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SCP-1923 Euclid ? low confidence
SCP-1923
Expected annual
$725.0M
One-time setup
$4.8B
Annual recurring
$632.5M
Personnel
140
Initial program capital is large (~$4.83B one-time) driven by watcher deployment, lunar infrastructure, deflection capability and sample-return hardware; ongoing operations are substantial (~$632.5M/yr) driven by recurring probe launches, lunar base upkeep, and secrecy/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.8B
Deflection Development $1.8B
[#15] Capital R&D and hardware development of orbital alteration/deflection/interceptor capability.
Facilities $1.1B
[#4, #17, #23] Initial lunar infrastructure capital including launch/fuel handling, dedicated rapid-launch pad infrastructure, and ISRU/cryopropellant facilities.
Sample Return Capability $850.0M
[#18] One-time development and build of a sample-return mission capability (rendezvous, collection, return).
Watcher Deployment $550.0M
[#1] One-time mission design, spacecraft bus and high-resolution camera payload, testing and launch for SCP-1923-Watcher.
Contingency Reserve $300.0M
[#25] Flexible contingency reserve for unknown anomalous behaviors and bespoke emergency funding.
Communications Build $175.0M
[#5] Build-out of deep-space communications and relay network: ground stations, lunar antennas and relay satellites.
Power Systems Procurement $30.0M
[#6] Procurement and integration of RTGs/large solar arrays for initial long-duration assets (estimated for watcher + relays).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $10.8M
[#8, #19, #24] Initial laboratory buildout, planetary-protection/sterilization cleanrooms, and secure archive/documentation systems.
Spare Parts Stockpile $10.0M
[#14] Initial stockpile of consumables and spare spacecraft/instrument parts for rapid rebuild/repair.
Data Processing Setup $3.0M
[#9] Petabyte-class storage and compute hardware for imagery and telemetry archival/processing (initial setup).
Software Development $1.6M
[#10] One-time development/licensing of image/signal analysis and anomaly-detection tooling.
Cover Tooling $300K
[#11] Initial tooling and software for image doctoring and cover-story media prep.
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $632.5M/yr
Facilities Maintenance $261.0M/yr
[#3, #17, #23, #6] Lunar base operational upkeep, launch/servicing infrastructure maintenance, rapid-launch pad readiness and ISRU ops; includes some power-system maintenance overhead.
Logistics And Transport $220.0M/yr
[#2] Recurring cost of regular camera probes launched from Luna-█; assumes ~4 launches/year at ~$55M each as baseline.
Contingency Readiness $50.0M/yr
[#16] Standing readiness posture costs: standby vehicles, launcher readiness, crew rotation and periodic testing.
Asset Replacement Fund $40.0M/yr
[#20] Planned capital replacement reserve for watcher/probe fleet (approx. $100M–$500M/decade expressed annually).
Staff Wages $21.0M/yr
[#7, #8] Mission control, flight controllers, spacecraft engineers, telemetry specialists, and core scientific staff salaries.
Cover Story And Legal $12.0M/yr
[#11, #13] Ongoing public-facing media/PR doctoring, legal cover, counter-intelligence and liaison costs.
Communications Ops $10.0M/yr
[#5] Recurring operations for deep-space communications and relay network (network ops, licensing, ground-station ops).
Research And Monitoring $6.5M/yr
[#8, #9, #10, #21] Lab operational costs, spectral/signal analysis operations, data-processing updates, and orbit/simulation/modeling staffing and software.
Supplies And Consumables $5.0M/yr
[#14] Annual consumables and spare-parts replenishment (optics, electronics, small thrusters, replacement instrument kits).
Monitoring And Suppression $5.0M/yr
[#12] Contracts and covert operations to suppress or alter external imagery (commercial providers, legal actions, cyber operations).
Power Systems Maintenance $1.0M/yr
[#6] Annual maintenance and replacement budget for RTGs/solar/battery systems on long-duration assets.
Simulations Drills $500K/yr
[#22] Regular contingency exercises, red-team contracting and interagency drills.
Planetary Protection Ops $500K/yr
[#19] Ongoing sterilization/quarantine operations and procedural maintenance for returned-sample handling.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $632.5M/yr
78.0% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled probe launches, lunar base operations, routine maintenance, and cover operations; no major incidents.
scheduled_probe_launches routine_maintenance cover_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $732.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
Loss or critical failure of one or more probes/relays requiring replacement launches and expedited repairs.
probe_failure relay_satellite_loss
🚨 Sample Return Mission $1.5B/yr
5.0% probability / year +$850.0M vs baseline
Decision to mount a sample-return mission to SCP-1923-Alpha, incurring large one-off mission costs in that year.
research_escalation sample_retrieval
🚨 Major Orbital Intervention $2.4B/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.8B vs baseline
Detected orbital alteration of SCP-1923-Alpha requiring immediate development/deployment of deflection/interception capability.
orbital_change_detected imminent_collision_risk
👥 Personnel 140 total
Role Count Notes
Mission Control / Flight Controllers 40 [#7] Round-the-clock flight controllers and telemetry specialists for spacecraft operations.
Research Scientist 30 [#8] Astrophysicists, spectroscopists, signal analysts, and lab scientists analyzing imagery and data.
Engineer / Maintenance 30 [#7, #14] Spacecraft engineers, integration technicians, and maintenance staff for probes, relays and lunar hardware.
Logistics / Supply 16 [#3, #23] Logistics, launch/propellant handling, and lunar base resupply coordinators.
Administrative Staff 10 [#11, #24] Administration, documentation control, and cover/PR coordination support.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 [#13] Covert security and counter-intelligence personnel supporting secrecy and liaison operations.
Site Director / Executive Staff 2 [#7] Executive oversight and program leadership.
Medical Officer 2 [#3] Medical support for lunar/flight personnel and quarantine operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are low-confidence due to broad ranges in mission costs, optional nature of major capital items (deflection, ISRU, sample-return), uncertain probe launch cadence, and anomalous behaviors that could force large unanticipated expenditures.
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