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SCP-1647 Extranormal ~ medium confidence
SCP-1647
Expected annual
$3.8M
One-time setup
$2.9M
Annual recurring
$3.5M
Personnel
25
One-time setup and contingency costs are approximately $2.70M, while baseline annual readiness and operating costs are about $3.51M/yr. Major recurring drivers are MTF personnel, research/monitoring, medical readiness, and ongoing amnestic production; per-incident response (~$80k/incident) is budgeted separately in scenarios.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.9M
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#23] $1,000,000 contingency held for rapid surge construction, supplies, or emergency procurements.
Equipment $550K
[#10, #12, #20] Purchase of 4 transport vans ($200k), initial covert communications equipment ($50k), and initial MTF on-scene kit for 3 squads ($30k). Includes contingency for other equipment purchases allocated here.
Initial Amnestic Production And Storage $500K
[#7] Initial small-scale Class B/C amnestic production, secure synthesis area, storage and QA set-up.
Facilities $300K
[#3] Three regional field office setup costs, leasehold improvements, secure comms and small clinic rooms.
Padded Chambers $200K
[#4] Build/retrofit of 6 padded humanoid containment chambers (midpoint estimate $200k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $120K
[#21, #11] Initial surveillance/dev setup ($100k) and initial data/archive setup ($50k) minus overlap accounted; primary initial research/data infrastructure and dev costs.
Data And Analysis Initial Dev $120K
[#26] Monitoring software development and initial one-time analyst onboarding (note listed as $120k initial).
Training Program And Initial Agent Training $99K
[#13] Program development ($75k) plus initial per-agent training one-time cost (12 agents × $2k = $24k).
Cover Identity Startup $50K
[#14] Initial creation/setup of cover identities, shell entities and infrastructure.
Notes Reconciliation $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.5M/yr
Staff Wages $2.1M/yr
[#1, #2, #6] MTF core team salaries and benefits (~12 × $120k = $1,440,000), surge/deployment pool budget (~$300k/yr), and medical staff & on-call clinicians (~$350k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $505K/yr
[#22, #21, #26] Dedicated anomalous research program (~$400k/yr), data hosting & IT security ($25k/yr), and monitoring/analytics recurring costs ($80k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $235K/yr
[#3, #5, #28] Lease & utilities for 3 regional offices ($90k/yr), padded chamber maintenance and consumables ($45k/yr), and annual replacement/reserve cycles ($100k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $212K/yr
[#14, #16, #24, #27] Cover-identity maintenance ($25k/yr), legal counsel retainer ($50k/yr), insurance/compliance/audits ($112,500/yr), and community-level cover programs ($25k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $165K/yr
[#7, #20] Ongoing amnestic production/replacement and QA ($150k/yr) and on-scene consumables/replenishment ($15k/yr).
Surveillance And Triage $150K/yr
[#11] Analysts and hosting/triage staff to operate hotline/intake, triage reports and route MTF responses (~$150k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $123K/yr
[#10, #12, #25] Fleet O&M (fuel, insurance, maintenance) ~$40k/yr, covert/satellite/data links & SIM management ~$8k/yr, and travel/per-diem budgets ~$75k/yr.
Training And Refresher $25K/yr
[#13] Ongoing refresher training program costs ($25k/yr).
Per Incident Amnestic Administration $0/yr
[#8] Per-incident amnestic administration costs (Class B ~ $50–60k; Class C ~ $1k plus med staff time). Not included in baseline readiness; charged per incident.
Per Incident Emergency Medical $0/yr
[#9] Emergency medical supplies, trauma care and ER transfers (~$5k–$25k/incident). Not included in baseline readiness; charged per incident.
Per Incident Public Suppression $0/yr
[#15] Per-incident PR/cover suppression (~$5k–$50k depending on scale; baseline readiness excludes per-incident spend).
Per Incident Legal And Forensics $0/yr
[#16] Per-incident legal/forensic fees ($5–15k/incident); retainer included in cover_story_and_legal above.
Per Incident Repair Reimbursement $0/yr
[#17] Property repair/reimbursement per-incident (~$2k–$25k). Charged per incident.
Per Subject Aftercare $0/yr
[#18] Psychological aftercare per affected individual (~$2k–$10k/subject). Charged per affected subject.
Per Subject Custody Cost $0/yr
[#19] Short-term custody/evaluation placement per subject (~$1k–$3k/day). Charged per subject/event.
Baseline Note $0/yr
[#29] Analyst summary: baseline recurring range $3.5M–$4.5M/yr (per-incident costs excluded).
Stress Test Note $0/yr
[#30] Worst-case / stress-test commentary (handled via cost_scenarios).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.5M/yr
70.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year: readiness, staffing, research and maintenance with no major incident cluster; per-incident costs are not incurred beyond routine readiness.
no major incidents standard incident cadence (handled within surge budget)
🚨 Minor Incident Year $3.9M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Moderate incident frequency year (example: ~5 SCP-1647 events) where per-incident response costs are incurred but no large-scale surge required.
5 anomalous teacher events localized media attention multiple small medical/amnestic responses
🚨 Major Outbreak $6.6M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$3.1M vs baseline
High-frequency / multi-site outbreak (e.g., ~20 incidents/year) requiring surge staffing, temporary facilities, and large-scale PR/cover operations.
20+ incidents in a year simultaneous multi-site events major media/political exposure requiring large surge
👥 Personnel 25 total
Role Count Notes
Mobile Task Force / MTF Agent 12 [#1] Core rotating MTF Epsilon-13 team of ~12 specialists (undercover instructors, medics, containment techs).
Analyst / Triage Staff 3 [#11, #26] Surveillance/triage analysts to handle hotline/intake, predictive analytics and monitoring.
Medical Officer / Clinician 2 [#6] Equivalent of 2 FTE clinicians for sedation, monitoring, amnestic administration and aftercare.
Research Scientist 4 [#22] Small dedicated anomalous research program (3–5 researchers; midpoint used).
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#20, #28] Support for vehicles, comms, chambers and periodic equipment replacement cycles.
Administrative / Legal Liaison 2 [#14, #16, #24] Admin and legal/compliance staff handling cover logistics, coordination, and compliance; retainer/legal tasks budgeted separately.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are built directly from analyst-provided line items and midpoints where ranges were given; many per-incident costs and surge/PR/legal outcomes vary widely, producing moderate uncertainty.
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