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SCP-2005 Zeno ~ medium confidence
SCP-2005
Expected annual
$5.2M
One-time setup
$47.3M
Annual recurring
$5.1M
Personnel
32
One-time program setup (containment buildout, specialized equipment, optional R&D and satellite assets) is the main capital driver (~$47.3M). Recurring costs are driven by personnel, continuous surveillance and monitoring, secure data handling (AESIR) and contingency/rescue funding (~$5.08M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $47.3M
Dedicated Satellite Network $20.0M
[#10] One-time purchase/deployment of dedicated CubeSat/sensor network option (Tier B).
Replication R And D Program $10.0M
[#7] Optional multiyear program to attempt replication of exotic coating (program capital and prototyping costs; high risk — historically denied).
Escalation Contingency $10.0M
[#25] One-time contingency fund for large-scale escalation responses (satellite maneuvering, jamming deployment, military coordination) — program-level reserve.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.5M
[#6] Specialized analytical laboratory buildout (SEM/TEM, XRD, mass spec, hazardous sampling capability).
Equipment $2.4M
[#1, #2, #4, #5, #8, #11, #16, #23, #13, #12] Faraday-insulated lockers (5 units) and internal restraints; remote handling/robotics initial purchase; EMI test and spectrum equipment; electronics tooling; ground station hardware; archival/data hardware; cybersecurity appliances; secure transportation packaging; initial recovery/salvage vehicles/equipment.
Facilities $875K
[#3, #17] Containment room/vault upgrades (Site-65) and installation of dedicated power feed/UPS/generator; structural and HVAC/vibration isolation work.
Investigation Initial Reserve $500K
[#22] One-time reserve / upfront funding for incident investigation / covert recovery planning (initial seed).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.1M/yr
Staff Wages $2.5M/yr
[#14, #15, #8, #11, #9] Salaries and benefits for security (24/7 coverage), research scientists, engineers, analysts and administrative/AESIR personnel; includes specialized training overhead.
Orbital Surveillance Tier A $600K/yr
[#10] Tier A: contracted telescope/radar/space-surveillance time, data processing, and coordination (baseline monitoring).
Research And Monitoring $400K/yr
[#6, #15] Operating budget for specialized analytical lab consumables, service contracts, and research software/licenses.
Ground Station Ops $300K/yr
[#11] Ground radio monitoring station staffing, spectrum recorders, and signal analysis operations.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#9, #20, #21] AESIR operational staffing/ops, legal retainer, cover-story maintenance and baseline PR monitoring.
Recovery Contingency $200K/yr
[#12] Annual contingency fund to cover routine recovery/salvage logistics and standby deployments.
Investigation Reserve $150K/yr
[#22, #20] Annual reserve to fund incident investigations, intelligence tasks and covert counter-ops as needed.
Facilities Maintenance $100K/yr
[#3, #17] HVAC, humidity/temp control, vibration isolation servicing, structural inspections, Faraday seal repairs (general site maintenance).
Supplies And Consumables $80K/yr
[#26] Lab consumables, PPE, replacement seals/gaskets, small spare parts and routine consumables inventory.
Data Storage Ops $80K/yr
[#16] Encrypted archival storage, compute ops, and data ingestion pipeline hosting/maintenance.
Cybersecurity Ops $80K/yr
[#23] Ongoing OT/ICS monitoring, penetration testing and AESIR system maintenance.
Staff Support $80K/yr
[#24] Mental health, screening, retention bonuses and counter-leak programs (baseline).
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#13, #12] Routine secure transfers and packaging costs averaged annually.
Power Maintenance $50K/yr
[#17] Fuel, generator maintenance, UPS servicing and filtered power system upkeep.
Transportation Budget $40K/yr
[#13] Annualized budget for several secure transfers per year (armored transport, guarded air transport).
Environmental Monitoring $40K/yr
[#18] Routine inspection schedule, humidity/temperature logging, EMI integrity checks, and preventative maintenance contracts.
Public Relations Monitoring $40K/yr
[#21] Baseline media monitoring, narrative seeding maintenance and small-scale misinformation operations.
Refurbishment Annualized $35K/yr
[#27] Annualized budget for periodic Faraday shielding replacement and locker refurbishment (5–20 year cycles annualized).
Remote Handling Maintenance $25K/yr
[#4] Annual maintenance/service contracts for remote manipulators, telemanipulators and cranes.
Hazmat Disposal $20K/yr
[#19] Hazardous waste contractor fees, disposal of contaminated PPE and byproducts (baseline).
Emi Equipment Calibration $6K/yr
[#5] Calibration and periodic certification of spectrum analyzers and EMI test equipment.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.1M/yr
94.8% probability / year
Normal year: no major recoveries or escalations; routine monitoring, containment maintenance, and research continue.
no new landings no major contamination events standard operations
🚨 Minor Incident $5.6M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
A localized recovery requiring rapid-response team and modest legal/PR handling (small field recovery or relocation).
localized landing minor contamination or damage small international recovery
🚨 Major Recovery $8.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Large-scale recovery or investigation (overseas operation, insurgent involvement, or expensive diplomatic settlement).
international incident loss to hostile group lengthy covert recovery operation
🚨 Catastrophic Escalation $55.1M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Wide-area interference or active transmissions requiring coordinated jamming, satellite maneuvers or military-grade response.
sustained global interference active long-range transmissions requirement for jamming/satellite deployment
👥 Personnel 32 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 16 [#14] 24/7 staffed guards and armed response for containment wing (rotational staffing included in payroll estimate).
Research Scientist 7 [#15] Xenotech, linguists, astrophysics, archivists and analysis staff for probe data and experiments.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#8, #4] Electronics/communications engineers and maintenance personnel to disable transmitters and maintain remote-handling/robotics.
Technician / Analyst 3 [#11, #16] Ground station operators, lab technicians and signal analysts for radio monitoring and data ingestion.
Administrative Staff 2 [#9, #20] AESIR data-handling staff, legal/cover coordination and program admin.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and clear categories, enabling a reasonable middle-case estimate; wide ranges and optional high-cost options (R&D, satellites, catastrophic responses) reduce precision.
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