SCP-2123 — SCP-2123 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2123 Keter ? low confidence

SCP-2123

Expected annual

$627.5M

One-time setup

$1.7B

Annual recurring

$606.0M

Personnel

500

One-time capital costs are dominated by magnet R&D/manufacture, lead-lined containment and site infrastructure (~$1.7B total); recurring annual costs are dominated by electricity, excursion-driven operational multipliers, specialized staff payroll, and long-term R&D (~$606M/year baseline).

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.7B

Equipment $800.0M

[#5] Magnet systems capital, manufacture, transport and spare inventory for anomalous high-field electromagnets.

Contingency Reserve $300.0M

[#23] Reserve fund for catastrophic/anomalous events, reconstruction and large-scale remediation.

Facilities $243.0M

[#1, #2, #8, #26] Major structural and conversion works: lead-lined enclosure, civil works, shielded wards, and initial secure-access buildouts.

Power Plant And Grid $150.0M

[#3] Dedicated substations, transformers, feeders and on-site generation/backup installations.

Cryogenics Installation $100.0M

[#6] Large cryogenic plant, recovery systems and installed refrigeration hardware.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $80.0M

[#16, #17] Initial detector procurement/major instrumentation and computing/hardware for data acquisition and analysis.

Security Land Purchase And Install $13.0M

[#10] Land acquisition/lease and one-time surveillance/fence/gate installation costs.

Robotics Capital $10.0M

[#13] Radiation-hardened robots, remote manipulators and long-reach tooling purchase/development.

Transportation Capital $10.0M

[#24] Heavy-haul trucks, shielded containers, cranes and heavy-lift handling equipment.

Legal Cover Initial $8.0M

[#20] Initial clandestine infrastructure, covert payments setup and legal/cover infrastructure.

Autopsy Suite Capital $2.0M

[#22] Shielded autopsy suite and radiation-safe dissection tooling.

Secure Comms Installation $2.0M

[#29] One-time installation of secure classified communications hardware and suppressed-network infrastructure.

Radiation Monitoring System $1.0M

[#7] Fixed environmental monitors, calibration lab hardware and initial dosimetry systems.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $606.0M/yr

Electricity Consumption $150.0M/yr

[#4] Continuous power for magnets, RF, cryogenics and site load (assumes ~200–500 MW operating envelope).

Excursion Incremental $150.0M/yr

[#30] Incremental operating costs from biweekly Excursion Events (accelerated wear, extra monitoring, waste, medical surges).

Staff Wages $80.0M/yr

[#9] Salaries and loaded costs for 24/7 operations staff (physicists, engineers, operators, maintenance, admin).

Long Term Rnd $50.0M/yr

[#27] Dedicated research program to understand anomalous behavior and attempt safe shutdown/mitigation.

Cryogenics Operation $30.0M/yr

[#6] Consumable helium/ LN2, cryo-maintenance, recovery operation and energy for refrigeration.

Magnet Maintenance $25.0M/yr

[#5] Specialized inspection, bespoke tooling, spare units and replacement stock for anomalous magnets.

Cover Story And Legal $20.0M/yr

[#20] Ongoing legal counsel, covert payments/settlements, PR suppression and embedded operatives to manage public exposure.

Detector Consumables $20.0M/yr

[#16] Replacement sensors, target materials, vacuum consumables and detector upkeep.

Security Recurring $15.0M/yr

[#10] 24/7 armed security, patrols, UAV/radar operations and intrusion detection for 2 km perimeter.

Computing Operation $15.0M/yr

[#17] Power, maintenance and storage costs for DAQ clusters, long-term archival and classified networks.

Facilities Maintenance $10.0M/yr

[#2] Ongoing civil/facility maintenance, HVAC, crane upkeep and structural inspections of containment enclosure.

Shielded Medical Recurring $10.0M/yr

[#8] Staffing, supplies, on-call radiation oncology and emergency medical readiness for shielded ward.

