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SCP-1886 Euclid ? low confidence
SCP-1886
Expected annual
$3.6M
One-time setup
$1.3M
Annual recurring
$3.5M
Personnel
15
Initial setup costs are moderate (~$1.3M) driven by research setup, contingency reserves, and initial buyouts; recurring annual costs are dominated by staff wages, clinical care, and research/monitoring (~$3.51M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.3M
Exposure Response Contingency Reserve $500K
[#22] Contingency reserve for large-scale leak/exposure response (emergency messaging, mass seizes, surge clinical capacity).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $425K
[#10, #11] Initial analytical testing campaign and initial research program setup (lab time, instruments, consumables, study setup).
Hostile Recovery Contingency Reserve $150K
[#9] Contingency reserve for hostile/contested recoveries, tactical/legal escalation.
International Trace Investigation Initial $100K
[#23] One-off international/covert procurement and tracing investigative campaign.
Public Cover Campaign Initial $60K
[#7] Initial public cover campaign creation and dissemination (copywriting, ad buys, translations).
Initial Market Buyouts $30K
[#6] One-time purchase of remaining commercial stock from vendors to remove items from circulation.
Equipment $15K
[#2, #4] Inventory tagging/database hardware and surveillance equipment (CCTV/DVR) one-time purchases.
Facilities $14K
[#1] Secure storage cabinetry and vaulting installation and environmental monitoring for Storage Site-68.
Destruction Campaign Setup $10K
[#21] Setup for secure destruction campaign (per-campaign planning and facilities).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.5M/yr
Clinical Care $1.0M/yr
[#12] Short-term inpatient clinical care costs for affected subjects (ED, inpatient psych beds, meds, nursing). Mid-range operational assumption between minimal and extreme caseloads.
Staff Wages $870K/yr
[#3, #8, #17] Ongoing wages and benefits: incremental security (2 guards), local agent operations/overtime (3–6 agents part-time), and dedicated research/clinical team salaries.
Research And Monitoring $420K/yr
[#10, #11, #15, #25] Ongoing analytical follow-ups, biological/neurobehavioral studies operational costs, epidemiology/records purchases, and long-term reproductive monitoring.
Long Term Treatment $300K/yr
[#13] Ongoing long-term psychiatric/residential therapy costs for chronic DID patients.
Administrative Overhead $300K/yr
[#24] Opportunity cost, senior staff time, site overhead allocations, and administrative processing related to containment and research operations.
Cover Story And Legal $295K/yr
[#7, #16, #20] Annual public cover campaign maintenance, legal counsel, ethics/cover payments, and PR/media management.
Logistics And Transport $200K/yr
[#5, #14, #23] Secure transport/collection operations budget, transfer/placement logistics subsidies, and ongoing international trace effort funding.
Facilities Maintenance $40K/yr
[#1, #24] Site-68 maintenance, environmental monitoring upkeep, and facility-level maintenance allocations.
Surveillance Monitoring $32K/yr
[#4] 24/7 monitoring operator labor, DVR/storage retention, and surveillance system maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $25K/yr
[#19] Consumables, PPE, specimen vials, evidence seals, cold storage operational costs.
Training And Briefings $15K/yr
[#18] Regular training for medical staff and field agents on recognition, handling, and cover protocols.
Undercover Procurement Reserve $10K/yr
[#6] Annual reserve for covert purchases and vendor compensation to remove new commercial stock.
Inventory Management Maintenance $4K/yr
[#2] Ongoing maintenance, backups, and software support for barcoding/RFID and chain-of-custody system.
Archival Storage $1K/yr
[#21] Long-term archival storage costs if instances are retained rather than destroyed.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.5M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with steady containment, moderate research activity, routine collections, and intermittent clinical caseload.
no major public exposure limited new item discoveries steady clinical caseload
🚨 Minor Incident $3.8M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Localized leak or discovery resulting in targeted emergency seizes, additional PR spend, and a modest clinical surge.
small public report / local news coverage cluster of new patients targeted vendor exposure
🚨 Major Breach $6.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Widespread public exposure or virality, mass purchases/seeding, requiring large-scale emergency response, clinical surge capacity, and major PR/legal action.
viral social media spread mass purchases multiple simultaneous clinical outbreaks
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $4.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Discovery of mechanism or treatment that requires rapid scale-up of research, equipment procurement, and hiring.
significant experimental findings need for large cohort studies regulatory or ethical review prompting expansion
👥 Personnel 15 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#3] Two incremental guards recommended for Storage Site-68 (redundancy and evidence movements).
Local Agent / Field Operative 4 [#8] Team of 3–6 agents part-time on investigation and collection; counted here as four FTE-equivalents.
Research Scientist 2 [#11, #17] Lead researchers (neuroscience/OBGYN) responsible for program design and supervision.
Psychiatrist / Medical Officer 1 [#11, #17] Clinical lead for subject evaluation and treatment planning.
Clinical Coordinator / Nurse 1 [#12, #17] Coordinates inpatient care, subject logistics, and clinical follow-ups.
Lab Technician 1 [#10, #17] Lab tech support for analytical testing and sample processing.
Containment Specialist 1 [#17] Specialist responsible for evidence handling, packaging, and storage protocols.
Monitoring Operator 1 [#4] 24/7 CCTV/access monitoring operator.
Administrative Staff 2 [#20, #24] Administrative, PR coordination, and overhead support for budgeting, HR, and liaison tasks.
📋 Confidence Notes
Wide ranges in analyst estimates (especially clinical caseload and outbreak risk) and uncertainty about geographic distribution, future manufacturing/reappearance, and policy choices (destroy vs retain) make precise costing difficult.
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