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SCP-1822 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-1822
Expected annual
$52.2M
One-time setup
$147.4M
Annual recurring
$51.1M
Personnel
220
Estimated one-time setup costs are dominated by contingency and facility/equipment setup (~$147.4M one-time), while recurring annual costs are driven by embedded personnel, legal/PR, and covert operations (~$51.15M/yr). Main drivers: embedded academic agents, legal/PR/cover operations, and a large contingency reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $147.4M
Contingency Reserve $100.0M
[#19] Large contingency/reserve fund for high-cost emergency actions and large-scale cover-ups (recommended ~$100M one-time reserve).
Facilities $17.0M
[#4, #5, #20] Vault construction ($5M), amnestic production facility setup ($10M), and global satellite office setup ($2M) — structural and buildout costs.
Embedded Agent Placement $17.0M
[#1] Placement, training, and placement-related setup for ~100 embedded academic agents (one-time placement/training costs estimated at ~$17M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $6.0M
[#3] Advanced laboratory equipment and initial specialized research instrumentation for the observation-only research groups (~$6M).
Equipment $2.4M
[#2, #8, #11, #12, #23] Initial tooling and platform procurement: data-team tooling ($200k), covert-publishing network setup ($200k), monitoring platform initial build ($1M), cyber secure infrastructure ($500k), communications procurement ($500k).
Cover Identity Fabrication Initial $2.0M
[#13] One-time setup for creating 100 cover identities ($20k each ≈ $2M).
Financial Front Company Setup $2.0M
[#17] One-time costs to establish front companies, shell foundations, escrow networks for covert funding and compliance (~$2M).
Tradecraft Training Setup $1.0M
[#15] Initial setup for tradecraft and statistical concealment training programs (~$1M).
Planning Summary $0
[#26] Analyst summary/range note — no additional cost (summary of recurring and one-time ranges).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $51.1M/yr
Staff Wages $23.6M/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #5, #6, #11, #24] Recurring payroll and living costs for embedded agents (~$15M), data-team salaries (~$2.8M), research-group salaries (~$2.7M), amnestic administrative/medical staff (~$1M), emergency-response team wages (~$1.2M), monitoring analysts (~$300k), and internal auditing staff (~$600k) — aggregated payroll estimate.
Cover Story And Legal $15.0M/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #10, #18, #21, #25] PR/disinformation campaigns (~$3M), covert publishing operations (~$1M), legal suppression/settlements (~$5M), bribery/soft-influence (~$1M), public-facing alternative funding/outreach (~$3M), archival redaction campaigns (~$1M), and sponsorships/noise budgets (~$1M) aggregated here (~$15M/yr).
Logistics And Transport $3.8M/yr
[#6, #14] Emergency-response operating budgets and logistics (~$2M/yr total with ~$800k non-wage ops) plus housing/relocation/living stipends for covert personnel (~$3M/yr); non-wage portion included here (total ~$3.8M/yr).
Research And Monitoring $2.5M/yr
[#2, #3, #11, #16] Ongoing research equipment maintenance and datasets (research-group equipment recurring ~$1.5M), monitoring platform operations (~$500k), data-team compute/storage and compute costs (~$200k), and large-scale analysis compute resources (~$350k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $2.5M/yr
[#5, #15] Amnestic production consumables/chemicals (~$2M/yr) and recurring training program cycles (~$500k/yr).
Amnestic Outsourced Replacement $1.0M/yr
[#5] Recurring budget for outsourced per-dose replacement costs if applicable (~$2k/dose × 500 doses = ~$1M/yr).
Cyber Operations $900K/yr
[#12] Ongoing cyber operations, takedown capability, and red-team work (~$600k ops + $300k red-team = ~$900k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $700K/yr
[#4, #20] Vault environmental controls and curation (~$200k/yr) plus lease/ops for satellite offices (~$500k/yr).
Insurance And Financial Maintenance $500K/yr
[#17] Ongoing maintenance/compliance costs for front companies and escrow networks (~$500k/yr).
Psychological Support Program $300K/yr
[#22] Psychiatric screening, counseling, and vetting programs (~$300k/yr).
Communications Maintenance $200K/yr
[#23] Recurring costs for secure communications hardware replacements, satellite uplinks, and device maintenance (~$200k/yr).
Cover Identity Renewal $100K/yr
[#13] Annual renewal and upkeep costs for forged/maintained identities (~$100k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $51.1M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, no major publication crises or large-scale exposures.
routine monitoring no major whistleblower events standard legal/PR activity
🚨 Minor Incident $53.1M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized publication crisis, single high-profile whistleblower, or a contested paper requiring focused suppression and targeted amnestic/legal action.
high-profile publication targeted whistleblower localized data leak
🚨 Major Breach $91.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$40.0M vs baseline
Widespread public exposure or coordinated leaks requiring mass amnestic operations, global PR blitz, and major litigation/settlement actions.
large-scale coordinated leak mass publication revealing anomaly international legal/political escalation
👥 Personnel 220 total
Role Count Notes
Embedded Academic Agent 100 [#1] Faculty/postdoc/tech embeds placed at priority institutions; 100 agents as assumed by analysts.
Data Scientist / Statistician 20 [#2] Covert statistical/data-science team staffing (20 FTE).
Research Scientist 18 [#3] Three cleared research groups (3 × 6 FTE).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 [#6] Emergency/containment response teams (3 regional teams, estimated ~10 staffed operators each).
Amnestic Administration / Medical Officer 10 [#5] Medical and administration staff for amnestic production and administration.
Cyber Operator / Red Team 6 [#12] Cyber operations, takedowns, and red-team personnel.
Monitoring Analyst 10 [#11] Global publication/academic monitoring analysts.
Legal / PR Staff 10 [#7, #9, #10] In-house legal and PR staff coordinating suppression, settlements, and disinformation campaigns.
Administrative Staff 8 [#1, #17] Support staff for payroll, front-company administration, and logistics.
Site Director / Executive Staff 2 [#26] Senior oversight and executive management (program leads).
Training / Tradecraft Instructor 6 [#15] Trainers for ongoing tradecraft and statistical concealment programs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based directly on analyst line-item figures but include several aggregations and a known arithmetic ambiguity in the original analyst summary; many costs are intentionally covert and scalable, so exact procurement pricing and future incident frequency are uncertain.
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