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SCP-2043 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-2043
Expected annual
$3.8M
One-time setup
$1.8M
Annual recurring
$3.8M
Personnel
34
First-year one-time capital and setup costs are approximately $1.8M driven by cell hardening, imaging/storage, vehicles/drones, legal seed, and contingency funding. Ongoing annual costs are roughly $3.78M driven mainly by dedicated staff wages (watchers, MTF, research, medical, analysts), site operations, and administration.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.8M
Equipment $622K
[#2, #7, #10, #12, #13, #14] CCTV/NVR/storage/UPS/network hardware; initial non-lethal kit; Site-3399 perimeter instrumentation capital; drone fleet purchase; vehicles (armored/modified) initial purchase; secure communications hardware
Contingency Seed $500K
[#18] Seed emergency/breach contingency fund (recommended minimum seed)
Facilities $275K
[#1] Containment chamber construction/hardening (reinforced cell, observation windows, antechamber)
Legal And Cover Initial $275K
[#15] Initial legal/cover-up/public-relations contingency and fabrication/documentation costs
Initial Research And Lab Setup $125K
[#9] Initial lab buildout and experimental containment apparatus
Personnel Vetting Initial $15K
[#20] Initial intensive background checks and polygraph costs
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.8M/yr
Staff Wages $2.6M/yr
[#4, #5, #8, #9, #16] 24/7 watchers (FTE), dedicated MTF staffing, medical staff, research team salaries, data analysts
Logistics And Transport $425K/yr
[#11, #13] Site-3399 field patrols/remote-feed operations/vehicle fuel and maintenance
Research And Monitoring $150K/yr
[#9] Ongoing experimental consumables, ethics oversight and lab-specific monitoring costs
Administration And Site Overhead $150K/yr
[#25] Utilities, janitorial, HR/payroll, procurement, small capital and site overhead
Cover Story And Legal $110K/yr
[#15] Annual legal retainer, incident management and cover-story maintenance
Contingency Topups $100K/yr
[#18] Recurring top-ups to emergency/breach fund as needed
Supplies And Consumables $46K/yr
[#3, #7, #23] CCTV storage/drive replacement and archival costs; sedatives/pharmaceutical replenishment and controlled-substance licensing; biohazardous waste disposal
Media Monitoring $42K/yr
[#21] Social media and local rumor monitoring, analyst time and tools
Training And Drills $38K/yr
[#6] Recurrent training, simulators, psychological screening, drills for watchers and response teams
Drone And Recon Ops $35K/yr
[#12] Drone maintenance/parts/operations and forward-deployed recon kit upkeep
Psychological Support $30K/yr
[#19] Ongoing counseling, occupational health, debriefs and fitness-for-duty evaluations
Communications And It $25K/yr
[#14] Licenses, encrypted comms maintenance, secure logging systems and audits
Facilities Maintenance $12K/yr
[#17] Energy, HVAC, lighting for eye-contact settings, backup generator fuel/testing overhead
Personnel Vetting Recurring $6K/yr
[#20] Periodic reinvestigations and background checks
Forensic Incident Response $5K/yr
[#22] Averaged annual budget for forensic pathology/toxicology/biohazard testing per incident (per-incident costs vary)
Per Additional Instance Cost $0/yr
[#24] Scaling parameter: additional instance cost estimated at $200,000–$700,000/year each (not included in baseline unless instances appear)
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.8M/yr
93.5% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with no major containment incidents; ongoing monitoring, staffing, and operations only.
no breach no new instances routine operations
🚨 Minor Incident $4.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Limited containment breach or field incident requiring overtime MTF deployment, forensic work, and local response; no town-wide exposure.
small-scale breach single-site duplication event overtime payments and forensic response
🚨 Major Breach $5.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Widespread appearance of multiple instances in public leading to town quarantine, mass amnestics, large-scale MTF mobilization, legal exposure and replacement of infrastructure.
mass duplication event public casualties or large-scale exposure extended MTF and medical operations
🚨 Multiple Instance Outbreak $5.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.4M vs baseline
Unanticipated generation of several new persistent humanoid instances requiring permanent addition of containment resources and staff.
appearance of multiple new instances need for additional cells and watchers scale-up of medical/research support
👥 Personnel 34 total
Role Count Notes
Operational Observer / Watcher 9 3 shifts × 2 watchers plus leave/coverage as per protocol (#4); trained to maintain eye contact.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 15 Dedicated MTF pool to provide rotating two-person teams and on-call response (#5).
Research Scientist 6 Anomalous research staff for behavioral/memetic testing and experiments (#9).
Medical Officer 2 On-call medical personnel for health checks and pharmacological management (#8).
Data Analyst 2 Analysts for footage review, indexing, memetic research logs (#16).
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are well-described (staffing, capital ranges) but key parameters (replication frequency, incident rate, how often large-scale breaches occur) are uncertain, producing medium confidence in the annual estimate.
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