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SCP-2088 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2088
Expected annual
$8.6M
One-time setup
$10.5B
Annual recurring
$3.5M
Personnel
8
One-time setup and contingency costs are dominated by potential off-world mission contingencies (unmanned/crewed mission line items), while baseline annual operating costs are driven by staff wages, research/monitoring, retainers with MC&D and cover/legal. Total one-time commitments are large if missions are pursued; ongoing yearly costs are modest by comparison.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $10.5B
Crewed Mission Contingency $10.0B
[#15] Contingency order-of-magnitude for a crewed mission (one-time, highly contingent).
Unmanned Probe Contingency $500.0M
[#14] Contingency/order-of-magnitude for an unmanned probe mission to Pallene (one-time if approved).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $5.5M
[#5, #7, #10, #12, #13, #17] Device development/prototype, environmental R&D/testbeds, ML/software development, interplanetary feasibility study, planetary protection protocol design, and amnestic research/protocol development (one-time research/setup costs).
Contingency Reserve Exposure Breach $1.0M
[#23] Contingency fund for exposure / breach response and public misinformation (reserve held available).
Equipment $300K
[#5, #8, #19] Initial device inventory (50 units) and secure data/server hardware and counter-surveillance equipment (initial purchases).
Facilities $125K
[#20] Secure debriefing / evidence-handling facility fit-out (lease fit-out, secure furniture/equipment).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.5M/yr
Research And Monitoring $1.6M/yr
[#8, #10, #11, #17, #25, #26] Recurring secure data hosting/maintenance, signal-processing / ML compute/licenses, continuous monitoring (telescopes/satellites), annual amnestic contingency reserve, long-term scientific research program, and communications/telemetry O&M for any off-world assets.
Staff Wages $940K/yr
[#2, #9] Salaries for Foundation-backed observers (rotating team) and audio/video analysts / xenolinguists (payroll and benefits).
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#18] Legal, cover and front-company operational costs, bookkeeping, legal retainers, PR damage control and related operations.
Mc And D Retainer $200K/yr
[#1] Annual retainer / seat access / front-company membership fees paid to MC&D to secure regular access and ticket allotments.
Logistics And Transport $130K/yr
[#3, #4] Travel/per diem for observers and covert ops budget for planting/listening device operations when personnel cannot attend.
Facilities Maintenance $90K/yr
[#13, #19, #20] Recurring maintenance/training for planetary-protection procedures, counter-surveillance equipment maintenance, and debriefing facility rent/ops.
Device Restocking $50K/yr
[#6] Manufacturing / restocking of listening/recording devices to replace lost or damaged units and supply covert ops.
Medical Support And Evacuation $50K/yr
[#16] On-call medics, emergency evacuation coverage, medical monitoring, insurance premiums and repatriation costs for attending personnel.
Training And Identity $50K/yr
[#24] Training, identity maintenance, background creation and periodic re-training for front-company staff and liaisons.
Psychological Support $40K/yr
[#21] Counseling, long-term monitoring and treatment for observers exposed to anomalous performances.
Hazardous Materials Handling $30K/yr
[#22] Secure destruction / sanitation and HAZMAT handling for contaminated or compromised devices/materials.
Supplies And Consumables $15K/yr
[#27] Small consumables (batteries, travel cards, PPE, evidence bags, petty cash).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.5M/yr
93.5% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with steady observation via MC&D access, routine device operations, analysis and monitoring. No major incidents or mission approvals.
regular_events attendance routine device turnover steady analysis workload
🚨 Minor Incident $5.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Localized operational incident: loss/compromise of devices or limited exposure requiring emergency amnestic administrations, PR response and device replacement.
device compromise/loss small-scale public exposure targeted amnestic administrations
🚨 Major Breach $8.5M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant public exposure or compromise requiring large-scale response, mass amnestics, legal settlements, and extended containment/PR efforts.
large-scale disclosure widespread media coverage major forensic/legal operation
🚨 Unmanned Probe Approval $503.5M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline
Decision-year to proceed with an unmanned probe mission to Pallene, incurring the one-time mission cost in addition to normal operations.
policy approval for off-world mission successful feasibility and funding decision
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#2] Rotating team of Foundation-backed observers/field agents required to attend 3-5 events/month (2-4 full-time; estimated 3).
Research Scientist / Audio-Visual Analyst / Xenolinguist 5 [#9] Team of specialized analysts for transcription, translation, annotation and reporting (4-6 specialists; estimated 5).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes enumerate most line items and ranges with reasonable specificity (medium confidence). Large uncertainties remain around speculative one-time mission costs and long-term R&D scaling, which reduces overall confidence.
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