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SCP-2024 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2024
Expected annual
$869K
One-time setup
$809K
Annual recurring
$853K
Personnel
6
Initial setup and containment one-time costs are approximately $0.81M, mainly driven by investigation/containment field ops, contingency reserve, and equipment/remote-handling procurement. Recurring annual costs are approximately $0.85M/yr, driven by staff wages, a large medical contingency, ongoing research/testing, and administrative overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $809K
Contingency Reserve $300K
[#21] One-time recommended contingency reserve for emergency neutralization/escalation response.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $130K
[#11, #12] Analytical testing / instrument purchase or contracted-first-year testing (mid-range); initial procurement of specialized trans-lanthanide elements and permits.
Investigation Initial $125K
[#16] Initial field-investigation budget for POI-2024-05 and G.O.I. liaison (surveillance, travel, informants, equipment).
Equipment $119K
[#1, #3, #4, #5, #8, #9, #20] Foam-lined storage case; tag anti-tamper hardware (hardware portion); surveillance cameras/equipment; access-control installation; initial PPE (lead suits, eyewear); remote-handling/glovebox/robotic manipulator (capital purchase); initial secure servers/data hardware.
Legal Cover Initial $88K
[#17] Initial legal/cover story, local remediation, victim compensation and public affairs work for carnival site remediation.
Secure Transport Initial $18K
[#10] Armored/secured transport crate and initial recovery logistics setup (one-time recovery equipment and documentation).
Facilities $16K
[#2, #19] Reinforced lockable vault/safe purchase and installation; initial UPS/climate/mod for preservation and power.
Training Initial $10K
[#15] Initial SOP development and training course development/run of initial drills.
Medical Supplies Initial $5K
[#13] Initial stock of medical supplies (localized bismuth subsalicylate supplies, trauma kits).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $853K/yr
Staff Wages $350K/yr
[#6, #7] Security staffing (24/7 guards) and containment/research personnel salaries and benefits.
Medical Contingency $200K/yr
[#13] Annual contingency/reserve for serious hospitalization, long-term treatment, and emergency medical response related to deformations.
Admin Overhead $100K/yr
[#18] Administrative overhead, procurement, secure recordkeeping, audits and internal insurance (estimated percent of recurring costs).
Research And Monitoring $85K/yr
[#11, #12] Ongoing outsourced analytical testing, in-house consumables for analysis, and restocking of specialized materials.
Investigation Ongoing $50K/yr
[#16] Ongoing surveillance, field ops and infiltration costs related to POI-2024-05 / G.O.I. liaison.
Cover Story And Legal $20K/yr
[#17] Ongoing cover maintenance, legal fees, victim/property compensation and liaison with local authorities.
Hazardous Disposal $12K/yr
[#14] Annual specialized hazardous/altered-matter disposal and decontamination fees.
Facilities Maintenance $10K/yr
[#2, #19] Vault/safe maintenance, climate control servicing, UPS testing and minor site maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $6K/yr
[#10] Per-event secure transport and short-notice transfer events (estimated ~3 events/yr at ~$2k each).
Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr
[#8] PPE replacements, disposables, fit testing spares and small consumables.
Remote Handling Maintenance $5K/yr
[#9] Maintenance and calibration for glovebox/robotic manipulator.
Training $5K/yr
[#15] Annual refresher training, drills, and SOP updates.
Energy And Backup $2K/yr
[#19] Energy costs for climate control, sensors, cameras and UPS testing.
Data Archiving $2K/yr
[#20] Secure server maintenance, off-site backups and software licenses.
Surveillance Storage $500/yr
[#4] Encrypted video retention and off-site recording storage costs.
Tag Anti Tamper Maintenance $200/yr
[#3] Annual maintenance and small upkeep fees for tag tamper sensors and integration.
Access Control Fees $200/yr
[#5] Ongoing biometric/card system fees and minor maintenance.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $853K/yr
89.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, no major incidents or large-scale medical/containment events.
normal_operations no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $878K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Small-scale incident such as a single minor tag tampering or low-severity staff exposure requiring extra testing and limited medical treatment.
minor_medical_case small_disposal_event minor_equipment_repair
🚨 Major Incident $1.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Accidental tag removal or operational lapse causing severe injury, hospitalization, and emergency research/response.
tag_removed_accidentally severe_injury_hospitalization emergency_research_response
🚨 Goi Infiltration $953K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Sustained Group-of-Interest attention or POI activity requiring expanded field ops, legal actions and ongoing countermeasures.
POI_activity persistent_GoI_attention extended_field_ops
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $1.9M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Severe uncontrolled escalation (widespread injuries, facility-level neutralization effort, mass medical response).
mass_casualties neutralization_attempt facility_breach
👥 Personnel 6 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 24/7 security presence for vault and rapid-response team (matches item #6 staffing estimate).
Research Scientist 2 Containment technicians / materials or medical researchers for testing, monitoring and SOP updates (matches item #7).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and realistic ranges, allowing a mid-range quantified estimate; uncertainty remains due to choice between contracted testing vs capital purchases, regulatory costs for exotic materials, and low-probability high-cost incidents.
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