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SCP-1839 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1839
Expected annual
$1.6M
One-time setup
$656K
Annual recurring
$1.5M
Personnel
12
One-time startup capital of approximately $656k for containment hardware and room upgrades, with recurring annual costs around $1.52M driven mainly by high-paid security and specialist staff, legal/cover, and incident readiness; occasional large R&D or breach costs can raise annual spending significantly.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $656K
Equipment $223K
[#2, #4, #8, #9, #11, #12, #14] Environmental controller, device/Faraday lockers, medical sedation equipment, transport case + vehicle, IT/DLP configuration capital, incinerator/shredder, initial PPE kits.
Facilities $150K
[#1, #3, #19] Locker retrofit, secure mantrap/room construction, and secure archival cabinets (structural/room-level work).
Contingency Reserve $100K
[#22] One-time contingency/emergency fund reserve for unanticipated procurement or rapid response needs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $75K
[#13] Controlled testing room buildout (isolated observation lab, environmental controls, emergency stop) - one-time buildout capital.
Training And Sop Development $40K
[#16] Initial development of SOPs, memetic-safety course materials, and certification program.
Decommissioning $30K
[#23] One-time decommissioning / long-term storage / secure destruction costs budgeted for end-of-life handling.
Legal Retainer $25K
[#17] One-time retainer/setup for legal/cover-up/PR onboarding.
Background Screening Initial $12K
[#15] Upfront enhanced background/psychological screening for initial candidate slate.
Rd Initial Capital $0
[#18] R&D initial capital (set to 0 in baseline; large multi-year programs handled as recurring if funded).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.5M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#5, #6, #24] Security guards/escorts payroll (6–8 FTEs), high-clearance memetic/research specialists, and compliance/admin monitoring staff salaries.
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#17] Annual PR/legal/cover operations budget for FOIA management, takedowns, and legal defense.
Training And Drills $55K/yr
[#10] Annual incident response team training, tabletop exercises, and physical drills.
Psychological Services $50K/yr
[#7] Counseling, short inpatient monitoring, and crisis counseling budget for exposed personnel.
Incident Cleanup Reserve $50K/yr
[#25] Annual reserve for rapid response, remediation, travel, and cleanup of unauthorized copies or exposure events.
Facilities Maintenance $47K/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #13, #19, #21] HVAC/environmental controller energy & maintenance, secure-room/mantrap maintenance, device-locker maintenance, testing-room operational costs, archival storage maintenance, and apportioned site utilities/overhead.
Research And Monitoring $25K/yr
[#11, #18] Ongoing IT monitoring/auditing and DLP operations; R&D program baseline set to 0 unless funded (see scenario).
Contingency Reserve $25K/yr
[#22] Annual contingency/reserve allocation for urgent procurements and unexpected incident costs.
Supplies And Consumables $21K/yr
[#12, #14, #20, #8] Destruction/disposal supplies, PPE replacement, routine containment consumables (gloves, tape, batteries), and medical/sedation supplies/training refreshers.
Training And Sop Delivery $15K/yr
[#16] Annual course delivery, recertification, and training session expenses.
Background Vetting $8K/yr
[#15] Ongoing vetting renewals and psychological re-screening for assigned high-clearance personnel.
Logistics And Transport $2K/yr
[#9] Per-move contracted courier or allocated transport operational costs (routine moves).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.5M/yr
84.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine containment, maintenance, payroll, and reserves only.
no incidents routine operations scheduled maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.6M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Small localized leak or single unauthorized copy discovered requiring rapid cleanup, limited counseling, and modest legal/PR action.
single unauthorized copy isolated personnel exposure localized breach of procedures
🚨 Major Breach $2.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
Significant containment failure or widespread leak requiring extended remediation, emergency medical response, large-scale takedowns, and legal action.
containment breach multiple exposed personnel public disclosure
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $2.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Decision to fund an R&D program to neutralize or safely render SCP-1839 (multi-person team, compute, lab expansion).
funding approved for neutralization R&D multi-year research program startup need for scaled computational/ethical oversight
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#5] Dedicated escorts/guards for 24/7 coverage (6–8 FTEs assumed; 8 used for staffing robustness).
Research Scientist / Memetics Specialist 3 [#6] High-clearance researchers and memetics/psych specialists (2–4 recommended; 3 assumed).
Administrative Staff 1 [#24] Compliance/admin monitoring to manage logs, rotate personnel, and enforce access lists (0.5–1 FTE; 1 FTE assumed).
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes are detailed with line-item estimates but many figures are ranges and memetic behavior introduces uncertainty (incident frequency and scale). R&D and breach costs are highly conditional, so overall confidence in baseline recurring estimates is medium.
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