SCP-1755 — SCP-1755 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-1755 Keter ~ medium confidence

SCP-1755

Expected annual

$87.1M

One-time setup

$17.0M

Annual recurring

$80.2M

Personnel

One-time setup costs (~$17.0M) cover research setup, ultrasonic R&D/deployment, and PR/legal cover operations; recurring annual costs (~$79.2M/yr) are dominated by contingency pools for industry compensation, legal/lobbying & cover-story maintenance, insurance/reserves, and ongoing research/monitoring.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $17.0M

Initial Research And Lab Setup $13.0M

[#5, #12, #13, #14, #25] Class 2 lab wing retrofit and air handling; diagnostic R&D (PCR/biomarkers); large resistant-treatment/genetics research program startup; ultrasonic systems R&D; long-term research program setup/field-trial startup.

Equipment $1.3M

[#3, #4, #6, #7, #14] Laundry machines and laundering equipment; enhanced entry screening booths/lockers; airtight sample containers and racks; on-site incinerator hardware/permitting; ultrasonic emitter unit deployment for warehouses/processing sites.

Pr Campaign $1.1M

[#18] Initial cover-story / public-relations campaign, seeded articles, faux papers and related upfront media buys.

Disintegration Handling $625K

[#15] Facility upgrades for sealed containment to handle disintegrated biomass/ash/odors and pathogen testing.

Facilities $500K

[#1] Site retrofit to enforce cotton-free policy (replace textiles, resurface areas, signage).

Customs Training $275K

[#17] Initial port/customs screening training and kit distribution one-time costs.

Non Cotton Uniforms $120K

[#2] Initial purchase of polyester/nylon uniforms, lab coats, scrubs and spare stock for site personnel.

Field Team Training $100K

[#9] Initial training for rapid-response containment & eradication teams.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $80.2M/yr

Industry Wide Contingency $50.0M/yr

[#30] Large-scale contingency fund for national/industry-level mitigation, subsidies, conversion assistance and worst-case settlements.

Industry Compensation $10.0M/yr

[#20] Contingency pool/quiet settlements to compensate mills, retailers, and farmers for losses to prevent leaks and secure cooperation.

Insurance Reserve Fund $5.0M/yr

[#23] Annual set-aside toward a larger reserve fund for catastrophic outbreaks (multi-year replenishment).

Cover Story And Legal $3.4M/yr

[#18, #19, #26] Ongoing PR/cover-story maintenance, payments to proxies/sympathetic researchers, and legal/lobbying cooperation across jurisdictions (includes faux grants/support programs).

Research And Monitoring $2.6M/yr

[#12, #13, #16, #21, #25] Diagnostic kit deployment and operations; annual trials for resistant treatments; surveillance of textile supply chain; epidemiological monitoring software/ops (non-wage); long-term program annual budgets.

Public Health Amnestics $2.5M/yr

[#24] Budgeted annual contingency for covert medical support, local amnestic/medical interventions and associated cover medical costs.

Staff Wages $2.3M/yr

[#9, #10, #11, #4, #21, #29] Salaries for research scientists (6–10 FTEs), field-response personnel wages, security guards, entry-screening personnel, epidemiology/data analysts, and forensic/investigative staff.

Offsite Disposal Contracts $1.0M/yr

[#8] Standing contracts / contingency for bulk hazardous-waste incineration and emergency transport for large disposals.

Logistics And Transport $550K/yr

[#22, #11] Safe transport operations (sealed containers, dedicated routes, hazmat drivers) and per-shipment armored transport contracts/overhead.

Customs Support $550K/yr

[#17] Ongoing support for port/customs screening programs, kit resupply and refresher training.

Insurance Premiums $550K/yr

[#23] Annual premiums for property/liability and related policies.

Long Term Program $500K/yr

[#25] Annual operating budget for multi-year eradication planning and field coordination.

False Flag Grants $500K/yr

[#26] Annual funding for faux research groups, seeded publications, and academic cover work.

Field Response Teams $150K/yr

[#9] Non-wage recurring costs for field teams (vehicles, gear replenishment, consumables).

Forensics Investigations $150K/yr

[#29] Recurring internal investigations, counter-intel and vetting budgets (non-wage portion).

Drills Training $115K/yr

[#27] Annual incident-response drills, overtime, training materials and exercises.

Supplies And Consumables $105K/yr

[#2, #3, #6, #4] Recurring replacement/rotation of non-cotton uniforms; on-site laundry utilities/consumables; container replacement and inventory consumables; entry-screening consumables.

Facilities Maintenance $100K/yr

[#5] Annual utilities, HVAC/HEPA maintenance, and general maintenance for Class 2 lab and dedicated rooms.

Incinerator Operating $80K/yr

[#7] Fuel, operating, and maintenance costs for on-site incinerator.

Ultrasonic Maintenance $80K/yr

[#14, #28] Power, preventive maintenance, and spare parts for ultrasonic arrays and monitoring transducers.

Disintegration Processing $50K/yr

[#15] Recurring costs to process/neutralize biomass, odor control, ash handling per ton throughput.

Epidemiological Monitoring $0/yr

[]

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $80.2M/yr

83.0% probability / year

Normal year with no major incidents: containment/monitoring ongoing, regular research and cover-story maintenance only.

no large outbreaks ongoing surveillance and research regular PR/legal activity

🚨 Minor Incident $86.2M/yr

15.0% probability / year +$6.0M vs baseline

Localized outbreak requiring significant field response, increased disposal and PR/legal activity, and targeted compensation to affected businesses.

localized textile outbreak multiple consumer/retail incidents rapid-response team mobilization

🚨 Major Outbreak $379.2M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$299.0M vs baseline

Widespread outbreak affecting cotton supply chains/national industry requiring massive compensation, emergency disposal, and extraordinary cover/legal measures.

national/regional crop infestation mass retail returns/contamination events major industry/political exposure

👥 Personnel 45 total

Role	Count	Notes
Research Scientist	8	[#10] Micro/entomology/genetics team (PI, postdocs, technicians) accounted in research wages.
Field Response Agent	20	[#9] Rapid-response containment teams (4–6 teams, multiple operatives per team); wages and non-wage costs split into staff_wages and field_response_teams.
Security Officer / MTF Agent	8	[#11] Site & transport security personnel and escorts.
Epidemiologist / Data Analyst	4	[#21] Surveillance and tipline analysts for epidemiological monitoring.
Forensic Investigator / Counter-intel	2	[#29] Personnel for breach investigations and vetting.
Site Screening / Administrative Staff	3	[#4] Entry-screening personnel and administrative support (screening checkpoints, loaner clothing logistics).

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are built from ranges provided in analyst notes; many high-impact items are contingency-based (industry compensation, reserve funds) and depend on outbreak scale, producing substantial uncertainty.

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