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SCP-2155 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2155
Expected annual
$30.0M
One-time setup
$48.5M
Annual recurring
$27.7M
Personnel
54
Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $48.5M driven by inventory set-asides (amnestics), international contingency reserves and facility buildouts; expected recurring baseline costs are ~ $27.7M/yr driven mainly by personnel, detention operations, ongoing amnestic resupply, cyber/ML monitoring, and covert/local influence operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $48.5M
International Incident Contingency $27.5M
[#30] Set-aside contingency for international escalation, reparations or covert settlements (one-time / as-needed).
Insurance Fund $5.5M
[#24] Dedicated contingency/indemnity fund (one-time set-aside recommended).
Amnestic Initial Inventory $5.0M
[#6] Procurement/inventory setup for ~5,000 Class A/B amnestic doses (one-time stock/inventory cost).
Facilities $4.0M
[#8, #18] Secure evidence/document vault construction/fit-out and detention facility set-up.
Equipment $2.0M
[#9, #11, #12, #21, #26] Incinerator/shredder installation, field vehicles and tactical gear, initial secure communications hardware, forensic lab hardware, secure transport kits.
Mass Amnestic Deployment Setup $1.5M
[#19] Surge deployment capacity (mobile triage centers, mobile units, cold-chain kits) one-time buildout.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.2M
[#10] Air-gapped memetic research lab fit-out and related containment-specific infrastructure.
Ml Development One Time $950K
[#4] Initial custom ML model development and adversarial/red-team setup (one-time development costs).
Software Integration $650K
[#3] Initial platform integration / custom tooling for cyber monitoring and memetic-detection (one-time build).
Data Archives $200K
[#27] Archiving systems and secure document-handling setup (one-time).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $27.7M/yr
Staff Wages $8.0M/yr
[#1, #2, #7] Fully-loaded salaries (MTF personnel, intelligence/analyst team, medical staff).
Detention Operations $5.5M/yr
[#18] Recurring costs for detention, de-radicalization and rehabilitation (operational cost for ~100 detainees).
Contingency Buffer $4.6M/yr
[#33] Recommended contingency buffer (set to 20% of baseline recurring operations per analyst guidance).
Research And Monitoring $2.5M/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #10, #20, #21, #25, #27] Recurring cyber monitoring/cloud/API fees, ML training/ops, translation/localization contracts, lab operations/consumables, community monitoring/outreach, forensic casework, public-health coordination and archive operations.
Cover Story And Legal $1.6M/yr
[#13, #14, #22, #24] Legal retainers and counsel, covert PR takedown contracts, diplomatic liaisons and annual insurance premiums.
Supplies And Consumables $1.2M/yr
[#6] Ongoing amnestic manufacturing/resupply and consumable medical supplies.
Counter Messaging $1.1M/yr
[#28] Community-level mitigation campaigns, counter-narratives, creative/ad buys.
Black Budget $1.1M/yr
[#15] Black-budget cover operations, payments to local contacts, informants, cover NGOs and media buys.
Logistics And Transport $975K/yr
[#11, #23, #26, #7] Vehicle maintenance/fuel, surveillance/takedown operations on print supply chains, recurring secure transport costs, and ambulance/EMS contracts.
Audit And Internal Security $375K/yr
[#31] Internal audits, vetting, counter-leaks and oversight.
Facilities Maintenance $355K/yr
[#9, #12, #32] Facility utilities, power/cooling, incinerator operating costs, recurring comms service and other site maintenance.
Training And Exercises $325K/yr
[#16, #29] Tactical/cultural training and annual simulations/tabletop exercises.
Mass Amnestic Surge Costs $0/yr
[#19] Contingent per-operation mass-amnestic deployment costs; baseline set to 0 and modeled in scenarios.
Protocol 1907 Contingency $0/yr
[#17] Contingent costs for Protocol 1907-level kinetic/regional response; modeled in scenarios, baseline set to 0.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $27.7M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Routine monitoring, small localized takedowns, periodic amnestic administration with no major outbreaks.
routine_monitoring small_takedowns no_major_outbreaks
🚨 Minor Incident $33.7M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$6.0M vs baseline
Localized multi-day outbreak requiring surge amnestic use, extra MTF deployments, expedited takedowns and PR work.
localized_outbreak mass_amnestic_surge large_takedown_campaign
🚨 Major Incident $62.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$35.0M vs baseline
Sustained regional outbreak with coordinated print/social campaigns requiring large kinetic operations, mass amnestic deployment, extended detentions and multinational legal/diplomatic effort.
regional_outbreak coordinated_propaganda extended_operations
🚨 Protocol 1907 Activation $227.7M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Full Protocol 1907 'Rio Blanco' activation: prolonged counterinsurgency, reconstruction, internment and international crisis management.
major_armed_uprising religious_violence international_escalation
👥 Personnel 54 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 33 [#1] Full-time MTF Eta-10-LatAm operators, team leaders, medics and logistics NCOs (25-40; mid estimate used).
Research Scientist / Analyst 12 [#2] Intelligence & analyst team (open-source, memetics analysts, linguists; 10-15; mid estimate used).
Medical Officer / Nurse 9 [#7] Physicians, psychiatrists and nurses for amnestic administration and monitoring (6-12; mid estimate used).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges enabling a reasonable mid-point estimate, but large contingent items (Protocol 1907, international contingencies, discretionary black-budget items) introduce high variance, so confidence is medium.
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