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SCP-2100 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-2100
Expected annual
$666.5M
One-time setup
$2.7B
Annual recurring
$650.0M
Personnel
942
One-time setup and heavy geotechnical/facility work drives costs into the low billions (~$2.7B one-time), while ongoing operations, research, covert procurement and logistics create very high recurring costs (~$650M/yr). Major cost drivers are underground stabilization, surface station construction, black-budget procurement, and sustained research/operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.7B
Underground Stabilization $1.0B
[#6] Large-scale grout injection, rock-bolting, shotcrete lining and structural supports to stabilize subterranean spaces (mid estimate).
Facilities $685.0M
[#1, #4, #25, #20] Includes surface station construction, hardened surface-to-subterranean interface work, decommissioning/termination planning, and initial environmental impact studies.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $295.0M
[#7, #9, #10, #11, #17, #21, #27] Sensor networks, HPC hardware, xenolinguistics/interface lab buildout, BSL-4-equivalent containment labs, initial decryption R&D hardware, initial geophysical modeling/drilling program, and cultural/archival facility setup.
Equipment $266.0M
[#5, #13, #14, #18, #22] Includes deep-access robotics/platform procurement, security equipment caches, special-response equipment staging, EM/shielding hardware, and initial spare-parts stocking.
Insurance Reserve $250.0M
[#24] One-time catastrophic contingency escrow/insurance reserve.
Power Plant $105.0M
[#3] One-time procurement/installation of a multi-MW power solution (diesel skids/SMR/hybrid) and associated fuel handling infrastructure.
Cover Seed Funding $100.0M
[#15] Initial hush/seed funding for cover organizations, classified contracts, and partner payments.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $650.0M/yr
Research And Monitoring $197.0M/yr
[#7, #8, #21, #17, #11, #27] Advanced physics research program, sensor networks calibration/data storage, long-term geophysical monitoring/modeling, ongoing decryption/signal-analysis development, BSL-4 operations, and cultural/archival program staffing/operations.
Classified Procurement Black Budget $150.0M/yr
[#16] Off-book procurement, covert contracting, non-attributable purchases and associated program costs.
Staff Wages $130.0M/yr
[#8, #13, #14, #21, #26, #10, #11, #19] Payroll for on-site and program staff (researchers, security rotations, engineers, special-response retainers, administrative/program managers, xenolinguists, BSL-4 staff, medical/support).
Facilities Maintenance $62.0M/yr
[#2, #6, #18] Year-round station operations and maintenance, ongoing localized stabilization monitoring/repairs, and EM/shielding upkeep.
Logistics And Transport $30.0M/yr
[#12] Airlift charters, sealift, heavy-lift contracts, helicopter ops and dedicated logistics contractor fees for resupply and evacuation.
Supplies And Consumables $23.0M/yr
[#22, #9, #19] Replacement parts/spares and consumables, HPC operations consumables, and medical/rotation consumables and insurances.
Power Plant Operations $15.0M/yr
[#3] Fuel resupply, fuel logistics and power plant maintenance (diesel/SMR operations).
Cover Story And Legal $13.0M/yr
[#15, #23] Ongoing cover funding, legal counsel, university partnerships, PR, sponsored papers and plausible-deniability programs.
Robotics Operations $12.0M/yr
[#5] Spares, fielding, upgrades and operational support for deep-penetration robotic platforms.
Special Response And Maintenance $10.0M/yr
[#14] Retainers, equipment maintenance and readiness costs for rapid-reaction/containment teams.
Administrative And Audit $8.0M/yr
[#26] Program management, auditing, interagency liaison and classified program accounting.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $650.0M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, maintenance, research and covert procurement at steady-state.
steady_operations routine_research_activities
🚨 Minor Incident $675.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Localized activation, equipment failure, or small seismic event requiring targeted response, repairs and PR/legal activity.
localized_activation equipment_failure minor_seismic_event
🚨 Major Breach $850.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or major structural failure requiring large repair operations, international coordination, and high-profile cover operations.
major_structural_failure containment_breach international_exposure
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $2.6B/yr
0.5% probability / year +$2.0B vs baseline
Catastrophic event (massive seismic propagation, large-scale containment failure or geopolitical exposure) requiring multi-billion remediation, escrow drawdown and multi-government intervention.
massive_seismic_event widespread_exposure necessity_of_large_scale_remediation
👥 Personnel 942 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 150 [#13] On-site armed security rotations and cleared personnel per staffing example in notes.
Research Scientist 500 [#8] Advanced physics, astrophysics, modelling and experimental teams funded by the research budget.
Engineer / Maintenance 120 [#5, #6, #21] Robotics engineers, geotechnical/structural engineers and maintenance staff required for deep-access systems and stabilization.
Special Response Team / Rapid Response 50 [#14] On-call containment/intervention specialists and field teams.
HPC / Systems Administrator 30 [#9] Staff to operate and maintain HPC clusters, classified networks and data archives.
Logistics / Transport Staff 40 [#12] Personnel coordinating airlift/ship/vehicle operations, cargo handling and rotations.
Administrative Staff 40 [#26, #15] Program managers, auditors, liaison officers and administrative support for classified operations and cover arrangements.
Medical Officer 12 [#19] Medical staff for clinic operations, medevac readiness and long-term health monitoring.
📋 Confidence Notes
Large uncertainties in chosen engineering posture (monitor-only vs active reinforcement), power plant choice (diesel vs SMR), political cover strategy, and deep-anomalous technical unknowns mean cost ranges are wide and scenario probabilities are estimated rather than empirical.
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