SCP-2078 — SCP-2078 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2078 Keter ~ medium confidence

SCP-2078

Expected annual

$145.3M

One-time setup

$383.9M

Annual recurring

$142.2M

Personnel

350

Initial one-time capital and contingency funding dominate costs (≈$384M), driven by contingency reserve, infrastructure and transport/air fleets; recurring annual costs are substantial (~$142M/yr), driven mainly by staff wages, national-scale monitoring and research/analysis.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $383.9M

Contingency Fund $300.0M

[#28] Catastrophic/outbreak reserve (midpoint of $100–500M range used for planning).

Equipment $25.1M

[#4, #11, #13, #17, #18, #23, #24] Vehicle/air fleet ($20M), CogHaz-4 equipment ($2M), mobile amnestic units ($0.5M), in-house incineration capacity ($1M), force equipment ($0.6M), secure-comm hardware ($0.5M), mobile medical fleet mods ($0.5M).

Facilities $21.5M

[#3, #6] $6.5M safehouse/staging sites and $15M for 5 quarantine/treatment centers.

Telecom Monitoring Infrastructure $20.0M

[#8] One-time hardware/setup for national telecom interception, data center capacity and taps (midpoint of $10–30M).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $11.0M

[#12, #15] Amnestic R&D ($3M) and research laboratory upgrades/outfitting ($8M).

Recruitment Setup $2.0M

[#2] One-time costs to recruit/move non-U.S. personnel and establish deep-cover identities.

Social Media Ai Development $2.0M

[#9] Initial development/licensing of memetic-detection models and tooling.

Election Cover Setup $2.0M

[#19] One-time establishment of deep-cover operatives and legal cover in election apparatuses.

Counter Memetic Training Development $250K

[#10] Initial curriculum and simulated exposure chamber development.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $142.2M/yr

Research And Monitoring $41.0M/yr

[#8, #9, #15] Telecom/metadata operations and analysts ($30M/yr), social-media/AI maintenance and cloud costs ($8M/yr), research staff and supplies ($3M/yr).

Staff Wages $30.0M/yr

[#1] MTF Alpha-3 salaries and benefits for ~350 personnel (300 operatives + 50 analysts/support), hazard pay and premiums.

Cover Story And Legal $12.5M/yr

[#21, #22] Legal/PR/records manipulation and payments (~$7.5M/yr) plus internet takedown/media removal operations (~$5M/yr).

Facilities Maintenance $10.0M/yr

[#7] Quarantine center operations: staffing, utilities (HVAC/negative pressure), food, laundry, PPE for 5 regional centers and safehouses.

Election Embedding Ops $10.0M/yr

[#19] Ongoing liaison and covert operatives embedded in election apparatuses; operational payoffs and cover costs.

Amnestic Production $5.0M/yr

[#12] Production, inventory and stockpiling of amnestics (including Class-█ where required).

Logistics And Transport $4.0M/yr

[#5, #24] Vehicle/helicopter maintenance and fuel ($3M/yr) and mobile medical/transport operations ($1M/yr).

Medical Care And Epidemiology $4.0M/yr

[#14] Treatment, diagnostics, hospitalization and mortuary services for infected gatherings (baseline annual level).

Class D Maintenance $4.0M/yr

[#25] Costs to maintain reclassified infected as Class-D (housing, food, supervision) estimated midpoint of $3–5M/yr.

Election Day Surveillance $3.8M/yr

[#20] Amortized surveillance surge for polling places (~$15M per presidential election ≈ $3.75M/yr).

Cybersecurity And Comms Ops $3.0M/yr

[#23] Secure comms, encrypted devices, SOC operations to prevent leaks and secure MTF networks.

Incident Investigations $3.0M/yr

[#30] Forensics, litigation teams, settlements and containment follow-up (baseline budgeting ~$3M/yr).

Food Supply Interception $2.0M/yr

[#26] Surveillance and interdiction of food deliveries and vendor monitoring to disrupt coordinated mass consumption events.

Public Health Coordination $2.0M/yr

[#27] Contracts with hospitals/clinics for plausible cover and altered records (~$1–3M/yr).

Administrative Overhead $2.0M/yr

[#29] Internal audits, administration, insurance and program accounting.

Supplies And Consumables $1.5M/yr

[#16, #11] Provisioning (PPE, decon, sanitation) $1M/yr and CogHaz-4 consumables/ops $0.5M/yr.

Recruitment And Clearance $1.5M/yr

[#2] Ongoing recruitment, vetting, relocation and security-clearance renewals for multinational force.

Hazardous Waste Remediation $1.5M/yr

[#17] Body disposal, incineration contracts and site remediation (midpoint of $1–2M/yr).

Counter Memetic Training $1.0M/yr

[#10] Recurring refresher courses, instructors and simulated exposures.

Mass Amnestic Deployments $200K/yr

[#13] Per-deployment agent manufacture/logistics averaged as one major deployment/year (~$200k).

Force Equipment Replenishment $200K/yr

[#18] Consumables and maintenance for non-lethal/lethal force equipment replenishment.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $142.2M/yr

90.0% probability / year

Normal year with planned operations, no major containment failures; recurring budget only.

routine surveillance training and maintenance isolated incidents handled within existing budgets

🚨 Minor Incident $152.2M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline

Localized breach or mass-gathering outbreak requiring additional deployments, amnestic use and investigations.

single large infected gathering partial failure of initial amnestic rollout

🚨 Major Breach $202.2M/yr

1.5% probability / year +$60.0M vs baseline

Multi-state outbreak or coordinated vector distribution forcing widespread deployment, major amnestic campaigns and large legal/cleanup costs.

simultaneous outbreaks across regions election-season infiltration or ballot appearances

🚨 Catastrophic Breach $442.1M/yr

0.5% probability / year +$300.0M vs baseline

Containment failure with nationwide spread requiring activation of contingency reserve, mass detentions and international coordination.

widespread uncontrolled infection failure to intercept major vector distribution

👥 Personnel 350 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	300	[#1] Field operatives responsible for 12-hour response and mass-gathering interventions.
Analyst / Support Staff	50	[#1] Intelligence analysts, team leaders and support personnel included in MTF Alpha-3 staffing.

📋 Confidence Notes

Many line items are explicitly estimated by analysts (midpoints used where ranges given), but several costs (contingency reserve, per-incident variability, amnestic deployment frequency) are highly uncertain due to anomalous behavior and scale dependence, yielding a medium confidence.

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