SCP-1933 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1933
Expected annual
$506K
One-time setup
$229K
Annual recurring
$504K
Personnel
7
One-time setup costs are moderate (~$229,000) for lab/containment equipment and optional capital (incinerator, decommissioning reserve); recurring annual costs are dominated by whiskey procurement, research, and staffing/security (~$504,330/year). Main cost drivers are alcohol procurement, ongoing research, and security/staff wages.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $229K
On Site Incinerator $65K
[#7] Optional one-time purchase of on-site incinerator (permits/installation) as alternative to contracted waste disposal.
Decommissioning $55K
[#28] One-time estimated cost for potential decommissioning / long-term closure and site remediation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $48K
[#13] One-time small BSL-2 lab outfitting (biosafety cabinet, centrifuge, cold storage, initial instrumentation).
One Time Contingency Fund $30K
[#20, #25] One-time contingency/reserve fund for legal/cover-up or emergency neutralization/decontamination setup.
Equipment $19K
[#2, #5, #9, #11, #19, #23] One-time hardware: CCTV/install (#2), secure refrigeration/cabinet (#5), initial restraint gear (#9), restraint chairs/cuffs portion (#11), inventory system/IT hardware (#19), secure server (#23).
Front Company Setup $10K
[#18] One-time legal/setup costs for front company or licensing to procure bulk alcohol covertly.
Facilities $2K
[#11] One-time structural/modification costs for shower stall and hygiene facility alterations to support restraining and safe drainage.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $504K/yr
Research And Monitoring $221K/yr
[#12, #13, #14, #15, #22, #27] Ongoing lab consumables and testing (#13), active research program and external services (#14), routine medical monitoring and emergency readiness (#12), incident response drills/training (#15), behavioral/psychiatric counseling (#22), and periodic ethics/oversight costs (#27).
Staff Wages $143K/yr
[#9, #10, #17, #21] Security (2 FTE guards) and operational staff wages: base security staffing (#17), weekly forced-shower staff labor (#9), monthly grooming labor (#10), and supervising researcher/containment officer partial FTEs (#21).
Facilities Maintenance $64K/yr
[#1, #2, #5, #11, #19, #23] Annual prorated facility overhead and maintenance: cell utilities/overhead (#1), CCTV/monitoring maintenance & storage (#2), refrigeration electricity/maintenance (#5), restraint/shower equipment maintenance (#11), inventory system maintenance (#19), hosting/backups (#23).
Supplies And Consumables $44K/yr
[#3, #4, #6, #8, #10, #24] Alcohol procurement and daily feedstock (Irish whiskey) (#3), cream/sugar/oil (#4), PPE and biohazard consumables (#6), replacement clothing issuance (#8), grooming consumables (#10), miscellaneous consumables (#24).
Cover Story And Legal $24K/yr
[#18, #20, #26] Ongoing front-company compliance and licensing maintenance (#18), annual legal/insurance/cover-up reserve (#20), and communications/community cover operations (#26).
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#16] Enhanced staffing/transport/rapid-response costs during Dec 24–25 surveillance windows and associated short-term logistics (#16).
Waste Disposal Contract $3K/yr
[#7] Annual contracted medical/biohazard waste pickup and incineration (baseline option rather than on-site incinerator).
Decontamination Reserve $1K/yr
[#25] Small recurring reserve to support emergency decontamination readiness and rapid-response consumables.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $504K/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: steady procurement, routine research, and standard containment operations.
routine_operations no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $524K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$20K vs baseline
Accidental overexposure/consumption or small containment incident requiring emergency medical response, targeted cleanup, and short-term legal/PR actions.
staff_or_visitor_exposure localized contamination small emergency response
🚨 Major Breach $709K/yr
0.5% probability / year +$205K vs baseline
Significant containment breach or public exposure requiring large-scale remediation, decontamination, legal settlements, and possible decommissioning.
public_exposure major_containment_breach forced_decommissioning
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#17, #16] Two dedicated guards for day-to-day containment and elevated coverage during Dec 24–25.
Research Scientist 1 [#14, #21] Supervising researcher/containment officer (partial FTE) responsible for experiments, protocol updates and oversight.
Level-3 Personnel (Custodial / Handling) 2 [#9] Two trained Level 3 staff who perform weekly forced showering/restraint procedures.
Medical Officer 1 [#10, #12] Medical/nursing staff responsible for monthly grooming, routine health checks and emergency medical readiness.
Administrative Staff 1 [#19, #21] Administrative support for inventory/chain-of-custody logging, scheduling and documentation.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and clear operational requirements, but many items (procurement discounts, optional incinerator, staffing FTE allocations, and research scope) retain uncertainty; estimates use midpoints and include optional capital items, so overall confidence is medium.
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