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SCP-1693 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1693
Expected annual
$2.2M
One-time setup
$4.4M
Annual recurring
$2.1M
Personnel
18
Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $4.38M, driven primarily by soundproofing, structural wing work, and automation/monitoring hardware; ongoing annual operating costs are about $2.12M, dominated by security and scientific staffing, maintenance contracts, and legal/cover arrangements.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.4M
Facilities $2.5M
[#1, #2, #3, #7, #8, #16, #21, #23, #28] Includes purpose-built containment wing (#1: $1,000,000), per-unit FAV Level 15 soundproofing and structural retrofits for cells (#2: $1,000,000), soundproofed antechambers (#3: $150,000), HVAC redesign/setup (#7: $100,000), HVAC exhaust treatment setup (#8: $100,000), secure vault structural element (#16: $20,000), mass disposal/incineration capacity (#21: $100,000), initial recordkeeping archival setup (#23: $10,000), and initial communications hardening signage/physical measures (#28: $20,000).
Equipment $825K
[#4, #5, #6, #9, #12, #17, #18, #20] Includes automated sealed consumables/waste transfer systems (#4: $250,000), millimeter-wave biometric sensors and installation (#5: $200,000), central control room hardware/software stack (#6: $150,000), UPS/generator redundancy (#9: $50,000), initial D-Class procurement (hard costs) (#12: $5,000), speech-synthesis delivery system setup (#17: $10,000), physical-document one-time reader/special-paper hardware (#18: $10,000), and emergency response equipment/vehicles setup (#20: $150,000).
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#22] Rapid-access contingency / risk reserve fund (one-time seed).
Long Term Research Contingency $250K
[#25] Long-term research contingency / multi-year emergency R&D seed (one-time allocation).
Breach Contingency Fund $200K
[#19] One-time breach contingency allocation per analyst note (lower-end chosen).
Decommissioning Overhaul $100K
[#26] Reserve for a single major cell teardown/overhaul (one-time allocation).
Initial Dclass Procurement $5K
[#12] Initial acquisition/legal procurement costs for D-Class (one-time).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.1M/yr
Staff Wages $1.4M/yr
[#10, #11] Security staffing payroll (#10: estimated $800,000/yr) and scientific/medical/containment staff salaries (#11: estimated $600,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $215K/yr
[#7, #8, #15, #23, #28] HVAC energy and silencing maintenance (#7: $40,000/yr), HVAC exhaust treatment/air-handling maintenance (#8: $50,000/yr), maintenance/calibration contracts for automation and sensors (#15: $100,000/yr), recordkeeping/offline archival upkeep (#23: $10,000/yr), and communications/no-audio audit/compliance (#28: $15,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $175K/yr
[#19, #29] Legal/cover-up retainer and PR/contingency annual retainer (#19: $100,000/yr) and insurance/premium costs for critical vendor contracts (#29: $75,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $150K/yr
[#14, #24] Amnestic/memetic countermeasure stockpile and procurement (#14: $100,000/yr) and ongoing memetic-awareness training/vetting/psychological monitoring support tied to monitoring efforts (#24: $50,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $90K/yr
[#12, #20] Ongoing D-Class upkeep/turnover (#12: $15,000/yr) and emergency-response standby operational costs/vehicle readiness (#20: $75,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $48K/yr
[#13, #17, #18] Consumables (food, PPE, sterilants, robotic consumables) (#13: $40,000/yr), speech-synthesis maintenance/licenses (#17: $3,000/yr), and physical-document consumables/training (#18: $5,000/yr).
Personnel Support $40K/yr
[#30] Psychological aftercare, replacement hiring and training budget (burnout/trauma mitigation).
Per Incident Termination $5K/yr
[#27] Annualized budget for occasional termination/disposal events (per-incident $5,000–$20,000, annualized low-end selection).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.1M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with planned staffing, maintenance, and consumables only.
no breaches routine maintenance staff rotations
🚨 Minor Incident $2.6M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$450K vs baseline
Localized containment incident requiring emergency response, temporary repair/overhaul of one unit and limited legal/cover activity.
single-cell contamination equipment failure requiring entry minor exposure requiring termination
🚨 Major Breach $4.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach with multiple exposures, full remediation, extensive legal/cover operations, and replacement of containment population.
multi-unit failure public exposure or significant staff contamination large-scale remediation & cover operations
👥 Personnel 18 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#10] 24/7 guarded facility staffing (rotations and supervisors) — payroll included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 2 [#11] Research/containment oversight staff included in scientific payroll.
Containment Technician 3 [#11] Containment technicians for operations and D-Class transfers; salaries included in scientific/medical payroll.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#11] Senior oversight/management; salary included in scientific/medical payroll.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude based on analyst ranges and typical commercial procurement; major uncertainties include local labor/real-estate variance, unknown efficacy of amnestics, and the low-frequency/high-impact nature of breaches which make probabilistic costs uncertain.
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