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SCP-1656 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-1656
Expected annual
$3.0M
One-time setup
$2.6M
Annual recurring
$2.9M
Personnel
15
Estimated one-time capital of $2,553,000 to establish containment and research capacity for a 10-instance cohort, with recurring annual costs of $2,920,000 dominated by medical supplies (TPN), staff wages (security and research), and contingency/response readiness.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.6M
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#19] Incident response and emergency contingency reserve (one-time seed): $1,000,000.
Equipment $683K
[#3, #5, #11, #16, #17, #18, #21, #22, #25] Monitoring and hardware: CCTV/sensors ($80,000), infusion pumps and accessories ($30,000), -80°C freezers ($30,000), initial PPE stock ($3,000), transport containers/vehicle/containers ($30,000), rapid-response equipment portion ($400,000), InfoSec initial systems ($50,000), data-acquisition hardware ($40,000), sample archival hardware ($20,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $450K
[#13, #27] Initial research campaign and lab consumables/setup: molecular/metagenomic research seed and pilot studies ($250,000) plus initial long-term-study seed/pilot costs ($200,000).
Facilities $370K
[#1, #2, #4, #15] Construction and structural upgrades: ten 1m×1m cells ($120,000), HVAC install infrastructure for cells ($40,000), redundant power/generator upgrade ($100,000), BSL-2 laboratory upgrade ($150,000).
Legal Defense Reserve One Time $50K
[#28] Initial archival legal/indemnity reserve (one-time): $50,000.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.9M/yr
Staff Wages $1.0M/yr
[#7, #8, #14] Salaries and benefits: 1RN/medical tech (~$100,000), security team (9 personnel, ~$450,000), dedicated research personnel (PI + 2 scientists + 2 techs, ~$450,000) aggregated to $1,000,000/yr.
Supplies And Consumables $677K/yr
[#5, #6, #9, #16] Medical consumables and therapeutics: TPN/IV fluids for 10 instances (~$547,500/yr), disposable consumables and daily sterile items (~$109,500/yr), PPE replacement/training consumables (~$20,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $415K/yr
[#12, #13, #22, #24, #25, #27] Ongoing diagnostics, testing and study costs: pathology/imaging allocation ($20,000), routine molecular testing ($50,000), data acquisition and monitoring maintenance ($15,000), training/drills and SOP updates ($20,000), sample archival maintenance ($10,000), multi-year study/trial work ($300,000).
Logistics And Transport $305K/yr
[#17, #18] Transport and rapid-response readiness: per-move/container costs baseline ($5,000/yr), rapid response/Mobile Containment Team readiness and maintenance ($300,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $120K/yr
[#20, #28] Cover story, PR, legal and indemnity ongoing budgets: baseline cover-story/PR/legal ($100,000/yr) plus legal defense fund replenishment ($20,000/yr).
Information Security And Vetting $100K/yr
[#21] Recurring InfoSec, vetting and secure IT maintenance (~$100,000/yr).
Contingency Replenishment $100K/yr
[#19] Annual replenishment target for the incident/emergency fund (~$100,000/yr replenishment).
Ethical Oversight $100K/yr
[#26] Ethical oversight, subject-care liaison, mental health support and related obligations (~$100,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $88K/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #11, #23] Ongoing building and systems maintenance: HVAC/electrical for cells ($4,000), CCTV monitoring/maintenance ($5,000), generator fuel/maintenance ($15,000), freezer maintenance/power ($4,000), general janitorial and specialized decon ($60,000).
Biohazard Waste Disposal $15K/yr
[#10] Contracted biohazard waste handling and disposal (~$15,000/yr).
Scaling Multiplier Planning $0/yr
[#29] Planning and modeling for scalable propagation risk; no baseline recurring spend allocated here (costs modeled in large-scale scenarios).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.9M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year maintaining a 10-instance cohort with routine research and containment operations.
no breaches steady patient census routine research progress
🚨 Minor Incident $3.2M/yr
7.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized containment incident requiring extra medical interventions, small-scale recovery operations, and PR/legal work.
single-instance transient breach localized public exposure expedited diagnostics and PR
🚨 Major Breach $4.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant breach or public incident requiring large-scale recovery, expedited research, legal action, and replenishment of contingency funds.
multi-instance escape widespread public contamination/exposure mass recovery and legal response
🚨 Large Scale Propagation $9.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$6.8M vs baseline
SCP proves scalable/contagious or an event results in ~100 simultaneous instances requiring major scale-up of containment, staffing, and perpetual TPN supply.
contagious spread detected sudden mass appearance (~100 instances) requirement for large-scale facilities and logistics
👥 Personnel 15 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 9 [#8] 24/7 guard coverage for the wing + supervisor; assumed 9 personnel covering shifts (6–10 range in notes).
Nursing / Medical Technician 1 [#5, #7] One full-time RN/medical technician covering daily IV/TPN care for ~10 instances.
Site Director / PI 1 [#14] Principal investigator / site leadership included in research staffing estimates.
Research Scientist 2 [#14] Two research scientists for molecular and clinical research work.
Laboratory Technician 2 [#14] Two lab technicians for sample processing, testing and daily lab tasks.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are assembled from broad ranges in the analyst notes; core recurring drivers (TPN, staffing, security, contingency) are well-identified but per-instance medical costs and outbreak propagation risk carry significant uncertainty, producing a medium confidence rating.
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