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SCP-2032 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2032
Expected annual
$14.0M
One-time setup
$3.3M
Annual recurring
$12.9M
Personnel
21
One-time capital upgrades and lab/surgical setup total approximately $3.3M; recurring annual operations (staffing, research, medication, security, contingency reserves) are large, driven primarily by research programs, security and a recurring decommissioning reserve, totaling about $12.9M/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.3M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.2M
[#18] Initial capital for GLP lab conversion, animal models, clinical-grade equipment and R&D infrastructure for memory degradation research.
Surgical And Memetic Setup $1.1M
[#19] Neurosurgical/memetic implantation capability: surgical suites, neuromodulation hardware, high-grade amnestic storage and secure administration infrastructure (initial capital).
Facilities $475K
[#1, #2] Reinforce humanoid cell (blast/ballistic door, mantrap, biometrics, 3m safe-zone demarcation, ports) and life-support retrofit to ICU capability.
Equipment $465K
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #15, #17] Mechanical ventilators (purchase), ICU bed/wheelchair/restraint furnishings, UPS install, HVAC install, safes and archival hardware, off-site vault/digitization hardware, security electronics and digitization ingest stations.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $12.9M/yr
Decommissioning Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#29] Annual set-aside toward catastrophic remediation fund (minimum practical reserve). Actual catastrophic costs could far exceed this reserve.
Research And Monitoring $3.0M/yr
[#18] Ongoing R&D program to study and mitigate memory degradation (personnel, labs, trials, equipment, animal models).
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#13, #14, #16] Dedicated healthcare staffing (nurses, physician oversight, PT/speech), continuous armed security staff (12–16 guards), and archivist team salaries.
Cover Story And Legal $1.1M/yr
[#21] Legal, cover-up and societal containment operations budget, media buys, front company coordination, and selective public information operations.
Emergency Readiness $350K/yr
[#22] Baseline MTF readiness, rapid response readiness and global intervention preparedness (annual readiness costs).
Memetic And Surgical Supplies $300K/yr
[#19] Annual stocks of specialized amnestics, memetic reagents, training, consumables and procedure costs for implantation/amnestic administration.
Personnel Vetting And Counterintelligence $300K/yr
[#20] Continuous vetting, counter-intelligence, red-teaming, periodic polygraphs and insider-threat mitigation for cleared staff.
Inflation And Replacement Allowance $250K/yr
[#30] Annual allowance for inflation and replacement cycles (batteries, ventilator replacement schedule, rising biologics costs).
Anakinra Medication $175K/yr
[#10] Annual cost for Anakinra assuming in-house manufacture/production scenario (baseline). Commercial procurement would be substantially higher (see scenarios). Includes cold-chain storage and disposal.
Surveillance And Forensics $175K/yr
[#24] Forensic screening of items entering the 3m zone, lab consumables, X-ray, DNA and digital forensics analysis.
Psychological Care And Hazard Pay $175K/yr
[#27] Staff rotation, counseling, PST/trauma support and hazard pay for personnel working with SCP-2032.
Audit And Compliance $112K/yr
[#28] O5-level audits, record-keeping, chain-of-custody maintenance and compliance overhead.
Training And Sop $88K/yr
[#23] SOP development, annual drills, ethics and authorization overhead and cross-site coordination training.
Logistics And Transport $85K/yr
[#25] Secure couriers, transport to off-site vaults, armored/secure transits and associated vehicle costs.
Generator Fuel And Maintenance $30K/yr
[#5] Pro-rata generator fuel, maintenance and dedicated generator capacity allocation share for cell-level redundancy.
Offsite Vault Storage And Rotation $30K/yr
[#8] Off-site archival vault storage, access control, rotation and air-gap preservation costs.
Archives And Conservation Supplies $30K/yr
[#16, #26] Conservation supplies, paper, inks, archival sleeves, labels and supplies for daily transcription/conservation.
Supplies And Consumables $15K/yr
[#12] Medical consumables and disposables (syringes, dressings, ventilator filters, PPE).
Security Electronics Maintenance $15K/yr
[#15] Maintenance, storage and monitoring costs for CCTV, tamper sensors and secure logging systems.
Galantamine And Ancillary Meds $12K/yr
[#11] Galantamine and ancillary stroke/anticoagulant/analgesic medications and supplies.
Ventilator Maintenance $10K/yr
[#3] Annual maintenance and calibration contract for ventilator(s).
Digitization Media Rotation $10K/yr
[#17] Media rotation, write-once media, software updates and secure offline ingest station upkeep.
Hvac Energy And Maintenance $6K/yr
[#6] Energy and maintenance for HVAC and climate control preserving archival materials and medical environment.
Daily Media Acquisition $4K/yr
[#9] Daily newspapers and media procurement and secure courier service.
Safe Service And Calibration $1K/yr
[#7] Annual servicing/calibration and tamper-evidence checks for high-security safes and audit hardware.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $12.9M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal year with in-house biologics production and routine operations; no major incidents.
no_supply_disruption in-house anakinra production continues no major public exposure
🚨 Commercial Anakinra $13.7M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$825K vs baseline
Supply-chain failure or loss of in-house biologics forces purchase of commercial Anakinra at market prices.
loss_of_in-house_production supplier_blockade regulatory seizure
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $112.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
Major containment failure or substantial memory-loss event triggering large-scale reality alterations requiring global remediation.
mass_memory_loss public_exposure sabotage_or_violent_breach
👥 Personnel 21 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 14 [#14] Four guards posted at all times requires ~12–16 personnel for 24/7 coverage; budgeted at 14.
Nurse 2 [#13] Nursing staff to administer daily injections and accompany exercise/socialization (coverage for weekends/leave).
Medical Officer / On-call Physician 1 [#13] Physician oversight and on-call specialist coverage (neurology/geriatrics).
Physical & Speech Therapist 1 [#13] Combined PT/speech therapy coverage for rehabilitation and socialization.
Archivist 3 [#16] 2–4 FTE archivists required for daily transcription/conservation; budgeted at 3 FTE.
📋 Confidence Notes
Containment and operational requirements are well-described allowing sensible budgeting for staffing, equipment and recurring supplies, but large ranges on biologics pricing, research program scale and open-ended catastrophic remediation lower confidence. The decommissioning reserve and catastrophic costs are especially uncertain.
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