SCP-2009 — SCP-2009 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2009 Keter ~ medium confidence

SCP-2009

Expected annual

$19.4M

One-time setup

$4.8M

Annual recurring

$18.5M

Personnel

One-time setup costs are approximately $4.8M driven by a custom BSL‑4 cell, specialized HVAC and containment equipment; recurring annual costs are ~ $18.5M driven primarily by salaries, contingency reserves, MTF readiness and ongoing research/operational costs.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.8M

Equipment $2.1M

[#2, #5, #8, #10, #13, #27] Specialized HVAC/dehumidification systems, BSL‑4 refrigerated storage units, decontamination equipment (autoclave/VHP), initial Level A suit fleet, MTF equipment procurement and secure transport containers.

Facilities $2.0M

[#1, #3] Custom BSL‑4 containment cell construction and redundant environmental control infrastructure (UPS/generator/ATG and installation).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $600K

[#17, #19, #30] Diagnostic assay setup and validation, controlled production/growth rigs and lab qualification, initial cybersecurity/hardening for classified lab systems.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $18.5M/yr

Contingency Reserve $10.0M/yr

[#31] Annualized contribution to a catastrophic outbreak reserve (recommended war chest; amortized lower bound).

Staff Wages $4.4M/yr

[#11, #12, #13] BSL‑4 scientific staffing, on‑site security staffing, and recurring MTF Rho‑8 personnel salaries and readiness pay.

Research And Monitoring $1.1M/yr

[#18] Pathogenesis studies, animal model work, genetic analysis and therapeutic screening budgets.

Site Remediation Reserve $500K/yr

[#24] Annual amortized reserve for building demolition, hazardous abatement and soil remediation.

Town Destruction Reserve $500K/yr

[#25] Amortized reserve for potential large‑scale incineration / town‑level eradication responses.

Surveillance Detection $325K/yr

[#16] 24/7 monitoring program: analysts, data feeds, software and public health liaisons.

Refurbishment Reserve $300K/yr

[#28] Annual reserve for replacement/refurbishment after contamination events (HVAC rebuilds, downtime losses).

Diagnostics Reagents $175K/yr

[#17] Reagents, sequencing and outsourced validation for PCR/NGS diagnostic capacity.

Training And Drills $150K/yr

[#29] Regular tabletop and live drills, SOP development, and refresher training.

Per Incident Deployment $130K/yr

[#14] Expected annualized budget for vehicle/fuel/lodging/per‑diem logistics (assumes ~0.5 major deployments/year averaged).

Hazardous Waste Disposal $110K/yr

[#9] Incineration contracts, transport and regulated hazardous disposal for contaminated materials (annual throughput budget).

Amnestic Operations $100K/yr

[#23] Production/stockpiling and occasional mass administration logistics averaged annually.

Controlled Production Operating $85K/yr

[#19] Operating consumables and qualification costs for controlled production/storage of SCP‑2009‑02.

Medical Surveillance $85K/yr

[#21] Staff medical screening, post‑exposure care and psychiatric support services.

Facilities Maintenance $60K/yr

[#3, #4] Energy (electricity + generator fuel) and routine maintenance to maintain 10°C / <1% RH and environmental control uptime.

Logistics And Transport $60K/yr

[#27] Secure cold‑chain couriers and specialized transport operations baseline.

Secure Transport $60K/yr

[#27] Annual budget for specialized shipment handling, couriers and cold‑chain consumables.

Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr

[#22] Baseline cover-story, PR and legal readiness budget (major incident costs budgeted in scenarios).

Ppe Maintenance $50K/yr

[#10] Level A suit maintenance, recertification and spare parts/consumables.

Environmental Testing $50K/yr

[#26] Ongoing air/soil/wastewater testing and long‑term site monitoring budgets.

Cybersecurity $40K/yr

[#30] Ongoing maintenance of secure networks, backups and classified data handling.

Decontamination Consumables $35K/yr

[#8] Consumables and service contracts for autoclaves, chemical showers and VHP systems.

Supplies And Consumables $30K/yr

[#7] HEPA/ULPA filter replacement, hazardous disposal of used filters and routine consumables for containment ventilation.

Field Deployment Consumables $26K/yr

[#15] Annualized budget for single‑use field tents, sampling kits and portable decon for expected deployments.

D Class Exposure Ops $24K/yr

[#20] Per‑exposure operational costs amortized across expected annual exposures (assumes ~4 exposures/year at ~$6k each).

Cold Chain Maintenance $15K/yr

[#6] Routine freezer maintenance, validation, calibration and service contracts for ULT freezers.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $18.5M/yr

85.0% probability / year

Normal year with routine operations, periodic testing and no major containment incidents.

routine_testing no_outbreaks scheduled_maintenance

🚨 Minor Incident $20.0M/yr

10.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline

Localized outbreak requiring an MTF deployment, targeted demolition/cleanup and local cover operations.

localized_spore_release single_building_contamination short_term_MTF_deployment

🚨 Major Breach $34.5M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$16.0M vs baseline

Significant outbreak affecting a town or large facility requiring mass incineration, broad remediation, mass amnestic administration and extended MTF operations.

town_level_outbreak widespread_contamination large_scale_remediation

👥 Personnel 42 total

Role	Count	Notes
Research Scientist	6	[#11] On‑site Level 4 virologists/mycologists and lead research staff (fully loaded headcount estimate).
Lab Technician	7	[#11, #17, #19] BSL‑4 technicians supporting assays, cold‑chain handling and controlled production operations.
Security Officer / Internal Guard	8	[#12] Armed perimeter and internal security staffing across shifts.
MTF Agent (Rho-8)	14	[#13] Dedicated rapid response team members included in standing MTF recurring costs.
Engineer / Maintenance	2	[#2, #3] HVAC, dehumidification and generator maintenance technicians for environmental systems.
Medical Officer	2	[#21] Medical surveillance, post‑exposure care and on‑site clinical support.
Administrative Staff	3	[#16, #22] Administrative, legal liaison and cover‑ops coordination staff supporting surveillance and cover story activities.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are order‑of‑magnitude based on the analyst ranges; many items (per‑incident costs, contingency reserve sizing, frequency of deployments) are highly variable, so totals are plausible but not precise.

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