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SCP-1946 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1946
Expected annual
$1.7M
One-time setup
$1.2M
Annual recurring
$1.7M
Personnel
13
Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $1.19M driven by AVB fit-out, backup containment, robotics and initial legal/contingency reserves. Recurring annual costs are approximately $1.70M, driven primarily by staff wages (security, researchers, technicians) and ongoing monitoring/data/storage.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.2M
Facilities $466K
[#1, #13, #14, #19] AVB construction and fit-out (#1), installed fire suppression (#13), power/UPS/generator hardware upgrades (#14), and redundant containment/secondary bay capability (#19). Estimates are midpoints from provided ranges.
Equipment $316K
[#2, #3, #5, #6, #12, #15, #16, #24] One-time equipment purchases and installs: climate/HVAC install (#2), trailer acquisition & transport (#3), CCTV & sensors (#5), remote robotic reconnaissance/manipulators (#6), initial PPE (#12), data/infrastructure hardware (#15), refrigerated evidence storage (#16), and incident/evacuation gear (#24).
Contingency Fund Initial $200K
[#27] One-time contingency pool / initial reserve (selected within recommended $100k–$400k range).
Insurance Reserve Initial $112K
[#21] Initial internal insurance/reserve fund (midpoint of $25k–$200k).
Cover Story Setup $80K
[#20] One-time cover-story/legal setup and false-business registration / initial retainer (setup portion).
Autopsy Forensic Analysis $15K
[#9] Single autopsy and advanced forensic analysis one-time event cost (mid-range of $5k–$25k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#4, #7, #8, #9] Wages and benefits for 24/7 security coverage (#4), robotic operators/technicians (#7), research staff and consultants (#8), and ongoing medical support (#9). Sum uses mid-range salary estimates and assumed headcounts described in personnel section.
Research And Monitoring $202K/yr
[#6, #10, #15, #22, #23, #25, #26] Ongoing monitoring/analysis: long-term biometrics for permanently attached D-Class (#10), robot repairs/upgrades (#6), data storage/backups/IT support (#15), training/simulations (#22), archival research and cross-testing (#23), periodic audits/containment reviews (#25), and long-term archival/records maintenance (#26).
Logistics And Transport $150K/yr
[#3, #11] Recurring logistics: D-Class procurement/processing/transport and related legal/security logistics (#11). Trailer transport was accounted one-time (#3); recurring value reflects ongoing D‑Class/logistics costs (mid-range).
Annual Contingency Reserve $150K/yr
[#27] Annual contingency/reserve contribution (selected within recommended 10–30% practice; used as buffer for unforeseen annual costs).
Cover Story And Legal $35K/yr
[#20] Ongoing cover-story maintenance, legal retainer, and local relations payments (annual portion).
Insurance And Reserve $30K/yr
[#21] Annual provision to replenish insurance/reserve fund (mid-range of $10k–$50k).
Facilities Maintenance $24K/yr
[#2, #5, #13, #14, #17] Recurring maintenance and service: HVAC/dehumidifier power & service (#2), CCTV/sensor maintenance & monitoring (#5), fire suppression inspections/refills (#13), generator/fuel/maintenance (#14), and routine trailer interior maintenance (#17).
Supplies And Consumables $16K/yr
[#12, #16, #18, #24] Recurring consumables: PPE replacements and consumables (#12), periodic biohazard removal/disposal events (#16), test consumables and spare parts (#18), and refresh of incident-response consumables (#24).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine testing, maintenance, and no major incidents.
routine_testing scheduled_maintenance normal_staff_turnover
🚨 Minor Incident $1.8M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure or minor containment incident requiring repairs, temporary surge staffing, and small forensic work.
robot_failure localized_fire_or_grease_incident small_contamination_event
🚨 Major Breach $2.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Significant containment compromise or subject mobility requiring emergency response, replacement equipment, legal exposure, and possible relocation.
subject_mobility AVB_compromise multiple_injuries_or_public_exposure
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#4] 24/7 coverage: 6guards + 1 supervisor as specified in notes.
Robotic Operator / R&D Technician 2 [#7] Skilled remote-operators and technicians (assumed 2 FTEs per analyst notes).
Research Scientist 3 [#8] Anomalous specialists / psychologists / containment lead (2–4 FTEs; midpoint used).
Medical Officer 1 [#9] On-call medical support / pathology liaison (ongoing support included in wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Mid-level confidence: analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, allowing reasonable midpoint estimates, but many items have wide ranges and outcome-dependent costs (D-Class usage, frequency of testing, and contingency needs), producing uncertainty.
← SCP-1945 ↑ All SCPs SCP-1947 →