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SCP-1932 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1932
Expected annual
$1.8M
One-time setup
$1.4M
Annual recurring
$1.8M
Personnel
24
One-time capital costs (site conversion, research equipment, and transport) are roughly $1.36M; annual recurring operating costs are roughly $1.78M/yr, driven primarily by security payroll, contingency reserves, legal/cover-story expenses, and potential lease costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.4M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $631K
[#12, #23] Research program equipment/setup for imaging and experiments (multi-year program mid estimate ~£450,000 → $562,500) plus containment/research instruments (~£55,000 → $68,750).
Facilities $435K
[#4, #6, #7, #21] Fencing purchase & install (~£16,000 → $20,000), grid hookup/circuits (~£2,750 → $3,438), site fixtures/porta-cabin (~£4,000 → $5,000), optional off-site containment purchase & conversion (~£325,000 → $406,250).
Equipment $141K
[#5, #6, #8, #16, #17] CCTV/NVR/monitoring install (~£10,000 → $12,500), UPS/generator (~£4,000 → $5,000), 3 used vans (~£67,500 → $84,375), on‑prem server/NAS (~£11,500 → $14,375), incident response kit & initial training kit (~£20,000 → $25,000).
Legal Initial Fees $59K
[#13] Initial legal/negotiation/permit fees (~£47,500 → $59,375).
Transport Logistics Planning $53K
[#22] Permits, road closures, police escorts, riggers for discrete heavy-lift operations (~£42,500 → $53,125).
Transport And Crane $22K
[#21] Transport, crane hire for relocation if attempted (~£17,500 → $21,875).
Security Training Setup $10K
[#3] One-time background checks, initial covert-uniform procurement and basic training setup (~£8,000 → $10,000).
Shell Company Setup $7K
[#15] Initial shell contracting company setup (~£5,500 → $6,875).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.2M/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #12, #15, #17, #25] Security payroll and benefits for full complement (12 guards + 2 supervisors plus employer taxes) and related overtime/contingency, recurring training renewals, researcher payroll allocation, covert payroll/admin margin, on-call rapid-response team and administrative payroll (~£956,000 total mid estimates → $1,195,000).
Cover Story And Legal $191K/yr
[#13, #14, #18, #19, #20] Annual council compensation/permit fees (~£60,000 → $75,000), PR and cover operations (~£30,000 → $37,500), insurance (~£15,000 → $18,750), media monitoring/misinformation mitigation (~£18,000 → $22,500), community compensation/outreach (~£30,000 → $37,500).
Contingency Reserve $153K/yr
[#24] Contingency/reserve (recommended 10–25% of operating budget; mid ~£122,500 → $153,125).
On Site Lease Alternative $94K/yr
[#21] Recurring lease alternative for permanent off-site containment (~£75,000/yr → $93,750).
Medical Response Fund $62K/yr
[#11] Medical and psychological incident response fund (~£50,000 → $62,500/yr).
Fencing Rental $34K/yr
[#4] Rental alternative for temporary 3m-high perimeter fencing (~£27,000/yr → $33,750).
Logistics And Transport $19K/yr
[#8] Vehicle running costs (fuel, insurance, maintenance) (~£15,000 → $18,750).
Facilities Maintenance $14K/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #9, #10] CCTV maintenance (~£1,000 → $1,250), generator/battery fuel & maintenance (~£1,250 → $1,563), site electricity/lighting (~£1,500 → $1,875), playground component treatments (~£1,250 → $1,563), site cleaning/groundskeeping portion when contractorized (~£7,500 → $7,500).
Research And Monitoring $12K/yr
[#12, #23] Recurring research operating costs (subject fees, data processing) (~£10,000 → $12,500). Note: researcher salaries are accounted for in staff_wages [#12].
Data And Storage $4K/yr
[#16] Secure cloud backups and storage (~£3,000 → $3,750/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.8M/yr
93.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, maintenance, and predictable research activity.
normal_operations routine_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.9M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Small public exposure or minor medical/psychological incident requiring overtime, extra PR and limited compensation.
unauthorised_child_interaction local_media_photo minor_injury_or_psych_support
🚨 Major Breach $2.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Significant public exposure, litigation, large medical payouts, extended PR campaign and legal costs.
high_profile_media_exposure lawsuit_or_heavy_liability fatal_or_severe_injury
🚨 Relocation $2.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$561K vs baseline
Decision and execution of relocation to permanent off-site containment (purchase/convert + heavy-lift transport) occurring in a given year.
policy_decision_to_relocate research_or_safety_mandate
👥 Personnel 24 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#1] Twelve guards to staff three 8-hour shifts (minimum staffing plan).
Security Supervisor 2 [#1] Two supervisors to manage guards and shifts.
Research Scientist 3 [#12] Research staff for observational testing and study coordination (salaries included in staff_wages).
Incident Response Team Member 4 [#17] Small specialized rapid-response team maintained on-call.
Medical Officer / Paramedic 1 [#11] On-call clinician/paramedic for immediate incident response.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#9, #10] Maintenance/groundskeeping or contractor coordination to manage subtle repairs and site upkeep.
Administrative Staff 1 [#15, #25] Project admin/HR/procurement (0.5–1 FTE rounded to 1 FTE; costs included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Medium confidence: analyst notes provide detailed line items and plausible midpoints, but many inputs are ranges, optional (purchase vs rental), UK-GBP estimates converted to USD, and there is uncertainty around research scope and event probabilities.
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