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SCP-1698 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-1698
Expected annual
$1.1M
One-time setup
$11.9M
Annual recurring
$1.1M
Personnel
4
Estimated one-time (book/sunk + buildout) costs are approximately $11.87M driven primarily by historic property acquisition and helipad/site stabilization; annual recurring operations are roughly $1.095M/yr driven by aviation (flight hours and readiness), staff wages, legal/cover operations, and contingency/reserve costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $11.9M
Facilities $10.1M
[#1, #7, #14, #15, #25] Property purchase (book value for three sites), heli/rooftop landing certification and installation, initial sanitation installation and structural preservation/climate-control buildout and initial stabilization.
Contingency Capital $1.0M
[#30] Capital contingency for loss of air access or major mitigation (tether systems, autonomous aerial scale-up, legal/operational programs).
Equipment $446K
[#10, #11, #13, #15, #22, #23] Initial drone/UAV systems and docking, generator purchases, initial survival supplies cache procurement, shelving/boxes, medical/forensic equipment, and comms hardware.
Litigation Reserve $200K
[#5] One-time litigation / legal suppression reserve (initial contingency/litigation fund).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $150K
[#24] Initial scientific monitoring equipment (LIDAR/GPR/optical sensors) and setup for anomaly study.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.1M/yr
Staff Wages $200K/yr
[#17, #18] Salaries/benefits for security monitoring operators and rotating site manager/caretaker positions (centralized monitoring + part-time on-site rotation).
Logistics And Transport $180K/yr
[#8, #27] Contracted helicopter flight hours for monthly access/archives plus secure transport/off-site retrieval operations and secure couriers.
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#2, #4, #5, #20, #29] Shell-company maintenance, local disinformation/PR operations, legal retainer (ongoing), mercy-termination protocol contracts/counseling budgets, and media monitoring/rapid-response content operations.
Research And Monitoring $120K/yr
[#24] Ongoing research staff time, consumables, sensor data operations and analysis for long-term anomaly monitoring.
Facilities Maintenance $100K/yr
[#3, #6, #15, #25, #26] Property taxes/municipal fees, land-access signage/fence maintenance, archival HVAC/utilities maintenance, periodic structural inspections, and baseline insurance premiums.
Rapid Response Teams $100K/yr
[#19] On-call MTF/response team readiness costs (training refreshers, equipment readiness, coordination) distinct from permanent staff wages.
Supplies And Consumables $70K/yr
[#12, #13, #14, #16] Generator fuel turnover and deliveries, annual rotation of survival supplies, waste removal/disposal, and pest-control services.
Aviation Readiness $50K/yr
[#9] Retainers/standby costs for pilots, positioning, hangar/standby costs and readiness for emergency extraction (separate from hourly access flights).
Training And Drills $30K/yr
[#28] Regular drills, safety exercises, compliance audits, and contractor fees for scenario training.
Forensics Reserve $25K/yr
[#21] Annual reserve for forensics, biohazard cleanup, incident-level decontamination, and hazardous-waste disposal.
Drone Maintenance $20K/yr
[#10] Ongoing maintenance, spare batteries, telemetry/data costs for UAV/sensor arrays.
Remote Comms $20K/yr
[#23] Ongoing satellite/data fees, leased VSAT/satphone lines and telemetry subscription costs.
Medevac Contract $15K/yr
[#22] Medevac standby contracts and emergency medical supply replenishment.
Contingency Reserve $15K/yr
[#26] Yearly contingency for bribes/penalties/rapid legal contingencies (smaller ongoing reserve separate from one-time litigation fund).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.1M/yr
93.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine flights, staff, maintenance, cover operations, and reserves exercised at planned rates.
routine_access_flights scheduled_archival_retrievals regular_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$125K vs baseline
Localized incident requiring extra flights, small-scale forensics and legal escalation (e.g., trapped civilians, failed extraction requiring additional sorties and cleanup).
small_expansion_trap failed_extraction local_media_attention
🚨 Major Expansion Event $1.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$800K vs baseline
Significant expansion or multi-person entrapment leading to mass rescue/mercy-termination operations, large legal exposure, extensive forensics/cleanup and potential emergency stabilization.
large_expansion_event multiple_casualties public_exposure/legal_action
👥 Personnel 4 total
Role Count Notes
Security Monitoring Operator 3 [#17] 2-4 FTE remote operators who monitor cameras and sensors and coordinate access; mid-range assumption 3 FTE.
Site Manager / Caretaker 1 [#18] Single rotating/part-time site manager or centralized caretaker covering three sites (budgeted as equivalent of 1 FTE).
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes provide many line-item ranges and clear drivers (aviation, legal/cover), but site-specific jurisdictional variability, possible decision to own vs contract aviation, and unpredictable expansion events produce moderate uncertainty in precise dollar amounts.
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