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SCP-2011 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2011
Expected annual
$2.7M
One-time setup
$6.2M
Annual recurring
$2.6M
Personnel
10
Initial capital expenditures are dominated by site construction, legal/permitting, and a recommended contingency reserve; annual costs are driven by staff payroll, community support, and ongoing operations/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.2M
Facilities $2.1M
[#1, #17] Remote field research station construction (modular living quarters, lab space, helipad, clinic, airstrip clearing) and waste system installation.
Contingency Fund $2.0M
[#22] Recommended emergency/contingency reserve to cover major containment breaches, evacuations, legal crises or political fallout.
Legal And Permitting $1.2M
[#6] One-time negotiations, land protection designations, compensations to landowners/communities, and permit-related legal fees.
Equipment $330K
[#2, #3, #21, #25] Site power hardware (solar + batteries + generator), comms hardware, secure server setup, initial security equipment.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $260K
[#12, #15, #16] One-time clinic kit, research equipment (imaging/genomics/basic lab), and cadaver/sample freezer/secure transport kit.
Field Vehicles $150K
[#8] Purchase of 4x4 trucks, ATVs, trailers and basic armoring.
Drone Fleet $50K
[#10] Drone fleet and sensors for local recon and a longer-endurance fixed-wing or contracted drone service purchase.
Remote Sensors $20K
[#11] Trail cameras, acoustic sensors, environmental monitors initial deployment.
Initial Training $20K
[#19] Initial cultural, survival, first-aid and security training for staff prior to deployment.
Ethics Oversight Setup $20K
[#26] One-time setup for ethics/oversight processes, redaction workflows, and initial legal documentation handling.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.6M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#4] Payroll + benefits for site director, senior researcher, research staff, medic, lab techs, logistics/comms, and security (8–12 FTE assumed).
Supplies And Consumables $318K/yr
[#12, #15, #16, #18, #25] Clinic operations, research consumables, contingency storage/processing budget, food/water/household consumables, and security annual replacement/training.
Cover Story And Legal $195K/yr
[#6, #26] Ongoing legal/permit/lobbying costs and ethics/oversight/legal counsel for cover-story maintenance and documentation redaction.
Community Support And Outreach $175K/yr
[#5] Ongoing gifts, healthcare support, education aid and subsidized supplies to maintain local diplomatic relations.
Logistics And Transport $165K/yr
[#9, #27] Aerial charter/medevac budget and regular supply-run transportation logistics to/from nearest city.
Research And Monitoring $148K/yr
[#10, #11, #21, #23] Drone operations and satellite imagery, remote sensor maintenance, secure data operations/analysis, and environmental monitoring cooperation.
Patrols And Field Ops $140K/yr
[#7] Ground patrol operational costs (per diem, consumables, fuel) to deter illegal activity within preservation area.
Replacement Fund $100K/yr
[#20] Depreciation/replacement budgeting for vehicles, drones, generators, and lab gear.
Contingency Replenishment $100K/yr
[#22] Annual budget to replenish contingency reserves if used during the year.
Local Hiring And Contractors $100K/yr
[#24] Local guides, translators, cooks and contractors to support operations and maintain relations.
Training And Staff Rotation $45K/yr
[#19] Ongoing cultural, security, medical refreshers and rotation travel costs.
Communications Subscription $42K/yr
[#3] Satellite internet/phone/data subscription costs and service fees.
Trespasser Processing $38K/yr
[#14] Detention, processing, transport, paperwork and per-incident costs for trespassers (30–60 incidents/yr assumed midpoint).
Vehicle Maintenance $28K/yr
[#8] Regular maintenance, fuel and repairs for trucks, ATVs, trailers and small craft.
Amnestic Production And Administration $25K/yr
[#13] Class-B amnestic production/procurement (~$200/dose × 50 doses) and administration/medical oversight.
Facilities Maintenance $10K/yr
[#17] Septic/greywater/medical waste disposal and routine site maintenance.
Policy Change Savings $-125000/yr
[#28] Estimated recurring savings from ceasing cadaver collection (reduced freezer/biohazard handling and staff time).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.6M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, monitoring, community engagement and no major incidents.
regular_operations community_programs
🚨 Minor Incident $2.8M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized enforcement incident, medical emergency or limited containment response requiring extra charters, temporary staffing and legal processing.
trespasser_conflict medical_emergency seasonal_storm
🚨 Major Breach $4.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Political exposure, large-scale containment breach or media leak requiring major legal response, emergency relocation, large reimbursements and contingency fund drawdown.
political_exposure large_containment_breach mass_media_leak
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#4] Senior site leadership and liaison.
Research Scientist 3 [#4] Senior researcher plus two field researchers/anthropologists.
Medical Officer 1 [#4] On-site medic/clinic lead.
Lab Technician 2 [#4] Field lab technicians and sample handlers.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#4] Field guards responsible for perimeter, patrols and detainee handling (note: analyst suggested 4–6 guards; staffing here assumes midpoint total FTE count of 10).
Logistics Officer / Communications 1 [#4] Communications, transport coordination and supply management.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude with many midpoints used; costs are fairly well scoped by analyst notes but subject to large local logistics, secrecy and political variability, so medium confidence is appropriate.
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