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SCP-2139 Euclid ? low confidence
SCP-2139
Expected annual
$10.9M
One-time setup
$14.1M
Annual recurring
$10.6M
Personnel
41
Estimated one-time setup and remediation costs are approximately $14.08M, with annual recurring operating costs roughly $10.63M; main ongoing drivers are increased staffing/security, quarantine support, and sustained research/monitoring to develop objective detection.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $14.1M
Facilities $5.5M
[#4, #10] Modular secure containment cells and expansion at Site-73 plus environmental remediation capital (vaults/cells, climate/power isolation and site remediation).
Equipment $2.6M
[#5, #6, #7] Fleet/fleet-prep and contracts, remote retrieval robotics fleet (3–6 units) and hardened/ redundant communications hardware (satellite/fiber/radio kits).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.9M
[#8, #9] Initial objective-detection research program seed funding and capital lab instrumentation (EEG units, GC-MS/LC-MS/ sequencing hardware, sample storage).
Financial Contingency $1.8M
[#22] One-time financial contingency reserve (~15% of other one-time costs) for unexpected escalation of capital needs.
Nonhuman Sampling Rnd $1.0M
[#20] R&D capital for alternative non-human/objective sampling hardware and ML detectors to reduce human interpretive bias.
Cover Story And Counterintelligence $300K
[#17] One-time PR/cover-story/ counterintelligence campaign & set-up costs to manage potential exposure scenarios.
Legal And Liaison $250K
[#16] One-time retainer/contract costs for counsel, inter-agency agreement setup and covert liaison arrangements.
Training And Protocol Development $200K
[#13] One-time SOP and core-team training/module development for non-suggestible operations and tabletop exercises.
Data Isolation And Archiving $150K
[#18] Forensic cataloguing and secure archival remediation of Site-35 paper/electronic records.
Decontamination And Disposal $150K
[#21] Secure incineration/ hazardous disposal contracts and initial bulk disposal of suspect consumables/biomass.
Medical Stockpile $120K
[#14] Initial pharmaceuticals and medical countermeasures provisioning for response teams (provisioning & monitoring setup for ~40-person team).
Replacement And Repurchase Of Consumables $75K
[#15] Procurement of forensic samples, destruction of suspect inventory and repurchase of vetted packaging stock.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $10.6M/yr
Staff Wages $3.2M/yr
[#12, #8, #19] Additional security guard salaries (24 extra guards with hazard pay), research staff (PI/postdocs/techs) and clinical/medical staffing to run quarantines and response teams.
Quarantine Housing Support $1.8M/yr
[#1] Secure quarantine housing+support (medical/mental-health/security/PPE/logistics) for affected former Site-35 personnel (example: 120staff × ~15k per 30-day quarantine).
Research And Monitoring $1.3M/yr
[#8, #9, #18, #20, #25, #13] Sustaining funds for objective-detection research, contracted analytical testing, archival/database maintenance, non-human sensor operations, long-term epidemiology study and refresher training support.
Opportunity Costs $1.0M/yr
[#23] Estimated lost productivity/reassignment cost for paused projects and disrupted collaborations at a medium site.
Mental Health Treatment $720K/yr
[#3] Therapy, psychiatric care, pharmacotherapy, reintegration and retraining costs for affected staff caseloads.
Facilities Maintenance $700K/yr
[#4, #7, #10, #11] Annual upkeep for modular containment cells, hardened comms operations, remediation follow-ups and long-term Site-35 mothballing/security monitoring.
Logistics And Transport $500K/yr
[#5] Recurring secure transport costs (per-transfer expenses averaged across expected transfers) and escort logistics.
Contingency Reserve Teams $500K/yr
[#19] Standby pay, training and housing for rotation of pre-screened reserve teams maintained in secure quarantine for rapid response.
Psychological Assessment And Followup $480K/yr
[#2] Baseline and follow-up psychometric batteries, clinician hours, EEG sessions and monthly monitoring for affected cohorts.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#16, #17] Ongoing legal counsel, liaison, and cover-story/PR budget for managing exposure risk and inter-agency coordination.
Supplies And Consumables $170K/yr
[#9, #15, #14] Laboratory consumables, ongoing contracted lab fees as needed, replacement packaging inventory and routine medical/pharmaceutical replenishment.
Training Refresher $50K/yr
[#13] Recurring refresher training and simulation exercises for non-suggestible operations.
Communications Monitoring $30K/yr
[#24] Monitoring and counter-suggestion protocols for released staff, HR/legal controls and monitoring systems.
Pharmaceuticals Restock And Monitoring $20K/yr
[#14] Ongoing replenishment and medical monitoring costs for pharmaceuticals and countermeasures.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $10.6M/yr
87.0% probability / year
Normal year with ongoing quarantines, research, staffing increases and maintenance but no major incidents.
routine quarantines scheduled research and monitoring no major environmental remediation
🚨 Minor Incident $11.6M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized exposure event requiring multiple short quarantines, additional testing, limited replacement of consumables and extra secure transports.
localized contamination small cluster of affected staff several extra transfers
🚨 Major Remediation $13.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Discovery that SCP-2139 is area/agent-based requiring large-scale environmental remediation and extended follow-up, driving heavy one-off contractor costs plus higher recurring monitoring.
confirmed environmental contamination site-wide remediation required extended contractor engagement
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $24.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$14.0M vs baseline
Widespread cross-site spread or mass impairment event triggering emergency response, large legal/PR settlements, full-site remediation and replacement operations.
cross-site spread mass staff impairment major legal/PR exposure
👥 Personnel 41 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 [#12] Additional specialized guard rotations to staff quarantines and site security (3 shifts).
Research Scientist 5 [#8] PI and postdocs leading objective-detection R&D and validation trials.
Research Technician 4 [#8, #9] Lab technicians for EEG/GC-MS/sequencing and field sampling support.
Medical Officer 3 [#1, #14] On-site clinical and mental-health staff to manage quarantines, meds and monitoring.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#6, #7] Support for robotics, communications and containment systems.
Administrative Staff 2 [#16, #18] Logistics, records management and inter-agency coordination support.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#16] Executive oversight and liaison with Foundation command.
📋 Confidence Notes
High uncertainty due to unknown scale of contamination, unclear number of affected personnel, wide cost ranges in analyst notes and potential for remediation costs to dominate; figures use mid-range assumptions (e.g., 120 affected staff) and are order-of-magnitude estimates.
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