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SCP-1649 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-1649
Expected annual
$1.4M
One-time setup
$5.6M
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
9.5
One-time setup and contingency capital dominated by a large escalation reserve; annual operating costs driven by staff wages, legal/PR retainer, and logistics/monitoring tools. Baseline recurring costs ~ $1.36M/yr, with a multi-million-dollar contingency reserved for large-scale outbreaks.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.6M
Large Escalation Contingency $5.0M
[#19] Large contingency reserve for mass broadcast / highly contagious variant (minimum scenario entry value $5,000,000 chosen from $5M–$50M range).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $150K
[#8] Research program equipment/setup estimate ($150,000).
Equipment $126K
[#2, #3, #9, #13] Forensic digitization and tooling ($8,500), spectrum-monitoring hardware ($30,000), secure digital backup servers ($8,000), vehicles/mobile kits purchase ($80,000).
Emergency Broadcast Reserve $100K
[#6] One-time reserve for takedown fund / technical kit and urgent buys (midpoint of $50k–$150k).
Legal Defense Contingency $100K
[#25] One-time contingency for litigation/settlement in case of accidental public exposure ($100,000).
Facilities $80K
[#1, #7, #18, #24] Vault retrofit ($15,000), amnestic clinic setup ($50,000), evidence locker/outfitting ($10,000), archival access control hardware ($5,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Staff Wages $885K/yr
[#4, #5, #11, #16, #8] Monitoring staff (2 FTE, $150,000), rapid-response agents (3 FTE, $360,000), investigator analyst (1 FTE, $80,000), media triage analyst (0.5 FTE, $45,000), research staff & operational costs (allocated here $250,000).
Personnel Overhead $150K/yr
[#14] Administrative overhead: clearances, benefits, training (~25–30% of salary pool).
Cover Story And Legal $125K/yr
[#10, #25] Annual legal/PR retainer and retained settlement budget: retainer ($100,000/yr) + retained legal/settlement baseline ($25,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $80K/yr
[#5, #11, #13, #15] Rapid-response vehicle/fuel allowance ($20,000), investigator operational costs/travel ($20,000), vehicle maintenance/operational upkeep ($10,000), incident travel & lodging baseline ($30,000).
Station Cooperation Fund $50K/yr
[#23] Annual small contingency fund for station-level cooperation / discrete payments (midpoint $50,000/yr).
Training And Tabletop Exercises $20K/yr
[#20] Annual training, drills, and external facilitators ($20,000/yr).
Media Monitoring Tools $15K/yr
[#16] Social/media scraping software/tools ($15,000/yr).
Emergency Broadcast Replenishment $10K/yr
[#6] Replenishment/reserve top-ups for takedown buys or urgent airtime purchases (estimated $10,000/yr as used).
Records Audit And Compliance $10K/yr
[#22] Periodic audits and compliance specialist support ($10,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $8K/yr
[#1, #9, #21, #24] Vault/climate/security monitoring ($1,000), digital backup storage/maintenance ($3,000), utilities/HVAC/UPS ($3,500), archival access maintenance ($1,000).
Equipment Software Licensing $2K/yr
[#3] Spectrum-monitoring software updates/licensing ($2,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
Research And Monitoring $0/yr
[]
Forensic Analysis Per Incident $0/yr
[#12] Per-incident forensic analysis ($5,000–$20,000 per incident); baseline annual frequency not assumed here.
Psychological Aftercare Per Case $0/yr
[#7, #17] Per-subject psychological aftercare and post-amnestic follow-up ($2,000–$5,000 per subject); baseline annual frequency not assumed here.
Seizure Processing Per Incident $0/yr
[#18] Per-seizure processing / forensic imaging ($2,000 per major seizure); baseline annual frequency not assumed here.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with regular monitoring, research, legal retainer, and routine operations; no major live rebroadcast incidents requiring large-scale response.
no live rebroadcasts routine monitoring scheduled training/expenditure
🚨 Minor Incident $1.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$130K vs baseline
Localized live rebroadcast is detected requiring field response, forensic analysis, limited amnestic treatments, and incident-level legal/PR actions.
localized live broadcast small cluster of affected civilians regional station takedown required
🚨 Major Outbreak $9.4M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline
Widespread or highly communicable live rebroadcast requiring mass response: nationwide overrides, mass amnestic clinics, emergency legal/PR, and deployment of large contingency reserves.
regional-to-national rebroadcast increase in memetic transmissibility failure of local takedown measures
👥 Personnel 9.5 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 3 [#8] Researchers allocated to the memetic research program (included in recurring research staffing costs).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#5] Rapid-response field team agents for takedown/investigation (3 FTEs).
Radio Analyst / Technician 2 [#4] Continuous spectrum-monitoring staff (2 FTEs).
Investigator / Intelligence Analyst 1 [#11] Investigator/analyst for ongoing surveillance of creators/associates.
Media Analyst 0.5 [#16] Part-time/0.5 FTE media-monitoring triage analyst for social scraping outputs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst-provided itemized estimates and historical notes support reasonable accounting for staffing, equipment, and common recurring items; large ranges (per-incident costs and the extreme escalation contingency) introduce uncertainty in worst-case estimates, so confidence is medium.
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