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SCP-1887 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-1887
Expected annual
$20.4M
One-time setup
$200.0M
Annual recurring
$17.9M
Personnel
30
One-time capital and contingency requirements are large (hundreds of millions when including endowments and catastrophe reserves); annual operating costs are tens of millions driven primarily by research, staffing, security, insurance, and contingency provisioning.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $200.0M
Contingency Reserve $75.0M
[#19] One-time reserved contingency fund for catastrophic breach response, infrastructure replacement and emergency R&D (mid-range reserve).
Facilities $50.1M
[#1, #2] Excavation and construction of a specialized underground natural-stone chamber including sod lining/finishing and sealed access corridors; includes mid-range estimate for depth/rockwork and fit-out.
Endowment Fund $50.0M
[#25] Long-term research endowment / multi-year funding corpus to guarantee decades of containment and research funding.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $5.0M
[#10] Initial specialized research instrumentation and laboratory buildout for quantum/particle-level experiments (mid-range estimate).
Infrastructure Mitigation One Time $5.0M
[#21] Relocation/modification of nearby power lines, towers, roads; land easements and compensation (one-time works).
Public Safety Contingency One Time $5.0M
[#22] One-time contingency for activation of evacuation/housing and large-scale public-safety response.
Power Infrastructure One Time $2.5M
[#4] Redundant off-site power feeders, long-run hard-lines and remote-capable backup generator/battery infrastructure (one-time install).
Equipment $2.4M
[#3, #5, #9, #15, #12] Remote sensors, sacrificial manipulators, initial heavy/sacrificial vehicle fleet, initial data/archive hardware, and initial PPE purchases (one-time).
Emergency Response Infrastructure $1.0M
[#8] Gravity-dump soil/sod reservoirs, pre-built berms/ditches and passive smother infrastructure (one-time build).
Offsite Control Infrastructure $1.0M
[#13] Off-site control rooms, secure remote consoles and comms hardware to keep critical control off-site.
Transport Logistics Initial $1.0M
[#24] Initial secure transport vehicles/airlift agreements and remote transport hardware purchase.
Containment Materials Rd One Time $1.0M
[#11] One-time R&D setup for non-artificial barrier engineering trials and test infrastructure.
Secure Storage One Time $500K
[#14] One-time build of secure contaminated-materials storage vaults and monitored containment drums.
Cover Story Initial $500K
[#16] Initial legal/cover-story setup, permits, and establishment of liaison/PR cover arrangements.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $17.9M/yr
Research And Monitoring $5.0M/yr
[#10] Ongoing research program operating costs, experiments, computational modeling and routine instrument usage (mid-range active-research estimate).
Staff Wages $2.2M/yr
[#6] Salaries for core containment scientists, engineers and technicians (18 staff at ~$120k loaded average).
Insurance And Liability $2.0M/yr
[#20] Self-insurance allocation / reserves to cover liability and contingent costs where commercial options are unavailable.
Scientific Insurance Replacement $2.0M/yr
[#27] Budget for replacement of destroyed high-value experimental equipment (accelerators, detectors) averaged annually.
Security Operations $1.2M/yr
[#7] Armed security staff wages, perimeter protection and equipment/training (estimated wages + equipment/training).
Cover Story And Legal $1.0M/yr
[#16] Ongoing legal, regulatory, PR and cover-story expenditures to sustain clandestine operations and negotiation with local authorities.
Public Safety And Liaison $1.0M/yr
[#22] Ongoing community liaison, evacuation planning, standby housing and compensation readiness.
Materials Rd Ops $500K/yr
[#11] Ongoing trials, materials testing and maintenance for non-artificial containment engineering.
Incident Pr Cleanup Reserve $500K/yr
[#26] Annual allocation for potential PR/disinformation cleanup following any visible local incidents (per-incident reserve averaged).
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#24] Ongoing secure transport, shuttle ops and airlift readiness agreements for staff rotation or emergency extraction.
Power Infrastructure Ops $300K/yr
[#4] Fuel, generator maintenance and long-run feeder upkeep for off-site primary power and backup systems.
Information Security Ops $300K/yr
[#17] OPSEC, insider-threat mitigation, secure communications and background-check processes.
Utilities $300K/yr
[#23] Food, water, lodging, sanitation and basic utilities for on-site staff in remote operations.
Heavy Equipment Ops $200K/yr
[#9] Replacement, maintenance and remote-operation costs for sacrificial earth-movers and hydraulic dumpers.
Medical Surveillance $200K/yr
[#12] Regular health checks, UV exposure monitoring, decontamination suite upkeep and PPE refresh.
Training And Drills $200K/yr
[#18] Regular containment drills, protocol updates and incident simulations.
Infrastructure Mitigation Ops $200K/yr
[#21] Ongoing easement payments, maintenance of exclusion zones and modification upkeep.
Expendable Instrument Replacements $175K/yr
[#5] Consumable/sacrificial manipulators, probe and disposable instrumentation replacement rates.
Monitoring And Detection $125K/yr
[#3] Sensor array maintenance, data collection, replacement of sacrificial nodes and monitoring data costs.
Offsite Ops $100K/yr
[#13] Ongoing operations costs for off-site control rooms, secure comms and remote storage.
Emergency Response Maintenance $60K/yr
[#8] Maintenance and replenishment of soil/sod reservoirs and gravity-dump systems, upkeep of pre-positioned earth.
Secure Storage Ops $50K/yr
[#14] Monitoring and storage costs for contaminated materials, chain-of-custody and archival monitoring.
Data Handling Ops $50K/yr
[#15] Ongoing air-gapped backups, distributed storage ops and archive maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $15K/yr
[#2] Ongoing sod maintenance, turf replacement and consumable substrates for containment liner.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $17.9M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, maintenance, research and staffing continue.
no_breach routine_research standard_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $22.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized containment breach or sacrificial-equipment loss requiring emergency response, limited replacement and PR management.
localized_spread sacrificial_instrument_loss visible_local_disassembly
🚨 Major Breach $67.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Significant breach contacting secondary infrastructure requiring activation of contingency fund, infrastructure replacement and large-scale remediation.
breach_to_infrastructure activation_of_contingency large_scale_cleanup
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $217.9M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Catastrophic event affecting nearby population or major infrastructure, requiring full contingency activation, large compensation, and long-term emergency R&D.
urban_contact mass_infrastructure_loss public_exposure
👥 Personnel 30 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 6 [#6, #10] Included in core staff wages; conduct experiments and analysis.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#6, #9] Maintain remote systems, heavy equipment and site infrastructure; included in core staff wages.
Technician 6 [#6, #5] Operate monitoring arrays, handle sacrificial instrumentation; included in core staff wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#7] Armed perimeter and rapid-response security staff; wages accounted in security_operations recurring line.
Medical Officer 1 [#12] Medical surveillance and emergency treatment oversight; included in core staff wages.
Administrative Staff 1 [#16] Administrative, liaison and logistics support; included in core staff wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude based on analyst ranges; many items (contingency, research scale, site geology) introduce wide variance so precision is limited but mappings and mid-range figures are consistent with given notes.
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