D Class Program $5.0M/yr

[#12] Recruitment, hazard pay, medical monitoring, housing and legal/ethical oversight for D-Class rotation.

Waste Handling $5.0M/yr

[#14] Handling, storage, transport and disposal of contaminated materials (LLW/ILW/HLW) and permitting.

Site Overhead $5.0M/yr

[#28] Utilities for living quarters, food, lodging, housekeeping, taxes and insurance.

Regulatory Compliance $3.0M/yr

[#25] Ongoing regulatory, permitting, audits and related compliance costs.

Comms Security Recurring $3.0M/yr

[#29] Ongoing communications security, leak suppression, cyber-ops and takedown operations.

Emergency Preparedness $2.0M/yr

[#19] Drills, evacuation readiness, stockpiles and coordination with local authorities (covert).

Robotics Maintenance $1.5M/yr

[#13] Maintenance and upgrades for radiation-hard robots and remote tooling.

Weekly Inspection Recurring $1.0M/yr

[#11] PPE, decon consumables, escort staff and turnover costs driven by strict short exposure windows.

Decon Laundry $1.0M/yr

[#15] Decon showers, suit laundry, effluent treatment and liquid waste filtration operations.

Amnestics Psych Ops $1.0M/yr

[#21] Psychological programs, counseling, non-disclosure payments and amnestic administration costs.

Transportation Operations $1.0M/yr

[#24] Operations, fuel and staffing for heavy-haul and shielded transport missions.

Training Recurring $1.0M/yr

[#26] Background investigations, security training and clearance administration.

Radiation Monitoring Recurring $500K/yr

[#7] Badge replacement, calibration, analysis and oversight for dosimetry program.

Environmental Monitoring $500K/yr

[#18] Baseline groundwater/soil/air sampling and routine environmental surveillance.

Autopsy Biohazard Recurring $500K/yr

[#22] Autopsy suite operation, pathogen screening and safe handling/disposal of exposed remains.

Supplies And Consumables $0/yr

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Research And Monitoring $0/yr

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Logistics And Transport $0/yr

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⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $606.0M/yr

64.0% probability / year

Normal operational year with biweekly Excursion Events managed within routine contingency and operational buffers.

routine operations biweekly excursions managed no major equipment failures

🚨 Minor Incident $611.0M/yr

30.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline

Localized equipment failure or modest contamination event requiring targeted repairs, short shutdowns and increased cleanup.

magnet/module failure minor contamination requiring remediation

🚨 Major Breach $806.0M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline

Significant excursion or partial annihilation event causing extended contamination, equipment replacement and large-scale decontamination.

large-scale component activation localized annihilation or heavy contamination

🚨 Catastrophic Reconstruction $1.6B/yr

1.0% probability / year +$1.0B vs baseline

Catastrophic annihilation or structural loss requiring full rebuild or relocation and multi-year remediation.

site-scale annihilation irrecoverable structural damage

👥 Personnel 500 total

Role	Count	Notes
Research Scientist	150	Accelerator physicists, theorists and experiment leads handling experiments and analysis. [#9]
Security Officer / MTF Agent	120	Armed perimeter staff, rapid response teams and patrols maintaining 2 km exclusion. [#10]
Engineer / Maintenance	80	Electrical, mechanical, cryogenic and magnet maintenance crews. [#9]
Operations Technician	70	Control-room operators, shift technicians and facility operators for 24/7 coverage. [#9]
Medical Officer	10	On-site radiation medicine, emergency clinicians for shielded ward. [#8]
Radiation Safety Officer	10	Dosimetry oversight, environmental monitoring and safety compliance. [#7]
Administrative Staff	20	Site administration, HR, logistics and legal liaisons. [#9, #20]
Control-room Operators	20	Dedicated accelerator run crews and monitoring staff (distinct from general operations technicians). [#9]

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates drawn from wide ranges in the analyst notes and highly anomalous, poorly-understood magnet and annihilation behaviors; major cost drivers (magnet R&D, excursion impacts, remediation) are intrinsically uncertain.

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