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SCP-1735 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1735
Expected annual
$1.1M
One-time setup
$2.0M
Annual recurring
$1.1M
Personnel
11
Initial capital costs are approximately $1.98M driven by robotics, research tranche, containment reserves and instrumentation; recurring operating costs are about $1.056M/yr driven primarily by security staffing and ongoing research/monitoring/logistics.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.0M
Containment Breach Reserve $625K
[#23] Large contingency/insurance reserve for containment-breach-scale response (midpoint ~$625,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $435K
[#8, #9, #22] Scientific instrumentation (GPR/lidar/etc ~ $55,000), initial sample-analysis battery (~$30,000), and initial research tranche (~$350,000).
Equipment $332K
[#4, #5, #7, #15, #16] Solar+battery & generator (~$42,000), surveillance cameras/NVR/installation (~$55,000), field robotics (~$200,000), initial spare parts stock (~$20,000), initial data/storage setup (~$5,000).
Contingency Reserve $276K
[#25] General contingency (recommended ~10% of combined initial capital + first-year operating budget).
Coverup Contingency Reserve $100K
[#19] Cover-up / public-affairs contingency reserve (midpoint ~$100,000 set aside).
Decommissioning Reserve $100K
[#24] Decommissioning / site-remediation reserve (midpoint ~$100,000).
Facilities $62K
[#3, #10] Fence installation, coastal mounting hardware, and site prep/platform construction (fence ~$22,500 midpoint; site prep/platform ~$40,000).
Emergency Reinforcement Fund $50K
[#13] Emergency reinforcement contingency fund for seawall/sand replacement (~$50,000 contingency).
Maritime Markers $10K
[#11] Buoys and maritime exclusion markers (one-time purchase/setup ~$10,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.1M/yr
Staff Wages $700K/yr
[#1, #2] Security guards (8 FTE to maintain 2-on-site coverage) + 1 site supervisor (~$480,000) and containment/field technicians (2 FTE equivalent, ~$220,000).
Research And Monitoring $130K/yr
[#8, #9, #13, #16, #22] Instrument calibration/maintenance (~$5,000), ongoing sample analysis/research allocations (~$30,000), environmental/geotechnical monitoring (~$30,000), data storage/analysis recurring (~$15,000), ongoing research program (~$50,000).
Logistics And Transport $86K/yr
[#11, #12, #21] Buoy maintenance & small patrol (~$23,000), helicopter/airlift retainer (~$25,000), travel/lodging/per diem for rotating staff (~$37,500).
Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr
[#17, #19] Legal, local liaison and permit management (~$40,000) plus small annual replenishment of cover-up reserve (~$10,000).
Amnestic And Followup $30K/yr
[#18] Amnestic administration, psychiatric follow-up and logistics (~$30,000/yr midpoint).
Facilities Maintenance $18K/yr
[#3, #4, #10] Annual fence/corrosion repairs (~$3,000), power fuel & maintenance (~$5,000), seasonal site re-leveling/repairs (~$10,000).
Communications Services $15K/yr
[#5, #6] Ongoing communications and remote uplink, storage bandwidth and satellite fallback (~$6,000 + ~$9,000 = $15,000/yr).
Training And Drills $12K/yr
[#20] Ongoing training, drills and safety compliance (~$12,000/yr).
Maintenance Spares Replenishment $8K/yr
[#15] Annual spare parts replenishment (~$8,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr
[#14] Consumables, PPE and expendables (~$7,500/yr midpoint).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.1M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with steady operations and no major incidents.
routine operations scheduled research and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.2M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$109K vs baseline
Storm damage, localized erosion, or limited public exposure requiring emergency repairs, extra flights, and modest legal/PR response.
severe storm/erosion limited public sighting equipment damage
🚨 Major Breach $2.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Large containment incident or accident (mass-casualty, major legal exposure) requiring full contingency/reserve activation and major replacement/response.
containment breach mass-casualty incident major public exposure / litigation
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#1] Eight FTE guards to provide continuous two-person coverage across shifts (includes recruiting and training costs covered in wages estimate).
Site Supervisor / Security Supervisor 1 [#1] One full-time site supervisor to manage rotations and oversight.
Containment Technician / Field Researcher 2 [#2] Two FTE equivalent containment technicians on rotation for monitoring and controlled tests.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of analyst ranges and explicit staffing assumptions; major uncertainties remain in robotics scope, reserve sizing for catastrophic events, and frequency of severe coastal weather/erosion, hence medium confidence.
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