SCP-1998 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1998
Expected annual
$956K
One-time setup
$660K
Annual recurring
$942K
Personnel
2.1
One-time setup costs are modest-to-moderate (~$660k) driven by lab setup and secure containment/equipment; annual operating costs are dominated by personnel, medical care, testing logistics, and contingency reserves (~$942k/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $660K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $425K
[#10, #11, #24] Forensic investigative campaign, R&D lab buildout and initial reverse-engineering program, and exploratory countermeasures pilot program.
Equipment $116K
[#1, #2, #3, #12, #14, #17, #21, #22] Locker hardware, CCTV cameras/recorders, badge/biometric hardware, test-chamber safety gear (equipment portion), autoclave unit, operator training equipment, UPS replacement, spare-parts stock.
Facilities $100K
[#1, #12] Structural construction and modifications: reinforced high-value locker construction and test-chamber structural modifications/soundproofing.
Cover Story Setup $15K
[#20] One-time costs to establish innocuous cover-story materials and false accession records.
Initial Secure Move $4K
[#16] Single secure transport/move contingency (one-time potential move).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $942K/yr
Research And Monitoring $325K/yr
[#7, #10, #11, #9, #24] Test-subject provisioning and processing (~$100k), annual forensic/lab work (~$25k), ongoing R&D/test program costs (~$100k), long-term medical/psychiatric care reserve/payments (~$50k), recurring research contingency (~$50k).
Contingency Reserve $250K/yr
[#19] Reserve fund for serious adverse events, independent inquiries, compensation, and emergency investigations/research.
Staff Wages $138K/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #8, #17] Additional/security guard coverage (~$40k), Ethics Committee in-person oversight allocation (~$30,720), part-time IT/operator (~$15k), on-site emergency medical staffing during tests (~$50k), operator recertification (~$2k).
Opportunity Costs Overhead $112K/yr
[#23] Pro-rated site overhead, amortization, utilities and admin support attributable to this SCP/test program.
Cover Story And Legal $68K/yr
[#20, #15, #18] Cover-story/legal retainer and PR (~$35k), data retention/chain-of-custody/legal recordkeeping (~$10k), internal compliance/audit costs (~$22.5k).
Facilities Maintenance $23K/yr
[#2, #3, #21, #22] CCTV archival and encryption/IT maintenance (~$10k), access-control software/support (~$2k), additional HVAC/power energy (~$1,250), periodic maintenance/calibration of locks/cameras/sensors (~$10k).
Supplies And Consumables $16K/yr
[#12, #13, #14] PPE and consumables (~$2k), per-test disposables (~$8,500), biohazard disposal/handling (~$5,500).
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#16] Annual contingency for secure transport/armored moves and logistics (~$10k/yr).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $942K/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled testing and no major incidents.
routine testing no major injuries no breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $1.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$125K vs baseline
Serious subject injury or procedural failure requiring extra medical care and internal investigation.
subject severe injury internal investigation emergency medical response
🚨 Major Breach $1.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Fatality, public exposure, or major misconduct prompting independent inquiry, legal action, and emergency research pivot.
subject death independent inquiry public/legal exposure
👥 Personnel 2.1 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1 [#4] ~0.75–1.0 FTE armed security assigned to high-value locker; budgeted as one full equivalent for containment staffing.
Ethics Committee Representative 0.1 [#5] Senior Ethics rep presence for tests allocated as ~24 tests × 4 hours at senior hourly rate; equivalent ~0.1 FTE allocation.
IT Operator / Systems Admin 0.5 [#6, #2] Part-time operator for live broadcast, archival maintenance, and secure comms (~$10k–$20k/yr).
Medical Officer / Nursing (on-call) 0.5 [#8] ER physician/nursing staffing allocated per-test and annualized (~$50k/yr) equivalent to ~0.5 FTE on-call coverage.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed and provide numeric ranges for nearly all items, but several items (R&D success, contingency usage, reserve sizing, exact staffing mixes) are uncertain, producing medium confidence in aggregated figures.
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