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SCP-1811 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1811
Expected annual
$1.2M
One-time setup
$271K
Annual recurring
$1.2M
Personnel
9
Initial one-time setup (~$271,000) covers reading-room retrofit, environmental controls, digitization hardware, and initial cataloging; recurring annual costs (~$1.215M/yr) are dominated by staff wages, ongoing redaction/forensic work, security, and contingency/reserve funds.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $271K
Equipment $110K
[#1, #6, #9, #12, #20] Tamper-evident locker/retrofit, electronic monitoring/CCTV installs, high-resolution scanner and air-gapped server, initial PPE/setup, data-security hardening.
Facilities $62K
[#3, #11, #13] Environmental controls installation, reading-room retrofit, and shelving/archival fixtures for expanded corpus.
Contingency Reserve One Time $50K
[#21] One-time contingency/reserve to allow rapid space/staffing acquisition if replication accelerates.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $25K
[#10] Initial cataloging/OCR setup and initial redaction workflow establishment.
Background Checks $24K
[#8] Initial Level-3 vetting for handlers (team of ~6).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.2M/yr
Staff Wages $650K/yr
[#5, #7] Security staffing (4 FTE guards for 24/7 coverage) and specialist research team (lead researcher, 1–2 assistants, archivist, conservator).
Research And Monitoring $210K/yr
[#10, #11, #14, #15, #24, #25] Ongoing cataloging/redaction labor, reading-room ops and memetic precautions, controlled experimental budget, forensic analysis/contracted SME time, psychological screening/support, and long-term preservation budget.
Opportunity Cost $110K/yr
[#23] Internal opportunity cost equivalent to diverting one full-time scientist/technician from other projects.
Contingency Reserve $75K/yr
[#21] Recurring reserve (10–25% example) to scale storage/staffing/disposal in case of sustained replication or accelerated experiments.
Cover Story And Legal $30K/yr
[#18] Internal auditing, documentation, cover-story maintenance, and outside counsel/PR mitigation.
Destruction Service $30K/yr
[#16] Controlled destruction/disposal services (incineration/shredding/neutralization) for hazardous volumes when required.
Emergency Response Fund $30K/yr
[#17] Rapid response fund for incidents, overtime, containment supplies, and incident investigations/drills.
Supplies And Consumables $26K/yr
[#4, #12, #13, #22] Increased cleaning/janitorial program, PPE replenishment and handling consumables, archival small consumables and miscellaneous consumables.
Facilities Maintenance $18K/yr
[#2, #3] Room D308 overhead (pro-rated facility costs) and ongoing energy/maintenance for environmental controls (filters, HVAC energy).
Logistics And Transport $12K/yr
[#19] Secure inter-site moves, couriers, and chain-of-custody logistics.
Background Recertification $9K/yr
[#8] Recurring re-investigations and recertification costs for cleared personnel (~$1k–$2k/person/yr for ~6 people).
Data Backup And Storage $6K/yr
[#9] Backups, storage growth, and secure air-gapped media rotation for digitized copies.
Data Security And Isolation $6K/yr
[#20] Ongoing audits, hardening, and maintenance for air-gapped/digitized systems to prevent dissemination.
Electronic Monitoring $3K/yr
[#6] Maintenance and monitoring costs for CCTV, door sensors, accelerometers and logging/alerting systems.
Locker Maintenance $500/yr
[#1] Spare parts, tamper-seal replacement, and lock changes with personnel turnover.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.2M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal year with regular operations, no uncontrolled replication or major incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_research no_security_breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $1.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Small uncontrolled replication event or local containment breach requiring increased destruction, overtime, and contracted analysis.
small_uncontrolled_replication localized_security_breach extra_redaction_needed
🚨 Major Replication Event $1.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Runaway or poorly controlled replication requiring rapid expansion of storage, large-scale destruction, many extra staff-hours, and significant analytic effort.
runaway_replication failed_containment_cleaning large-scale_production
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#5] Four full-time guards to provide 24/7 coverage (rotating shifts).
Research Scientist 1 [#7] Lead researcher in charge of SCP-1811 experiments and approvals.
Research Assistant 2 [#7] Assistants to perform experiments, cataloging, and handling under supervision.
Archivist / Librarian 1 [#7] Cataloging, indexing, and managing access to produced volumes.
Conservator 1 [#7] Book conservator for safe handling, preservation, and treatments.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and staffing requirements, allowing medium confidence in order-of-magnitude estimates; uncertainty remains around replication frequency, scale-up probability, and choices about how aggressively the Foundation studies/induces replication.
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