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SCP-1685 Safe ? low confidence
SCP-1685
Expected annual
$15.7M
One-time setup
$45.9M
Annual recurring
$15.4M
Personnel
70
Estimated one-time program setup for a 20-instance program is approximately $42.8M driven mainly by pressure-suit procurement, airlock construction, and instrumentation; recurring annual costs are approximately $15.4M driven by staff wages (MTF and research), site security, and program overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $45.9M
Equipment $31.2M
[#5, #6, #8, #9, #11] One-time hardware: continuous monitoring hardware portion ($20k ×20 = $0.4M), vacuum-rated pressure suits (2 suits/site × $500k/suit ×20 sites = $20.0M), telemetry/comms installation ($15k ×20 = $0.3M), telescope/sensor suites ($200k ×20 = $4.0M), remote robotics (10 units × $300k = $3.0M).
Facilities $9.0M
[#3, #4, #16, #20] Airlock construction ($300k each ×20 = $6.0M), redundancy/fail-safes ($90k ×20 = $1.8M), site integration/structural modifications ($50k ×20 = $1.0M), emergency generators capital ($30k ×20 = $0.6M). Estimates assume 20 instances.
Insurance Reserve Initial $2.0M
[#19] Initial centralized insurance/indemnity reserve (one-time seed) chosen as $2.0M.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.8M
[#10, #12] Centralized research & data infra and non-destructive testing buy-in: data handling initial infra (~$300k) + non-destructive investigation program buy-in (~$1.5M) = $1.8M.
Property Compensation Buyout $1.0M
[#17] Owner/tenant compensation/buyouts and relocation costs estimated ~$50k per instance ×20 = $1.0M.
Training Initial $700K
[#21] Initial specialized training for personnel estimated at $10,000 per person ×70 staff = $700k.
Perimeter Containment Lockdown $200K
[#2] Temporary perimeter lockdown costs: fencing, signage, off-duty officers, barriers estimated ~$10k per instance ×20 = $200k.
Scaling Estimate Per Instance $0
[#23] Reference containment-scaling guidance; no additional singular one-time line-item beyond per-instance items already included here.
Global Scale Example $0
[#24] Illustrative scaling examples provided in analyst notes (20/100-instance examples); accounted-for implicitly by multiplying per-instance costs for the 20-instance baseline used here.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $15.4M/yr
Staff Wages $10.0M/yr
[#13, #14, #15] Central research staff (~$2.0M/yr), MTF standing readiness including salaries and operations (~$6.0M/yr), local security staffing across sites (~$2.0M/yr). Sum used as consolidated staff wage figure.
Program Overhead Management $1.5M/yr
[#22] Central program administration, headquarters, audit/compliance and management overhead estimated at $1.5M/yr.
Supplies And Consumables $1.3M/yr
[#7, #21] Suit maintenance, consumables and life-support consumables (~$50k/site ×20 = $1.0M/yr) plus ongoing training recertification and drills (~$150k/yr) and spare parts/consumables (~$150k).
Research And Monitoring $800K/yr
[#5, #8, #9, #10, #12] Recurring telemetry/connectivity, power, telescope/sensor upkeep, data storage and analysis staff and non-destructive operations (~$0.8M/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $500K/yr
[#3, #4, #16, #20] Ongoing airlock/site maintenance, pressure testing infrastructure upkeep, and generator maintenance estimated conservatively at $0.5M/yr across 20 sites.
Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr
[#18] Legal, PR, government liaison and cover-story maintenance budgeted at ~$0.5M/yr.
Insurance Replenishment $500K/yr
[#19] Annual replenishment/reserve build for insurance/contingency funds budgeted at $0.5M/yr.
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#1] Site assessment and rapid-response reconnaissance (MTF deployments, travel, vehicles, lodging) budgeted at ~$300k/yr (assumes limited annual deployments for discovery/incident response).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $15.4M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal year with steady containment, routine maintenance, research, and no major incidents.
no_incidents routine_operations scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $17.4M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized incident requiring emergency response, temporary repairs, legal/compensation payouts, and MTF surge operations.
small_vent_or_leak public_exposure_risk localized_airlock_repair
🚨 Major Breach $25.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Catastrophic containment failure at one or more sites requiring full rebuild, large legal settlements, broad emergency operations and increased MTF/R&D response.
catastrophic_venting multi-site_failure major_public_casualties_or_damage
👥 Personnel 70 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 10 [#13] Central astrophysicists/materials/optical engineers and analysts supporting Project Heimdall and SCP-1685 research.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 40 [#14, #15] Mobile Task Force Pi-4 standing personnel and 24/7 local security staffing across 20 sites (~2 guards/site included in headcount).
Engineer / Maintenance 8 [#3, #4, #16, #20] Engineers and technicians for airlock maintenance, generator upkeep, and site integration.
Technician (data/robotics) 5 [#8, #9, #11, #10] Telescope, telemetry, robotics operators and data-handling technicians.
Administrative Staff / Program Managers 5 [#22] Program management, administrative, audit/compliance staff.
Medical Officer 2 [#7] Medical support for suit operations and emergency response.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude based on analyst ranges and assume a 20-instance program; significant uncertainty in instance count, suit pricing, incident frequency, and required robotics/non-destructive testing capacity leads to low confidence.
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