% probability / year +$26K vs baseline

Year with increased appearance frequency (e.g., seasonal surge or ecological change) doubling events to ~12/year, causing added per-event costs and overtime.

increase_in_appearance_frequency seasonal_peak nearby ecological change

🚨 Major Breach $1.8M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$376K vs baseline

Hostile SCP-1646-1 interaction or containment escalation requiring capture operations, emergency legal/media response and temporary increased security posture.

hostile_encounter containment_breach heavy_media_exposure

🚨 Large Remediation $1.5M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$76K vs baseline

Significant environmental contamination discovered from repeated burn events requiring major remediation (soil removal, remediation contracts) and associated legal costs.

confirmed_soil_contamination regulatory_action large-scale_remediation_required

👥 Personnel 12 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	6	[#7] Six guards covering three shifts (2 per shift); salaries included in staff_wages.
Site Supervisor / Security Supervisor	1	[#7] On-site supervisor; salary included in staff_wages.
On-call Tactical / MTF Agent	3	[#8] Allocated on-call tactical agents (shared across sites); salary share included in tactical_team_allocated_cost.
Administrative Staff / Archivist	1	[#14, #19] Personnel for cataloguing and administrative tasks; cost allocation included in cataloguing_personnel_time and administrative overhead.
Engineer / Maintenance	1	[#3, #17] Maintenance/engineer for generator, vehicles and site systems; role covered by recurring maintenance allocations.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line items and realistic ranges allowing a medium confidence; uncertainty remains in event frequency (2 days–4 months) and in occasional high-cost contingencies (remediation, major breaches), which prevent a high confidence rating.

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