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SCP-1969 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-1969
Expected annual
$22.4M
One-time setup
$88.7M
Annual recurring
$22.1M
Personnel
124
Upfront capital and land acquisition are large — approximately $88.7M one-time — driven by land purchase, hardened infrastructure, and a large contingency reserve; annual operations are substantial (~$22.1M/yr) driven primarily by personnel, logistics (vehicles/helicopters), transmitter maintenance, and cover/legal costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $88.7M
Facilities $43.1M
[#1, #2, #9] Land acquisition (~20 sq mi), construction of the secondary containment room, and construction of 20 peripheral guard outposts plus main research/admin outpost.
Contingency Reserve $27.5M
[#24] Site-level catastrophic contingency reserve for large-scale evacuations, equipment replacement, and cover-up (target reserve; one-time funded portion).
Aerial Transport $5.5M
[#11] Purchase of two light utility helicopters (central approach) and helipad/LZ preparation.
Decommissioning Reserve $3.0M
[#30] Reserve for periodic decommissioning/modernization cycles (capital set-aside for mid-life replacement cycles).
Equipment $2.7M
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #7] Primary containment sphere and internal piston system, control computers & hardened controllers, initial sensor array, 50 secondary transmitters and 1500 tertiary transmitters/receivers initial hardware.
Power Infrastructure $1.4M
[#8] Site mains, diesel generators, UPS, and solar arrays for remote transmitter power (initial installation).
Contingency Planning $1.1M
[#28] Prepaid planning and precontracts for evacuations, hospital/transport contracts, and legal/operational contingency planning.
Vehicles $900K
[#10] Ground response fleet (20–25 modified off-road vehicles) purchase and initial spares.
Surveillance $875K
[#21] Initial CCTV, IR sensors, perimeter radar, UAV procurement and integration with control center.
Mtf Kit Up $600K
[#15] Initial equipment/kit-up for MTF Alpha-9 (armor, tactical vehicles, containment tools, field medical supplies).
Communications Infrastructure $600K
[#18] Secure encrypted telemetry links, offsite receiver shelters, satellite links and hardened communication hardware (initial installs).
Spare Parts $600K
[#19] Initial inventory of spare pistons, CPUs, batteries, solar panels, transmitter heads, and mounting hardware.
Decon And Medical $425K
[#22] Onsite med bay fit-out, ambulances/transport, decon showers, trauma kits, PPE and initial training equipment.
Amnestics Stockpile $275K
[#16] Initial stockpile of amnestics, sedatives, and medical supplies (cold-chain where required).
Hvac $175K
[#20] Environmental control, HVAC, and climate stabilization installs for secondary/primary containment.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $22.1M/yr
Staff Wages $13.0M/yr
[#12, #13, #14, #15] Payroll, benefits, training and overhead for 60 guards, ~35 research/admin staff, maintenance teams (10–20), and MTF Alpha-9 operational readiness salaries.
Logistics And Transport $2.2M/yr
[#10, #11, #28] Vehicle fuel & maintenance, helicopter operations/retainer and logistical movement costs for outposts and evacuation readiness.
Cover Story And Legal $1.6M/yr
[#17, #29] Shell companies, local liaisons, hush payments, legal defense obligations, and ongoing cover/PR expenses.
Facilities Maintenance $850K/yr
[#26] Road, runway/helipad, and general site infrastructure maintenance, snow removal, and routine site upkeep.
Research And Monitoring $750K/yr
[#23] Ongoing modeling, high-performance computing, experiments (non-invasive), and research staff budgets for Sayaw Zone dynamics.
Contingency Retainer $500K/yr
[#28] Annual precontracting/retainer fees to keep evacuation, hospital, and mass-logistics providers on-call.
Decommissioning Amortization $500K/yr
[#30] Annual amortized reserve for periodic modernization and replacement cycles (transmitters, vehicles, computers).
