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SCP-1838 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-1838
Expected annual
$38.9M
One-time setup
$10.5M
Annual recurring
$37.4M
Personnel
70
One-time capital expenditures are approximately $10.51M for vehicles, facilities, lab fit-out and communications; recurring annual costs are about $37.43M driven mainly by personnel (response teams and monitoring), legal/media operations, amnestic supply, and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $10.5M
Equipment $6.2M
[#4, #6, #12, #23, #25] Vehicles and covert props for 12 teams (~$5.16M, #4), initial weapons/armor issue (~$600k, #6), surveillance hardware & integration (~$200k, #12), secure-comm install (~$200k, #23), archival safes/hardware (~$50k, #25).
Facilities $2.2M
[#3, #9, #14] Training facility build-out (~$1.0M, #3), initial amnestic manufacturing/stockpile facility (~$250k, #9), secure evidence/vehicle storage build-out (~$1.0M, #14).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.0M
[#10, #11, #30] Forensic lab equipment & fit-out (~$250k, #10), experimental apparatus for research (~$300k, #11), long-term containment/operational pilot planning capital (~$1.5M, #30).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $37.4M/yr
Staff Wages $10.0M/yr
[#1, #2] Nationwide event-monitoring center staff (~10 analysts/operators = $1.04M/yr, #1) and regional rapid-response personnel (60 agents, fully-burdened costs plus personnel-related contingency = $9.0M/yr, #2).
Cover Story And Legal $6.6M/yr
[#15, #17, #31] Media blackout/legal/PR/cyber ops core team and emergency takedown budgets (~$5.7M/yr, #15), legal retainer and forgery/documentation ops (~$700k/yr, #17), emergency legal/ethical oversight retainer (~$200k/yr, #31).
Public Liability And Insurance $5.0M/yr
[#26] Reserve for lawsuits, settlements and litigation exposure (~$5.0M/yr insurance/litigation pool, #26).
Liaison And Payoffs $2.0M/yr
[#16] Retainer/operational slush fund for local official liaison and discreet payments (~$2.0M/yr, #16).
Mortuary And Disposal $2.0M/yr
[#18] Reserve for mortuary, forensic disposal, fake records and handling fatalities (contingency ~$2.0M/yr, #18).
Escalation Reserve $2.0M/yr
[#22] Contingency fund for heavy escalation, contracted armored support or private military assistance (~$2.0M/yr reserve, #22).
Research And Monitoring $1.4M/yr
[#10, #11, #12] Forensic lab staff & analysis (~$480k/yr, #10), research program salaries/experiments (~$700k/yr, #11), surveillance subscriptions & feed access (~$200k/yr, #12).
Logistics And Transport $1.3M/yr
[#5, #13] Vehicle maintenance/fuel/insurance for teams (~$624k/yr, #5) and rapid-deployment travel (flights, hotels, per-diem for ~80 deployments ≈ $680k/yr, #13).
Amnestic Administration $1.0M/yr
[#9] Annual amnestic doses and administration logistics (~2,000 doses/yr @ $500/dose ≈ $1.0M/yr, #9).
Compensation Fund $1.0M/yr
[#27] Annual reserve for payments to stadiums, vendors or civilians (~$1.0M/yr, #27).
Long Term Contingency Research $1.0M/yr
[#30] Operational reserve for pilot baiting/decoy/trapping operations if policy shifts (~$1.0M/yr operational reserve, #30).
Recruitment And Onboarding $900K/yr
[#20] Recruitment, background checks and training for replacements (~6 hires/yr @ $150k each ≈ $900k/yr, #20).
Public Health Monitoring $800K/yr
[#24] Public-health tracking, targeted amnestic campaigns and surge funds (~$300k/yr monitoring + $500k/yr surge reserve ≈ $800k/yr, #24).
Training And Simulation $600K/yr
[#3] Annual training refreshers, simulators, instructors and consumables for rapid-response program (~$600k/yr, #3).
Medical Contracts $500K/yr
[#8] Contract EMT/paramedic teams embedded with response teams (~$500k/yr, #8).
Supplies And Consumables $320K/yr
[#6, #7, #10, #29] Annual weapons replacement/consumables (~$60k, #6), ammunition & expendables (~$160k, #7), forensic consumables (~$50k, #10), PPE/consumables (~$50k, #29).
Oversight And Redteam $300K/yr
[#21] Internal auditors, red-team exercises and simulation costs (~$300k/yr, #21).
Psychological Support $260K/yr
[#19] Ongoing counseling, psychiatric support and acute care for response personnel (~$1k/agent/yr for 60 agents + $200k acute care ≈ $260k/yr, #19).
It Security $150K/yr
[#23] Annual maintenance, hosting, and upkeep for encrypted comms and classified servers (~$150k/yr, #23).
Exercises And Simulation $150K/yr
[#28] Annual multi-agency containment and media-blackout tabletop exercises (~$150k/yr, #28).
Facilities Maintenance $100K/yr
[#14] Ongoing utilities, security and upkeep for evidence/confiscation/vehicle storage facility (~$100k/yr, #14).
Archive Maintenance $25K/yr
[#25] Ongoing upkeep for secure archival & document protection (~$25k/yr, #25).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $37.4M/yr
93.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine monitoring, ~80 deployments handled under planned reserves and no major public-exposure incidents.
normal_operations expected_deployments (~80/yr)
🚨 Major Mass Casualty Event $62.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
One or more Lyssa Events produce large public casualties and major exposure requiring mass amnestic campaigns, heavy mortuary costs, large settlements, and extensive emergency operations.
mass_casualties large_public_exposure multiple_simultaneous_lyssa_events
🚨 Policy Shift Active Capture $47.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Foundation policy shifts to active capture/trap operations for SCP-1838, requiring large-scale baiting operations, decoy events, and specialized containment projects.
policy_change active_capture_operations baiting_and_decoy_deployments
👥 Personnel 70 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 60 [#2] 12 regional teams × 5 agents = 60 operational agents (count reflected in staff_wages).
Nationwide Monitoring Analyst / Operator 10 [#1] Nationwide 24/7 event-monitoring center staffing ~10 analysts/operators (count reflected in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates for most categories, producing moderate confidence in stated figures. Uncertainty remains high for incident frequency, severity of mass Lyssa Events, and policy-driven escalation (which could multiply costs), so confidence is not high.
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