SCP-2131 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-2131
Expected annual
$7.6M
One-time setup
$148.8M
Annual recurring
$7.2M
Personnel
29
First-year one-time construction, shielding and large contingency/reserve dominate costs (approx. $148.8M one-time). Recurring annual operations, staffing, research and contingency top-ups are substantial (~$7.15M/yr), with episodic incident costs potentially raising annual expenditures dramatically.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $148.8M
Catastrophic Reserve $100.0M
[#28] High-level catastrophic failure reserve for evacuation, litigation, facility replacement and extreme liabilities (recommended Keter-level reserve).
Contingency Fund $20.0M
[#17] Initial contingency/cleanup reserve fund for uncontrolled gamma events (recommended minimum reserve to cover remediation, remediation contracting, replacement shielding/equipment).
Facilities $18.0M
[#1, #3] Excavation and structural work for underground radiation-shielded humanoid vault and adjacent shielded interview room (antechamber, airlocks, blast doors, internal fit-out).
Shielding Upgrade Pool $5.0M
[#27] Reserve for iterative shielding/containment upgrades in response to increasing event frequency (planned upgrade fund / per-upgrade reserve).
Equipment $4.2M
[#2, #4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #22] Dense shielding components and leaded doors, initial UPS/generator purchase and installation, HVAC installation, initial radiation detection hardware, radiation-hardened CCTV, robotic manipulators, and initial data-capture hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.5M
[#9] BSL-2 radiobiology lab build-out, histology, cryo-storage and pathology equipment for on-site research and post-event examination.
Initial Acquisition $50K
[#30] Initial acquisition/recovery and secure transfer costs (property buyout, witness management, site closure) if not already expended.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.2M/yr
Staff Wages $2.6M/yr
[#11, #12] 24/7 armed security roster and core scientific/operational payroll (lead containment specialist, radiation safety officer, research scientists, technicians, medical staff, behavioral liaison, admin).
Research And Monitoring $1.7M/yr
[#6, #9, #10, #22, #23, #25] Ongoing radiation monitoring/calibration, lab operations, high-energy physics/antimatter diagnostics program, data capture/analysis operations, detector consumables and long-term environmental/epidemiology monitoring.
Contingency Top Up $1.0M/yr
[#17] Annual top-up to the contingency/cleanup reserve to maintain readiness for repeated uncontrolled events.
Cover Story And Legal $700K/yr
[#18, #19] Insurance/indemnity/legal retainer and cover-facility operating costs to maintain plausible deniability and local relations.
Facilities Maintenance $280K/yr
[#4, #29] Generator fuel/maintenance and general site utilities, routine building maintenance and repairs.
Emergency Response Retainer $200K/yr
[#16] Hazmat/on-call radiological response team retainer (24/7 readiness); excludes per-incident call-outs.
Psychological Care $120K/yr
[#21] Staff counseling, trauma support, hazard pay supplements and resilience programs.
Supplies And Consumables $110K/yr
[#5, #14] HVAC filter/HEPA/charcoal/iodine consumables and routine PPE/decontamination supplies and disposable protective gear.
Radioactive Waste Disposal $100K/yr
[#15] Contracted specialist handling and disposal of radioactive/contaminated waste; spikes possible after incidents.
Security Systems And Access $100K/yr
[#11] Access control systems maintenance, screening infrastructure and electronic lock/door system contracts.
Oversight And Compliance $100K/yr
[#26] Ethical review boards, inter-agency liaison, compliance travel and clandestine oversight activities.
Logistics And Transport $80K/yr
[#24] Secure vehicle/transfer logistics, routine secure shipments and planning; per-transfer call-out costs are additional and variable.
Training And Drills $70K/yr
[#13] Recurrent staff training, drills, dosimetry programs and periodic bioassay monitoring.
Ritual Support $20K/yr
[#20] Materials and liaison support required to permit SCP-2131's prayer ritual (candles, fabrics, food, liaison staffing).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.2M/yr
62.9% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine containment and no major uncontrolled events; containment rituals largely effective.
routine_operations no_uncontrolled_events
🚨 Minor Incident $7.4M/yr
35.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
One or more limited uncontrolled gamma events requiring localized cleanup, medical monitoring, and targeted repairs.
single_uncontrolled_event localized_activation limited equipment replacement
🚨 Major Partial Breach $12.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant uncontrolled event causing damage to shielding/systems, multiple personnel exposures (managed), and major remediation contracts required.
shielding_damage medical_treatment facility_repair_and_decontamination
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $307.1M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$300.0M vs baseline
Facility-scale failure with public exposure, fatalities, major litigation and full facility replacement/remediation.
total_containment_failure public_exposure facility_loss
👥 Personnel 29 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#11] 24/7 armed guard roster (rotating), Keter-level clearances; count supports continuous coverage and rotations.
Research Scientist 4 [#10, #12] High-energy physics and radiobiology research staff for diagnostics and analysis.
Lead Containment Specialist / Senior Scientist 1 [#12] Project lead responsible for containment strategy and coordination.
Radiation Safety Officer 1 [#12] Oversees dosimetry, radiation protection and compliance.
Technician / Lab Technician 4 [#8, #9, #23] Operate manipulators, maintain detectors, support lab operations.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#4, #5, #29] Maintain generators, HVAC, structural systems and routine site repairs.
Medical Officer 1 [#9, #21] On-site medical support for exposures and post-event care.
Behavioral / Psych Liaison 1 [#12, #21] Staff mental-health support and liaison for SCP ritual/behavioral management.
Administrative Staff 2 [#19, #18] Site admin, cover-story administration and liaison tasks.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#12, #26] Project director-level oversight and inter-agency coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide many line-item ranges allowing an informed midpoint estimate, but substantial uncertainty remains due to unknown uncontrolled-event frequency/magnitude and site-specific construction costs; catastrophic risks add high-tail uncertainty.
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