Spare Parts Replacement $400K/yr
[#19] Regular replacement budget for pistons, CPUs, batteries, solar panels, and transmitter heads due to elevated failure rates.
Power And Fuel $350K/yr
[#8] Fuel, generator maintenance, UPS servicing and solar battery replacement programs.
Tertiary Transmitters Maintenance $325K/yr
[#7] Maintenance, battery/solar replacement and telemetry upkeep for ~1500 field transmitters and 8 receivers.
Communications Operations $250K/yr
[#18] Ongoing secure network operations, SIEM, satellite telemetry costs and comms redundancy operations.
Surveillance Operations $250K/yr
[#21] Camera monitoring, IR/UAV operations, data storage and analyst staffing for CCTV/perimeter systems.
Training And Drills $250K/yr
[#25] Regular drills, MTF readiness training, technical recertification and personnel turnover costs.
Energy Operational $225K/yr
[#27] Ongoing energy draw costs specifically attributable to continuous transmitter/receiver operation and telemetry.
Supplies And Consumables $200K/yr
[#16, #22] Ongoing general consumables and medical supplies replacement beyond dedicated amnestics/medical replenishment lines.
Decon Medical Supplies $150K/yr
[#22] Replacement medical supplies, PPE restocking, and refresher training consumables for decon/med bay.
Amnestics Replenishment $112K/yr
[#16] Ongoing replenishment and shelf-rotation for amnestics, sedatives and mass-administration supplies.
Control Systems Maintenance $50K/yr
[#4] Software/hardware maintenance, cybersecurity audits, and air-gapped backup maintenance for control computers.
Environmental Control Maintenance $50K/yr
[#20] HVAC servicing, climate control electricity costs and maintenance to preserve sensitive electronics.
Sensors Calibration $20K/yr
[#5] Frequent recalibration, testing, and partial replacement of sensor and kinetic-monitoring arrays.
Secondary Transmitters Maintenance $10K/yr
[#6] Maintenance, spares and upkeep for the 50 secondary wall-mounted transmitters.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $22.1M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Typical operational year with no major incidents; ongoing monitoring, maintenance, payroll and routine replacements only.
no transmitter mass-failure no prolonged Alpha state routine operations only
🚨 Minor Incident $22.6M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized equipment failures or short Alpha event requiring repair, limited MTF deployment, and modest amnestic use.
several transmitters fail short Alpha state >40s requiring local response
🚨 Major Breach $27.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment degradation or extended Alpha causing wider evacuations, MTF sustained operations, and major equipment replacement.
prolonged Alpha state large transmitter network failure mass amnestic deployment
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $52.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$30.0M vs baseline
Severe failure approaching Ennui-like conditions requiring full mobilization, large evacuations, major equipment and infrastructure replacement and heavy use of contingency reserves.
uncontrolled Sayaw Zone growth Ennui-proximal conditions widespread transmitter/receiver destruction
👥 Personnel 124 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Guard 60 [#12] 20 outposts × 3 guards as stated; used as base on-duty complement.
Research Scientist 25 [#13, #23] Research staff conducting modeling, experiments and monitoring at the main outpost.
Administrative Staff 10 [#13] Administrative, IT, facilities management and support staff in the main outpost.
Engineer / Maintenance 13 [#14] Field technicians and maintenance teams servicing transmitters, power systems, vehicles and buildings.
MTF Agent / Rapid Response 12 [#15] MTF Alpha-9 operational team maintained for rapid response and containment operations.
Medical Officer 2 [#16, #22] Onsite medics and medical support for site personnel and emergency responses.
Site Director / Executive Staff 2 [#13] Site Director and Assistant Director oversight and executive coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are assembled from wide ranges in the analyst notes and several configurable design choices (land cost, helicopter purchase vs contract, contingency funding). The SCP's anomalous electromagnetic failure modes and long-tail catastrophic risk introduce uncertainty; core recurring payroll figures are better defined, but capital and contingency reserve sizing are less certain.
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