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SCP-1748 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-1748
Expected annual
$10.5M
One-time setup
$11.2M
Annual recurring
$10.3M
Personnel
24
First-year one-time capital and setup are approximately $11.17M driven primarily by containment construction, off-site mitigation setup, and an initial contingency reserve seed; stable annual operating costs are roughly $10.27M/year driven by the D-Class program, security and research staff, ongoing contingency contributions, and maintenance/medical/reserve costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $11.2M
Contingency Reserve Seed $5.0M
[#20] Initial seed for Apollo/containment breach reserve fund (scalable).
Facilities $2.1M
[#1, #3, #6, #7, #28] Primary/secondary and tertiary chamber construction, structural soundproofing and HVAC integration, and off-site depot construction.
Long Range Mitigation Initial $2.0M
[#24] Initial contracting/agreements/infrastructure to enable population-gathering mitigation strategies.
Equipment $1.2M
[#2, #4, #5, #9, #11, #19, #26, #27, #29] Carbon-fiber mounts, acoustic valves/waveguides, active dampening hardware, non-audio monitoring suite, entry-screening hardware, transport/containment cases, initial surveillance/archival hardware, emergency medical equipment, disposal/sterilization gear.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $500K
[#23] Startup for controlled experiments, computational modeling, and research infrastructure.
Backup Power Installation $250K
[#8] On-site generator(s), ATS, UPS installation and initial commissioning.
Secure Media Vault $50K
[#10] Secure vault/storage and initial inventory/sanitization/retention capacity for susceptible media.
Training Initial $50K
[#25] Initial recruitment screening, SOP development, and training program setup.
Medical Screening Initial $8K
[#16] Baseline audiograms and initial occupational health screens for sector staff.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $10.3M/yr
D Class Program Ops $3.0M/yr
[#14] Housing, transport, medical triage, food, uniforms, and management for 60 D-Class personnel.
Staff Wages $1.9M/yr
[#12, #13] Dedicated containment research team (4 FTEs) and on-site security guard salaries (20 guards).
Contingency Reserve Recurring $1.0M/yr
[#20] Annual contribution to the containment/breach reserve fund for large-scale mobilization.
Cover Story And Legal $900K/yr
[#21, #22] Global media/policy cover-up budgets, legal/diplomatic liaison operations and intelligence coordination.
Mtf Readiness And Vehicles $750K/yr
[#13] Dedicated MTF readiness budget, vehicles, and specialized tools (operational funds).
Public Health Reserve $500K/yr
[#33] Reserve for long-term health monitoring, compensation, and potential settlements.
Research And Monitoring $395K/yr
[#9, #23, #16, #26] Monitoring suite maintenance/calibration, ongoing research team budget, annual audiology rechecks, and archival operations.
Insurance Drills $300K/yr
[#30] Scenario planning, multi-agency drills, simulations, and exercises.
Site Overhead $300K/yr
[#34] Opportunity cost, administrative overhead, accounting, and audit allocation for a Keter asset.
Maintenance And Spare Parts $275K/yr
[#32] Annual spare parts, calibration contracts, generator servicing, valve inspections, and component replacements.
Emergency Medical Ops $200K/yr
[#27] On-site emergency medical staffing, supplies, and otologic care capacity.
Logistics And Transport $175K/yr
[#15] Continuous D-Class rotation logistics, transport vans, scheduling, and overtime costs.
Psychological Care $125K/yr
[#17] Counseling, behavioral control, and post-exposure psychological remediation for staff and D-Class.
Long Range Mitigation Recurring $100K/yr
[#24] Annual exercises and contract maintenance for standing population-gathering agreements.
Facilities Maintenance $95K/yr
[#7, #8] HVAC/environmental operations and backup power fuel & routine maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $68K/yr
[#18, #29] PPE, hearing-safety gear replacement, and disposal/sterilization operational consumables.
Offsite Depot Maintenance $50K/yr
[#28] Maintenance and security for remote inert-media depots.
Entry Screening Staffing $30K/yr
[#11] Staffing costs for entry screening and interdiction operations.
Energy Consumption $30K/yr
[#31] Incremental electricity for active cancellation, HVAC, and control systems.
Acoustic System Calibration $25K/yr
[#5] Ongoing calibration and tuning of active dampening/anti-noise systems.
Training And Sop Recurring $25K/yr
[#25] Annual refresher training, recruitment screening, and record-keeping.
Media Audits $10K/yr
[#10] Annual audits and inventory checks of susceptible media on-site.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $10.3M/yr
87.9% probability / year
Normal year with no major containment incidents; ongoing operations, maintenance, and research continue as planned.
stable containment no large-scale mobilization routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $10.8M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized containment anomaly requiring moderate repairs, temporary increased staffing, and limited mobilization.
valve/mechanism failure localized acoustic escalation minor transfer to nearby media
🚨 Major Breach $18.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach requiring Apollo contingency enactment, broad mobilization, and major repairs/redeployment.
failed containment hardware rapid intensity increase site-wide broadcast (Apollo-A)
🚨 Catastrophic Escalation $60.3M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Escalation toward thresholds requiring mass public gatherings or international action; extremely high mobilization and mitigation costs.
exponential intensity growth audience-size threshold exceedance international / multi-site response
👥 Personnel 24 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Containment Researcher 4 [#12] Dedicated containment lead and researchers/engineers (accounted in staff_wages).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 20 [#13] On-site 24/7 guard coverage (salaries accounted in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates include many wide ranges and contingency/reserve choices; SCP-1748's escalation mechanics are poorly constrained and could force much larger expenditures, so uncertainty is high.
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