SCP-2037 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2037
Expected annual
$1.1M
One-time setup
$11.5M
Annual recurring
$1.1M
Personnel
7
One-time setup dominated by containment room construction and HVAC/equipment installation (~$11.5M in the per-specimen 23-room baseline). Recurring annual costs (~$1.11M/yr) are driven by staffing, HVAC/filtration maintenance, energy, and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $11.5M
Facilities $6.9M
[#1, #2] 23 individual 10m×10m×3m sealed containment rooms at ~$300k each → $6.9M (mid-range estimate).
Equipment $3.2M
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #9, #17, #19, #23, #14] HVAC installs (~$70k/room ×23 = $1.61M), generator/backup ($125k), per-room sensors ($138k), cameras ($69k) and server ($50k), robotic/automation ($100k), transfer crates & PPE initial ($14.5k), specialized vacuum ($6k), badge/security hardware ($20k), capture ops ($50k), optional SEM purchase ($1,000,000).
Alternate Consolidated Rooms $1.2M
[#3] Alternative three-room consolidated build (3 × $400k) as lower-cost buildout option (~$1.2M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $245K
[#13, #14, #15, #20, #22, #24, #27, #29] Necropsy bench ($15k), basic research bench & microscopy ($30k), sample storage ($3k), recordkeeping/IT initial ($17k), training & SOP development ($15k), legal/permits initial retainer ($10k), containment R&D setup ($100k one-time), health surveillance/PPE program setup ($5k), decommissioning reserve ($50k).
Summary And Scenario Reference $0
[#30] Summary / example envelope figures (no additional cost entry).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.1M/yr
Staff Wages $520K/yr
[#12, #19] Animal care technicians (3 FTEs @ ~$50k each = $150k), Security officers (2 FTEs @ ~$80k each = $160k), Research scientist (1 @ $120k), Engineer/maintenance (1 @ $90k) = $520k/yr.
Facilities Maintenance $184K/yr
[#4, #5, #7, #26, #22] HVAC filter replacement & room monitoring (~$3.5k/room/yr ×23 = $80,500), generator fuel & maintenance ($12,500/yr), video storage & maintenance ($17,500/yr), energy costs (~$3,000/room/yr ×23 = $69,000), security/alarms maintenance (~$5k).
Liability Insurance And Overhead $158K/yr
[#25] Institutional overhead (15% of direct personnel & operating costs ≈ $142,973) plus liability insurance (~$15k) = $157,973/yr.
Research And Monitoring $121K/yr
[#6, #14, #15, #27] Contract SEM/mass-spec and analytical studies (~$25k/yr), sensor data-logging & calibration (~$2k/room/yr ×23 = $46k), containment R&D ongoing (~$50k/yr).
Emergency Response Fund $50K/yr
[#21, #24] Annual reserve for incident response, decontamination, overtime and temporary cleanup/permits (~$50k/yr mid-range).
Veterinary Care $34K/yr
[#13] Veterinary services & necropsy analyses (~$11.5k–$57.5k/yr for 23 animals; mid ≈ $34.5k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $17K/yr
[#9, #10, #11, #15, #16, #17, #18, #28] Animal feed (~$1,900/yr), bedding & disposal (~$1,750/yr), recurring PPE replacement (~$3,000/yr), sample storage management (~$1,250/yr), HVAC filter disposal/hazardous waste (~$2,000/yr), vacuum filter replacements & maintenance (~$1,250/yr), health-surveillance consumables (~$1,250/yr), miscellaneous supplies (~$6,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $15K/yr
[#24] Permits/legal retainer and regulatory compliance (~$15k/yr mid-range).
Training And Drills $6K/yr
[#20] Refresher training and smaller drills (~$2k–$10k/yr; mid ≈ $6k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#9, #23] Transport containment, occasional field logistics and small material transport (~$5k/yr).
Health Surveillance Program $5K/yr
[#18] Ongoing medical monitoring and allergy surveillance for staff (~$2k–$10k/yr; mid ≈ $5k/yr).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.1M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with no major incidents; all recurring programs run as planned.
routine_operations no_breach planned_research
🚨 Minor Incident $1.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$20K vs baseline
Small filter failure or localized dust clump requiring cleanup, overtime, limited public cover-up and sample analysis.
small_dust_clump_outside filter_breach human_error
🚨 Major Breach $1.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$295K vs baseline
Significant release affecting multiple containment rooms requiring large-scale decontamination, specimen replacement/capture, filter replacements and extended operations.
multi-room_filter_failure major_equipment_failure simultaneous_human_error
🚨 Research Scaleup $1.6M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$495K vs baseline
Decision to scale research (purchase instruments, extra staffing, pilot trials) leading to one-off capital and higher recurring research spend.
research_breakthrough policy_directive_to_expand need_for_in-house_SEM
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Animal Technician 3 [#12] Daily care, feeding, environmental checks; 3 FTEs for redundancy/24/7 coverage.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#19] Site security, badge/alarms and patrols (1–3 FTEs suggested; mid = 2).
Research Scientist 1 [#14, #27] Oversees sampling, analyses, and containment R&D.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#4, #5, #26] HVAC, filtration and generator maintenance; on-call engineer for facility systems.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use mid-range values from analyst notes; key uncertainties include whether specimens are individually housed or consolidated, country/local labor and construction rates, and the decision to purchase high-end instruments (SEM) vs. outsourcing. Recurring cost composition is reasonably well-defined but subject to operational policy choices.
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